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DOGE Price Jumps 95%: Could Selling Cause a Drop?

DOGE 价格暴涨 95%:抛售会导致下跌吗?

发布: 2024/03/08 19:41 阅读: 359

原文作者:CryptosHeadlines.com

原文来源:https://coinmarketcap.com/community/articles/65eaecc6e4cf6115bca45933

In February, Dogecoin gained over 500,000 new holders in just two weeks. The percentage of addresses making a profit is the highest since May 2021. DOGE’s price has support at around $0.15 after nearly doubling in less than two weeks.

2 月份,狗狗币在短短两周内就增加了超过 500,000 名新持有者。盈利的地址百分比达到 2021 年 5 月以来的最高水平。DOGE 的价格在不到两周内几乎翻倍后,在 0.15 美元左右获得支撑。

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Is Dogecoin about to face a storm? In just two weeks in February, it gained over half a million new holders. But with a high number of profitable holders and a weak support zone, there’s a chance it might see a downturn. Will this lead to a bearish drop, or will the DOGE community prevent it?

狗狗币即将面临风暴吗?在二月份的短短两周内,它就增加了超过 50 万的新持有者。但由于获利持有者数量较多且支撑区域较弱,因此有可能出现低迷。这会导致看跌下跌,还是 DOGE 社区会阻止这种情况发生?

Dogecoin currently boasts 6.5 million holders, marking one of the highest numbers in the crypto market. This milestone was achieved on February 2, following a notable surge in Dogecoin holders from 5.82 million on January 28 to 6.35 million on February 10. This represents an almost 10% increase in holders, a significant feat for a token of this size.

DOGE 持有者数量和价格趋势Dogecoin 目前拥有 650 万持有者,是加密货币市场中持有者数量最多的国家之一。这一里程碑是在 2 月 2 日实现的,此前狗狗币持有者从 1 月 28 日的 582 万增加到 2 月 10 日的 635 万。这意味着持有者增加了近 10%,对于这种规模的代币来说是一项重大成就。

DOGE price and number of holders. Source: Santiment

DOGE 价格和持有者数量。来源:Santiment

The growth in holder numbers was accompanied by a remarkable price surge. Between February 10 and March 4, DOGE prices soared from $0.081 to $0.1950, marking an increase of approximately 141%.

持有者数量的增长伴随着价格的显着飙升。 2月10日至3月4日期间,DOGE价格从0.081美元飙升至0.1950美元,涨幅约为141%。

Despite the initial surge in holder numbers at the start of February, the number of holders has remained relatively stable since the beginning of March. While this alone may not indicate much, considering the 140% price rally and growing holder count, the stability in holder numbers could suggest that new money is not flowing into DOGE. Investors might be hesitant, unsure if the bullish sentiment will persist.

尽管2月初持有人数量最初激增,但自3月初以来持有人数量保持相对稳定。虽然这一点本身可能并不能说明什么,但考虑到 140% 的价格上涨和不断增长的持有者数量,持有者数量的稳定性可能表明新资金不会流入 DOGE。投资者可能会犹豫不决,不确定看涨情绪是否会持续。

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Analysis of Profitable DOGE Holders and Potential Market Impact

Many holders entered the Dogecoin market two weeks before the price surge, contributing to the increasing percentage of currently profitable DOGE holders. Impressively, over 5.24 million addresses, coincidentally equal to the total number of DOGE holders recorded on November 24, 2023, are now in profit. They represent a substantial 84.75% of all holders, while 12.28% face losses, and about 2.28% are at the break-even point.

盈利的 DOGE 持有者及潜在市场影响分析 许多持有者在价格飙升前两周进入狗狗币市场,导致当前盈利的 DOGE 持有者比例不断增加。令人印象深刻的是,目前有超过 524 万个地址实现盈利,恰好等于 2023 年 11 月 24 日记录的 DOGE 持有者总数。他们占所有持有者的 84.75%,而 12.28% 面临损失,约 2.28% 处于盈亏平衡点。

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With nearly 85% of addresses currently holding gains, there’s potential for considerable selling pressure on DOGE. Many of these profitable holders may choose to capitalize on their gains by selling off their holdings in the coming days.

