Bitcoin has been trading between $25,333 and $26,156 since Sept. 1. Typically, a volatility squeeze is followed by an expansion in volatility. Still, it is difficult to predict the direction of the breakout with certainty.
自 9 月 1 日以來,比特幣的交易價格一直在 25,333 美元至 26,156 美元之間。通常,波動性緊縮之後會出現波動性擴大。儘管如此,仍然很難準確預測突破的方向。
CoinGlass data shows that Bitcoin has fallen for six consecutive years in September. This historical data could soon keep the bulls at bay and encourage the bears. Additionally, the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY), which has an inverse correlation with Bitcoin, has risen sharply in the past few weeks. Both these suggest that Bitcoin could remain under pressure in the short term.
CoinGlass數據顯示,9月比特幣已連續六年下跌。這一歷史數據可能很快就會阻止多頭並鼓勵空頭。此外,與比特幣呈負相關的美元指數(DXY)在過去幾週大幅上漲。這兩項都顯示比特幣短期內可能仍面臨壓力。
It is not all gloom and doom for the crypto bulls because lower levels will likely attract buyers. The prospect of one or more Bitcoin spot exchange-traded fund applications receiving approvals may limit the downside. Several analysts believe this event to be hugely bullish for Bitcoin. Any positive news in this regard may prop prices higher.
對於加密貨幣多頭來說,這並不全是悲觀和厄運,因為較低的水平可能會吸引買家。一項或多項比特幣現貨交易所交易基金申請獲得批准的前景可能會限制下行空間。一些分析師認為這事件對比特幣來說非常利好。這方面的任何正面消息都可能會推高價格。
From a macro perspective, there may be a near-term weakness, but lower levels are likely to be purchased. What are the essential support levels to watch out for? Let’s study the charts of the top 10 cryptocurrencies to find out.
從宏觀角度來看,近期可能會出現疲軟,但可能會出現較低水準的買進。需要注意的基本支撐位有哪些?讓我們研究一下排名前十的加密貨幣的圖表來找出答案。
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Bitcoin price analysis
訂閱與我們一起展示加密貨幣革命,一次一份時事通訊。立即訂閱,將每日新聞和市場更新直接發送到您的收件匣,以及我們數百萬其他訂閱者(沒錯,數以百萬計的人愛我們!) - 您還在等什麼?比特幣價格分析
Bitcoin has been trading below $26,000 for the past two days, and the bears are trying to tug the price toward the vital support at $24,800.
過去兩天,比特幣的交易價格一直低於 26,000 美元,空頭正試圖將價格拉向 24,800 美元的重要支撐位。
The downsloping moving averages indicate an advantage to sellers, but the positive divergence on the relative strength index (RSI) suggests that the bearish momentum could weaken.
向下傾斜的移動平均線表示賣家有優勢,但相對強弱指數(RSI)的正背離表示看跌勢頭可能減弱。
Buyers must drive and sustain the price above $26,833 to start a relief rally to the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) ($28,048). Such a move will suggest that the price may remain in the extensive range between $24,800 and $31,000.
買家必須推動並維持價格高於 26,833 美元,才能開始反彈至 50 日簡單移動平均線 (SMA)(28,048 美元)。這項舉措表明價格可能會保持在 24,800 美元至 31,000 美元之間的廣泛區間內。
Meanwhile, the bears are likely to have other plans. They will try to sink the price below the $24,800–$24,000 support zone. If they manage to do that, the selling could accelerate, and the BTC/USDT pair may plunge to $20,000.
同時,空頭可能還有其他計劃。他們將嘗試將價格壓低至 24,800 美元至 24,000 美元的支撐區域以下。如果他們成功做到這一點,拋售可能會加速,BTC/USDT 貨幣對可能會暴跌至 20,000 美元。
Ether price analysis
以太幣價格分析
The long tail on Ether’s Sept. 4 and 5 candlestick shows that the bulls are buying the dips below the immediate support at $1,626. However, there is no follow-up buying at higher levels.
以太坊 9 月 4 日和 5 日燭台上的長尾表明,多頭正在低於直接支撐位 1,626 美元的逢低買入。不過,較高位並無後續買盤。
This means that the bears are selling on rallies near $1,650. This narrow-range trading is unlikely to continue for long. If the price plummets and maintains below $1,600, it will indicate that bears have seized control. There is minor support at $1,550, but if it crumbles, the ETH/USDT pair could nosedive to $1,368.
這意味著空頭在 1,650 美元附近逢高拋售。這種窄幅交易不太可能持續很長時間。如果價格暴跌並維持在 1,600 美元以下,則表示空頭已奪取控制權。 1,550 美元有小支撐,但如果該支撐位崩潰,ETH/USDT 貨幣對可能會暴跌至 1,368 美元。
On the upside, the bears are expected to fiercely defend the zone between $1,650 and the 20-day exponential moving average (EMA) ($1,674). If buyers overcome this barrier, the pair could soar to the 50-day SMA ($1,772).
