A widely followed crypto analyst is warning that Ethereum (ETH) competitor Solana (SOL) could undergo a sudden market correction.

一位广受关注的加密货币分析师警告称，以太坊 (ETH) 的竞争对手 Solana (SOL) 可能会经历突然的市场调整。

Pseudonymous crypto analyst Rekt Capital tells his 363,800 followers on the social media platform X that if SOL fails to flip a key level into support, it could follow a prior price pattern to the downside.

化名加密货币分析师 Rekt Capital 告诉他在社交媒体平台 X 上的 363,800 名粉丝，如果 SOL 未能将关键水平转变为支撑位，它可能会遵循之前的价格模式下跌。

“SOL: if history repeats, Solana may experience some extreme volatility both to the upside beyond $42.86 (red) and if the rejection is strong, even downside volatility to as low as $30 (below purple box). Will history repeat? If it does, I’d be ready.”

“SOL：如果历史重演，Solana 可能会经历一些极端的波动，无论是上行超过 42.86 美元（红色），还是如果拒绝强烈，甚至下行波动低至 30 美元（紫色框下方）。历史会重演吗？如果是的话，我就准备好了。”

The trader warns that the longer SOL trades below the $42 range, the greater the probability of a deep correction.

该交易员警告称，SOL 在 42 美元区间以下交易的时间越长，深度调整的可能性就越大。

“Solana already producing some upside wicks beyond ~$42.86. Continue to stay below this resistance and SOL could see a deeper pullback over time.”

“Solana 已经产生了一些超过 42.86 美元的上行影线。继续保持在该阻力位以下，随着时间的推移，SOL 可能会出现更深的回调。”

Looking at the trader’s chart, he seems to refer to SOL’s price action in early 2021 when Solana witnessed a deep pullback after failing to take out its resistance at around $42

从该交易员的图表来看，他似乎指的是 SOL 在 2021 年初的价格走势，当时 Solana 在未能突破 42 美元左右的阻力位后出现了深度回调

Solana is trading for $39.56 at time of writing.

截至撰写本文时，Solana 的交易价格为 39.56 美元。

Next up, the trader says that Bitcoin (BTC) will likely continue to rally toward its diagonal resistance at around $42,000 before the halving. According to the trader, he expects BTC to retrace after hitting the diagonal resistance before turning it into support after the halving.

接下来，该交易员表示，比特币 (BTC) 可能会在减半前继续反弹至 42,000 美元左右的对角线阻力位。据该交易员称，他预计比特币在触及对角线阻力后会回调，然后在减半后将其转变为支撑位。

The halving, which is scheduled to take place in April 2024, is traditionally viewed as a bullish event as it slashes miners’ rewards in half.

这次减半计划于 2024 年 4 月发生，传统上被视为看涨事件，因为它将矿工的奖励削减一半。

Says Rekt Capital,

Rekt Capital 表示，

“Bitcoin may reject from the black trendline resistance prior to the halving (orange circle). But it will likely retest it as support after the halving (black circle).”

“比特币可能会在减半之前拒绝黑色趋势线阻力（橙色圆圈）。但减半后它可能会重新测试其作为支撑位（黑色圆圈）。”

Bitcoin is trading for $34,620 at time of writing.

截至撰写本文时，比特币交易价格为 34,620 美元。

Lastly, the trader weighs in on Dogecoin (DOGE). He says he is closely watching whether the memecoin can convincingly break out of a descending channel on the weekly chart.

最后，交易员对狗狗币（DOGE）进行了评价。他表示，他正在密切关注模因币是否能够令人信服地突破周线图上的下降通道。

“Really important [whether] this week’s ‘buy-the-dip’ behavior is enough to get DOGE above the channel top. Because previous weekly closes below the channel top followed by brief rebounds still preceded downside (orange)…

“本周的‘逢低买入’行为是否足以让 DOGE 突破通道顶部，这一点非常重要。因为上周收盘价低于通道顶部，随后短暂反弹，但仍先于下行（橙色）……

That ‘buy-the-dip’ behavior we saw yesterday is looking like relief under key resistance. However, there has been no strong DOGE rejection and downside continuation. The most important signal is a weekly close above the channel top to confirm a breakout.”

我们昨天看到的“逢低买入”行为看起来像是关键阻力下的缓解。然而，DOGE 并没有出现强烈的拒绝和下行的延续。最重要的信号是每周收盘价高于通道顶部以确认突破。”

Looking at the trader’s chart, he appears to be looking at DOGE to breach the top of the channel’s resistance at around $0.07.

从交易员的图表来看，他似乎正在寻找 DOGE 突破通道顶部 0.07 美元左右的阻力位。

DOGE is trading for $0.0681 at time of writing.

截至撰写本文时，DOGE 的交易价格为 0.0681 美元。