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DOGE Price Jumps 95%: Could Selling Cause a Drop?

DOGE 價格暴漲 95%:拋售會導致下跌嗎?

發布: 2024/03/08 19:41 閱讀: 359

原文作者:CryptosHeadlines.com

原文來源:https://coinmarketcap.com/community/articles/65eaecc6e4cf6115bca45933

In February, Dogecoin gained over 500,000 new holders in just two weeks. The percentage of addresses making a profit is the highest since May 2021. DOGE’s price has support at around $0.15 after nearly doubling in less than two weeks.

2 月份,狗狗幣在短短兩週內就增加了超過 50 萬名新持有者。盈利的地址百分比達到 2021 年 5 月以來的最高水平。DOGE 的價格在不到兩週內幾乎翻倍後,在 0.15 美元左右獲得支撐。

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Is Dogecoin about to face a storm? In just two weeks in February, it gained over half a million new holders. But with a high number of profitable holders and a weak support zone, there’s a chance it might see a downturn. Will this lead to a bearish drop, or will the DOGE community prevent it?

狗狗幣即將面臨風暴嗎?在二月的短短兩週內,它增加了超過 50 萬的新持有者。但由於獲利持有者數量較多且支撐區域較弱,因此有可能出現低迷。這會導致看跌下跌,還是 DOGE 社群會阻止這種情況發生?

Dogecoin currently boasts 6.5 million holders, marking one of the highest numbers in the crypto market. This milestone was achieved on February 2, following a notable surge in Dogecoin holders from 5.82 million on January 28 to 6.35 million on February 10. This represents an almost 10% increase in holders, a significant feat for a token of this size.

DOGE 持有者數量和價格趨勢Dogecoin 目前擁有 650 萬持有者,是加密貨幣市場中持有者數量最多的國家之一。這一里程碑是在2 月2 日實現的,此前狗狗幣持有者從1 月28 日的582 萬增加到2 月10 日的635 萬。這意味著持有者增加了近10%,對於這種規模的代幣來說是一項重大成就。

DOGE price and number of holders. Source: Santiment

DOGE 價格和持有者數量。來源:Santiment

The growth in holder numbers was accompanied by a remarkable price surge. Between February 10 and March 4, DOGE prices soared from $0.081 to $0.1950, marking an increase of approximately 141%.

持有者數量的成長伴隨著價格的顯著飆升。 2月10日至3月4日期間,DOGE價格從0.081美元飆升至0.1950美元,漲幅約為141%。

Despite the initial surge in holder numbers at the start of February, the number of holders has remained relatively stable since the beginning of March. While this alone may not indicate much, considering the 140% price rally and growing holder count, the stability in holder numbers could suggest that new money is not flowing into DOGE. Investors might be hesitant, unsure if the bullish sentiment will persist.

儘管2月初持有者數量最初激增,但自3月初以來持有人數量保持相對穩定。雖然這一點本身可能並不能說明什麼,但考慮到 140% 的價格上漲和不斷增長的持有者數量,持有者數量的穩定性可能表明新資金不會流入 DOGE。投資人可能會猶豫不決,不確定看漲情緒是否會持續。

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Analysis of Profitable DOGE Holders and Potential Market Impact

Many holders entered the Dogecoin market two weeks before the price surge, contributing to the increasing percentage of currently profitable DOGE holders. Impressively, over 5.24 million addresses, coincidentally equal to the total number of DOGE holders recorded on November 24, 2023, are now in profit. They represent a substantial 84.75% of all holders, while 12.28% face losses, and about 2.28% are at the break-even point.

獲利的 DOGE 持有者及潛在市場影響分析 許多持有者在價格飆升前兩週進入狗狗幣市場,導致當前盈利的 DOGE 持有者比例不斷增加。令人印象深刻的是,目前有超過 524 萬個地址實現盈利,恰好等於 2023 年 11 月 24 日記錄的 DOGE 持有者總數。他們佔所有持有者的 84.75%,而 12.28% 面臨損失,約 2.28% 處於損益平衡點。

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With nearly 85% of addresses currently holding gains, there’s potential for considerable selling pressure on DOGE. Many of these profitable holders may choose to capitalize on their gains by selling off their holdings in the coming days.

