DOGE Price Jumps 95%: Could Selling Cause a Drop?

In February, Dogecoin gained over 500,000 new holders in just two weeks. The percentage of addresses making a profit is the highest since May 2021. DOGE’s price has support at around $0.15 after nearly doubling in less than two weeks.

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Is Dogecoin about to face a storm? In just two weeks in February, it gained over half a million new holders. But with a high number of profitable holders and a weak support zone, there’s a chance it might see a downturn. Will this lead to a bearish drop, or will the DOGE community prevent it?

DOGE Holder Numbers and Price Trends

Dogecoin currently boasts 6.5 million holders, marking one of the highest numbers in the crypto market. This milestone was achieved on February 2, following a notable surge in Dogecoin holders from 5.82 million on January 28 to 6.35 million on February 10. This represents an almost 10% increase in holders, a significant feat for a token of this size.

DOGE price and number of holders. Source: Santiment

The growth in holder numbers was accompanied by a remarkable price surge. Between February 10 and March 4, DOGE prices soared from $0.081 to $0.1950, marking an increase of approximately 141%.

Despite the initial surge in holder numbers at the start of February, the number of holders has remained relatively stable since the beginning of March. While this alone may not indicate much, considering the 140% price rally and growing holder count, the stability in holder numbers could suggest that new money is not flowing into DOGE. Investors might be hesitant, unsure if the bullish sentiment will persist.

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Analysis of Profitable DOGE Holders and Potential Market Impact

Many holders entered the Dogecoin market two weeks before the price surge, contributing to the increasing percentage of currently profitable DOGE holders. Impressively, over 5.24 million addresses, coincidentally equal to the total number of DOGE holders recorded on November 24, 2023, are now in profit. They represent a substantial 84.75% of all holders, while 12.28% face losses, and about 2.28% are at the break-even point.

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With nearly 85% of addresses currently holding gains, there’s potential for considerable selling pressure on DOGE. Many of these profitable holders may choose to capitalize on their gains by selling off their holdings in the coming days.

DOGE Historical Break Even Price. Source: IntoTheBlock

The last time the percentage of profitable DOGE holders exceeded 80% was in May 2021, reaching a staggering 93%. During that period, DOGE experienced a significant market adjustment, with a correction of 67.86% over the following five weeks. This historical pattern suggests that current market conditions could lead to similar outcomes, resulting in a comparable market response.

Analysis of DOGE Market Trends and Potential Price Movements

Bearish Indicator with EMA Crossover: The current market activity for DOGE reveals a convergence in the trend lines, with the short-term 9-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) dropping below the 26-day long-term EMA. This event is often considered a bearish indicator by market analysts and investors.

Increased Bearish Momentum: Following this EMA crossover, the emerging trend indicates heightened momentum on the bearish side, suggesting that sellers are gaining control of the market.

Potential Price Scenarios: If the downward trajectory continues, DOGE’s price may approach and test the established support level at $0.15. Further bearish pressure could lead to a descent to the next support level around $0.12.

Bullish Reversal Possibilities: On the contrary, a bullish scenario for DOGE could unfold if it remains above $0.15, signaling active buying interest and potentially reversing the downtrend. Breaking the $0.1646 resistance could further support a bullish trend change, especially if accompanied by increased trade volumes, aiming for a challenge of the $0.1757 resistance.

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Consideration of Historical Data: Recalling the situation in 2021 when over 80% of DOGE addresses were profitable, yet its price continued to rise, similar bullish conditions in the market, especially in relation to Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) movements, could lead to a rally in DOGE.

Important: Please note that this article is only meant to provide information and should not be taken as legal, tax, investment, financial, or any other type of advice.