從好的方面來看,空頭預計將激烈捍衛 1,650 美元和 20 日指數移動平均線 (EMA)(1,674 美元)之間的區域。如果買家克服這一障礙,該貨幣對可能會飆升至 50 日移動平均線(1,772 美元)。
BNB price analysis
BNB價格分析
BNB has been trading below the critical level of $220 for the past few days, but the bears have failed to capitalize on this opportunity.
過去幾天,BNB 的交易價格一直低於 220 美元的關鍵水平,但空頭未能利用這一機會。
This suggests that selling dries up at lower levels. That could keep the BNB/USDT pair stuck between $220 and $200 for some time. A tight consolidation below the breakdown level increases the possibility of a further slide. If the $200 support cracks, the pair could resume its downtrend. The next significant support on the downside is $183.
這表明拋售在較低水平上枯竭。這可能會使 BNB/USDT 貨幣對在一段時間內徘徊在 220 美元至 200 美元之間。低於突破水平的緊密盤整增加了進一步下滑的可能性。如果 200 美元支撐位破裂,該貨幣對可能會恢復下跌趨勢。下一個重要的下行支撐位是 183 美元。
Buyers must kick the price above $220 if they want to launch a comeback. That will indicate solid buying at lower levels. The pair may then attempt a rally to the downtrend line.
買家如果想捲土重來,必須將價格提高到 220 美元以上。這將表明較低水平的強勁買盤。然後該貨幣對可能會嘗試反彈至下降趨勢線。
XRP price analysis
瑞波幣價格分析
XRP has been clinging to the $0.50 support for the past few days. The failure to start a strong rebound off it increases the likelihood of a downside breakdown.
過去幾天,XRP 一直堅守在 0.50 美元的支撐位。未能開始強勁反彈會增加下行崩潰的可能性。
A break and close below $0.50 will indicate that the XRP/USDT pair may extend its stay inside the $0.56–$0.41 range for a few more days. There is no significant support between $0.50 and $0.41, so the fall may be swift.
突破並收於 0.50 美元下方將表明 XRP/USDT 貨幣對可能會在 0.56 美元至 0.41 美元區間內再停留幾天。 0.50 美元至 0.41 美元之間沒有重大支撐,因此下跌可能很快。
Another possibility is that the price rises from the current level and rises above the 20-day EMA ($0.52). If that happens, the pair may climb to $0.56, a critical level to watch.
另一種可能性是價格從當前水準上漲併升至 20 日均線(0.52 美元)上方。如果發生這種情況,該貨幣對可能會攀升至 0.56 美元,這是值得關注的關鍵水平。
Cardano price analysis
卡爾達諾價格分析
Cardano’s ADA has been trading inside a tight range for the past few days. This suggests that the bulls and the bears are playing it safe and not waging large bets.
過去幾天,卡爾達諾的 ADA 一直在窄幅波動。這顯示多頭和空頭都在謹慎行事,沒有下大賭注。
The downsloping moving averages and the RSI in the negative territory indicate that bears have a slight edge. If the price breaks below $0.25, the bears will try to sink the ADA/USDT pair to $0.24.
向下傾斜的移動平均線和 RSI 處於負值區域表示空頭有輕微優勢。如果價格跌破 0.25 美元,空頭將試圖將 ADA/USDT 貨幣對跌至 0.24 美元。
Contrarily, a break and close above the 20-day EMA ($0.26) will be the first sign of strength. That will pave the way for a rally to the 50-day SMA ($0.28). Buyers will have to clear this hurdle to start a sustained recovery.
相反,突破並收盤於 20 日均線(0.26 美元)之上將是強勢的第一個跡象。這將為反彈至 50 日移動平均線(0.28 美元)鋪平道路。買家必須清除這一障礙才能開始持續復甦。
Dogecoin price analysis
狗狗幣價格分析
Dogecoin reached the 20-day EMA ($0.06) on Sept. 6, indicating that the bulls are attempting to start a relief rally.
狗狗幣於 9 月 6 日觸及 20 日均線(0.06 美元),顯示多頭正試圖開始緩解反彈。
However, the bears are unlikely to give up easily and will mount a vigorous defence at the 20-day EMA. If the price drops sharply, the bears will try to strengthen their position by pulling the DOGE/USDT pair below $0.06. The pair may decline to the next support at $0.055 if they succeed.
然而,空頭不太可能輕易放棄,並將在 20 日均線處展開強有力的防禦。如果價格大幅下跌,空頭將試圖透過將 DOGE/USDT 貨幣對拉至 0.06 美元以下來鞏固自己的部位。如果成功,該貨幣對可能會跌至下一個支撐位 0.055 美元。
On the upside, a break and close above the 20-day EMA will be the first sign that the selling pressure is reducing. That may start a rally to the 50-day SMA ($0.07) and later to $0.08.
從好的方面來看,突破並收在 20 日均線上方將是拋售壓力正在減輕的第一個跡象。這可能會開始反彈至 50 日移動平均線(0.07 美元),然後升至 0.08 美元。
Solana price analysis
Solana 價格分析
SOL’s recovery attempt is facing strong selling at the downtrend line. This indicates that the bears are defending this level aggressively.