目前近 85% 的地址持有收益,DOGE 可能面臨相當大的拋售壓力。許多獲利的持有者可能會選擇在未來幾天出售所持股份來利用其收益。

DOGE Historical Break Even Price. Source: IntoTheBlock

DOGE歷史損益平衡價格。來源:IntoTheBlock

The last time the percentage of profitable DOGE holders exceeded 80% was in May 2021, reaching a staggering 93%. During that period, DOGE experienced a significant market adjustment, with a correction of 67.86% over the following five weeks. This historical pattern suggests that current market conditions could lead to similar outcomes, resulting in a comparable market response.

上一次獲利的 DOGE 持有者比例超過 80% 是在 2021 年 5 月,達到了驚人的 93%。在此期間,DOGE經歷了較大的市場調整,在接下來的五週內回檔了67.86%。這種歷史模式表明,當前的市場狀況可能會導致類似的結果,從而產生類似的市場反應。

Bearish Indicator with EMA Crossover: The current market activity for DOGE reveals a convergence in the trend lines, with the short-term 9-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) dropping below the 26-day long-term EMA. This event is often considered a bearish indicator by market analysts and investors.

DOGE 市場趨勢和潛在價格走勢分析與 EMA 交叉的看跌指標:DOGE 目前的市場活動揭示了趨勢線的收斂,短期 9 日指數移動平均線 (EMA) 跌破 26 日長期指數移動平均線 (EMA)。術語EMA。這一事件通常被市場分析師和投資者視為看跌指標。

Increased Bearish Momentum: Following this EMA crossover, the emerging trend indicates heightened momentum on the bearish side, suggesting that sellers are gaining control of the market.

看跌勢頭增強:在 EMA 交叉之後,新興趨勢表明看跌勢頭增強,表明賣家正在獲得對市場的控制權。

Potential Price Scenarios: If the downward trajectory continues, DOGE’s price may approach and test the established support level at $0.15. Further bearish pressure could lead to a descent to the next support level around $0.12.

潛在的價格情境:如果下跌趨勢持續下去,DOGE 的價格可能會接近並測試既定的支撐位 0.15 美元。進一步的看跌壓力可能導致跌至 0.12 美元附近的下一個支撐位。

Bullish Reversal Possibilities: On the contrary, a bullish scenario for DOGE could unfold if it remains above $0.15, signaling active buying interest and potentially reversing the downtrend. Breaking the $0.1646 resistance could further support a bullish trend change, especially if accompanied by increased trade volumes, aiming for a challenge of the $0.1757 resistance.

看漲逆轉的可能性:相反,如果 DOGE 保持在 0.15 美元以上,則可能出現看漲情景,表明積極的買盤興趣並可能扭轉下降趨勢。突破 0.1646 美元的阻力位可能會進一步支持看漲趨勢的變化,特別是如果伴隨著交易量的增加,目標是挑戰 0.1757 美元的阻力位。

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Consideration of Historical Data: Recalling the situation in 2021 when over 80% of DOGE addresses were profitable, yet its price continued to rise, similar bullish conditions in the market, especially in relation to Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) movements, could lead to a rally in DOGE.

考慮歷史數據:回顧2021 年的情況,當時超過80% 的DOGE 地址盈利,但其價格持續上漲,市場上類似的看漲狀況,尤其是與比特幣(BTC) 和以太坊(ETH) 走勢相關的情況,可能會出現類似的情況。導致 DOGE 反彈。

Important: Please note that this article is only meant to provide information and should not be taken as legal, tax, investment, financial, or any other type of advice.

重要提示:請注意,本文僅旨在提供信息,不應被視為法律、稅務、投資、財務或任何其他類型的建議。

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