目前近 85% 的地址持有收益,DOGE 可能面临相当大的抛售压力。许多盈利的持有者可能会选择在未来几天出售所持股份来利用其收益。

DOGE Historical Break Even Price. Source: IntoTheBlock

DOGE历史盈亏平衡价格。来源:IntoTheBlock

The last time the percentage of profitable DOGE holders exceeded 80% was in May 2021, reaching a staggering 93%. During that period, DOGE experienced a significant market adjustment, with a correction of 67.86% over the following five weeks. This historical pattern suggests that current market conditions could lead to similar outcomes, resulting in a comparable market response.

上一次盈利的 DOGE 持有者比例超过 80% 是在 2021 年 5 月,达到了惊人的 93%。在此期间,DOGE经历了较大的市场调整,在接下来的五周内回调了67.86%。这种历史模式表明,当前的市场状况可能会导致类似的结果,从而产生类似的市场反应。

Bearish Indicator with EMA Crossover: The current market activity for DOGE reveals a convergence in the trend lines, with the short-term 9-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) dropping below the 26-day long-term EMA. This event is often considered a bearish indicator by market analysts and investors.

DOGE 市场趋势和潜在价格走势分析与 EMA 交叉的看跌指标:DOGE 当前的市场活动揭示了趋势线的收敛,短期 9 日指数移动平均线 (EMA) 跌破 26 日长期指数移动平均线 (EMA)。术语 EMA。这一事件通常被市场分析师和投资者视为看跌指标。

Increased Bearish Momentum: Following this EMA crossover, the emerging trend indicates heightened momentum on the bearish side, suggesting that sellers are gaining control of the market.

看跌势头增强:在 EMA 交叉之后,新兴趋势表明看跌势头增强,表明卖家正在获得对市场的控制权。

Potential Price Scenarios: If the downward trajectory continues, DOGE’s price may approach and test the established support level at $0.15. Further bearish pressure could lead to a descent to the next support level around $0.12.

潜在的价格情景:如果下跌趋势继续下去,DOGE 的价格可能会接近并测试既定的支撑位 0.15 美元。进一步的看跌压力可能导致跌至 0.12 美元附近的下一个支撑位。

Bullish Reversal Possibilities: On the contrary, a bullish scenario for DOGE could unfold if it remains above $0.15, signaling active buying interest and potentially reversing the downtrend. Breaking the $0.1646 resistance could further support a bullish trend change, especially if accompanied by increased trade volumes, aiming for a challenge of the $0.1757 resistance.

看涨逆转的可能性:相反,如果 DOGE 保持在 0.15 美元以上,则可能出现看涨情景,表明积极的买盘兴趣并可能扭转下降趋势。突破 0.1646 美元的阻力位可能会进一步支持看涨趋势的变化,特别是如果伴随着交易量的增加,目标是挑战 0.1757 美元的阻力位。

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Consideration of Historical Data: Recalling the situation in 2021 when over 80% of DOGE addresses were profitable, yet its price continued to rise, similar bullish conditions in the market, especially in relation to Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) movements, could lead to a rally in DOGE.

考虑历史数据:回顾 2021 年的情况,当时超过 80% 的 DOGE 地址盈利,但其价格持续上涨,市场上类似的看涨状况,尤其是与比特币 (BTC) 和以太坊 (ETH) 走势相关的情况,可能会出现类似的情况。导致 DOGE 反弹。

Important: Please note that this article is only meant to provide information and should not be taken as legal, tax, investment, financial, or any other type of advice.

重要提示:请注意,本文仅旨在提供信息,不应被视为法律、税务、投资、财务或任何其他类型的建议。

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