SOL 的復甦嘗試面臨著下降趨勢線的強勁拋售。這表明空頭正在積極捍衛這一水平。
If the price skids below $19, the SOL/USDT pair could resume its downtrend. The first support on the downside is $18, and the next is $16. Buyers are expected to defend this level with vigour.
如果價格跌破 19 美元,SOL/USDT 貨幣對可能會恢復下跌趨勢。下行的第一個支撐位是 18 美元,下一個支撐位是 16 美元。預計買家將大力捍衛這一水平。
The first strength indication will be a break and close above the 20-day EMA ($20.69). That could start a more substantial recovery to the 50-day SMA ($22.70). This level may again act as a roadblock, but if bulls clear it, the pair could attempt a rally to $25.42.
第一個強勢指標將是突破並收盤於 20 日均線(20.69 美元)上方。這可能會開始更大幅度地反彈至 50 日移動平均線(22.70 美元)。該水平可能再次成為障礙,但如果多頭清除該水平,該貨幣對可能會嘗試反彈至 25.42 美元。
Toncoin price analysis
通幣價格分析
The sharp rise in Toncoin (TON) pushed the RSI into the overbought territory, indicating that the rally had run ahead. That typically leads to a correction or consolidation, and that is what happened.
Toncoin (TON) 的大幅上漲將 RSI 推入超買區域,表明反彈已經開始。這通常會導致修正或整合,而這就是所發生的事情。
Profit-booking by the bears has pulled the price toward the 20-day EMA ($1.64). This remains the critical support to watch out for. If the price rebounds off the 20-day EMA, it will suggest that the sentiment remains positive and traders are buying on dips. That could propel the price to $2.07. If this level gives way, the rally could stretch to $2.38.
空頭的獲利盤將價格拉向 20 日均線(1.64 美元)。這仍然是值得關注的關鍵支撐。如果價格從 20 日均線反彈,則表示市場情緒依然樂觀,交易者逢低買進。這可能會將價格推高至 2.07 美元。如果該水準回落,反彈可能會延伸至 2.38 美元。
Alternatively, if the 20-day EMA cracks, it will suggest that the bulls are losing their grip. The TON/USDT pair may slump to $1.53 and later to the 50-day SMA ($1.42).
或者,如果 20 日均線破裂,則表示多頭正在失去控制。 TON/USDT 貨幣對可能會跌至 1.53 美元,然後跌至 50 日移動平均線(1.42 美元)。
Polkadot price analysis
波卡價格分析
Buyers are struggling to start a strong rebound in Polkadot’s DOT, indicating that the bears have kept up the pressure.
買家正在努力啟動 Polkadot 的 DOT 強勁反彈,這表明空頭一直在施加壓力。
The downsloping moving averages and the RSI near the oversold zone increase the likelihood of a downward breakdown. If the $4.22 level gives way, the DOT/USDT pair could skid to the next significant support at $4.
向下傾斜的移動平均線和超賣區域附近的 RSI 增加了向下崩潰的可能性。如果 4.22 美元的水平失守,DOT/USDT 貨幣對可能會滑至下一個重要支撐位 4 美元。
Contrary to this assumption, if the price rises from the current level, the bears will try to halt the recovery at the 20-day EMA ($4.44) and again at the downtrend line. Buyers will have to clear this barrier to indicate a potential trend change.
與這一假設相反,如果價格從當前水平上漲,空頭將試圖在 20 日均線(4.44 美元)處阻止反彈,並再次在下降趨勢線處阻止反彈。買家必須清除這一障礙才能表明潛在的趨勢變化。
Polygon price analysis
多邊形價格分析
Polygon’s MATIC reached the 20-day EMA ($0.57) on Sept. 5, but the bulls could not clear this hurdle. This suggests that demand dries up at higher levels.
Polygon 的 MATIC 於 9 月 5 日達到 20 日均線(0.57 美元),但多頭無法清除這一障礙。這表明需求在較高水準上枯竭。
The bears will try to sink the price to the crucial support at $0.50. This remains the critical level to watch out for soon because a break below it will resume the downtrend. The MATIC/USDT pair then risks a further slide to $0.45.
空頭將試圖將價格壓低至 0.50 美元的關鍵支撐位。這仍然是近期需要關注的關鍵水平,因為跌破該水平將恢復下降趨勢。隨後,MATIC/USDT 貨幣對可能進一步下滑至 0.45 美元。
Bulls must push the price above the 20-day EMA quickly if they want to prevent the downside. That could start a more robust recovery to the overhead resistance at $0.60 and then $0.64. This level is again likely to witness solid selling by the bears.
如果多頭想阻止下跌,就必須迅速將價格推升至 20 日均線之上。這可能會開始更強勁地反彈至上方阻力位 0.60 美元,然後是 0.64 美元。這一水平可能會再次見證空頭的強勁拋售。
Source
來源
資料來源:https://thebittimes.com/top-crypto-analysis-6th-sep-btc-eth-bnb-xrp-ada-doge-sol-ton-dot-matic-tbt61939.html