以太坊價格預測雙頂模式威脅 ETH 反彈，如何保持獲利

Ethereum (ETH) climbed above $2,000 and tested resistance at $2,130 for the first since April last week amid renewed euphoria around the filing of the first Ether spot exchange-traded fund by global leading asset manager BlackRock.

由於全球領先的資產管理公司貝萊德(BlackRock) 提交首隻以太坊現貨交易所交易基金的申請，以太坊(ETH) 攀升至2,000 美元上方，並自上週4 月以來首次測試2,130 美元的阻力位元.

Investors are also looking forward to the potential approval of Bitcoin spot ETFs by the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) later this week, which could also be bullish for Ethereum and other altcoins.

投資者也期待本週稍後美國證券交易委員會 (SEC) 可能批准比特幣現貨 ETF，這也可能對以太坊和其他山寨幣有利。

However, the approval of the spot ETFs is not guaranteed since the SEC can decide to postpone its decision.

然而，現貨 ETF 的批准並不能得到保證，因為 SEC 可以決定推遲其決定。

Nevertheless, investors turned their attention back to Ethereum price the moment news broke that BlackRock had made the first step toward applying for a spot ETH ETF.

儘管如此，當貝萊德邁出申請現貨 ETH ETF 的第一步的消息傳出後，投資者將注意力重新轉向了以太幣價格。

Can Ethereum Price Uphold Support Above $2,000

以太坊價格能否守住2000美元上方的支撐

Ether is trading at $2,010 at the time of writing on Wednesday during US business hours. Holding support above $2,000 seems critical for the continuation of the uptrend, especially with bulls having lost the support briefly after the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data was released on Tuesday.

截至週三美國營業時間撰寫本文時，以太幣交易價格為 2,010 美元。保持 2,000 美元上方的支撐似乎對於持續上漲趨勢至關重要，尤其是在周二美國消費者物價指數 (CPI) 數據發布後多頭短暫失去支撐的情況下。

However, with inflation easing in the country, investors are expected to gain confidence in risk assets like Bitcoin and Ethereum. Moreover, geopolitical tensions occasioned by the Israel-Hamas war may continue to drive investors to crypto with ETH and BTC being the biggest contenders.

然而，隨著該國通貨膨脹的緩解，預計投資者將對比特幣和以太坊等風險資產產生信心。此外，以色列與哈馬斯戰爭引發的地緣政治緊張局勢可能會繼續推動投資者轉向加密貨幣，其中 ETH 和 BTC 是最大的競爭者。

Meanwhile, support above $2,000 would mean that Ethereum has the momentum to keep the uptrend intact. It could also help support the bullish outlook from the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator.

同時，高於 2,000 美元的支撐位意味著以太坊有動力保持上升趨勢不變。它還可能有助於支持移動平均線收斂分歧（MACD）指標的看漲前景。

If Ethereum slides below $2,000, it could create instability and possibly lead to a sell-off as traders may want to protect their wallets to avoid liquidations. Investors who bought after the breakout above the seller congestion at $1,900 may want to sell, thus increasing the overhead pressure.

如果以太坊跌破 2,000 美元，可能會造成不穩定，並可能導致拋售，因為交易者可能希望保護自己的錢包以避免清算。在突破 1,900 美元的賣方聚集點之後買入的投資者可能想要賣出，增加了間接壓力。

The presence of a double-top pattern around $2,130 could further complicate the technical situation for the bulls. Another rejection may lead to a spike in selling pressure.

2,130 美元附近雙頂形態的存在可能會使多頭的技術狀況更加複雜。另一次拒絕可能會導致拋售壓力激增。

For that reason, market participants are likely to be concerned about Ethereum’s decline below $2,000 which might trigger a sell-off to $1,900 and the local support at $1,800.

因此，市場參與者可能會擔心以太坊跌破 2,000 美元，這可能會引發拋售至 1,900 美元和 1,800 美元的本地支撐位。

Traders interested in shorting ETH may want to ensure that the blue MACD line crosses below the red signal line. The momentum indicator will have to persistently drop toward the neutral area to affirm the new bearish thesis.

有興趣做空 ETH 的交易者可能希望確保藍色 MACD 線穿過紅色信號線下方。動量指標必須持續下降至中性區域才能證實新的看跌論點。

However, there is a very narrow chance that declines will intensify, especially with Ethereum forming double bullish crosses on the daily chart. The first pattern occurred with the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) (red) moving above the 100-day EMA (blue) followed by the second cross where the same 50-day EMA flipped above the 200-day EMA (purple).

然而，下跌加劇的可能性非常小，尤其是以太坊在日線圖上形成雙看漲交叉時。第一種形態出現在50 日指數移動平均線(EMA)（紅色）移至100 日均線（藍色）上方，隨後出現第二個交叉，其中相同的50 日指數移動平均線翻轉至200 日均線（紫色）上方。

Combined, these bull market indicators affirm the bullish outlook in the market, propping Ethereum price rally towards $3,000.

這些牛市指標綜合起來證實了市場的看漲前景，支撐以太幣價格上漲至 3,000 美元。

Ethereum Network Fees Hit 4-Month Highs

以太坊網路費用創 4 個月新高

According to blockchain data company Santiment, the Ethereum network fees have in the recent past increased to their highest level in four months. This increase also coincided with the token’s climb above $2,000 suggesting that investors were transacting more on-chain.

根據區塊鏈數據公司 Santiment 的數據，以太坊網路費用最近已升至四個月來的最高水準。這一增長也與代幣攀升至 2,000 美元以上同時發生，這表明投資者正在更多地進行鏈上交易。

#Ethereum's fees have unsurprisingly risen as $ETH rose back above $2K last week & network utility surged. Relatively, though, transactions are still cheap compared to $14 May average fee levels we saw. Watch how other ERC-20's are impacted, as well. https://t.co/yuzXALw53z pic.twitter.com/ndw1PYeVEF
#Ethereum 的費用不出所料地上漲，因為上週 ETH 價格回升至 2K 美元以上且網路效用飆升。不過，相對而言，與我們看到的 5 月平均費用水平 14 美元相比，交易仍然便宜。也請關注其他 ERC-20 如何受到影響。 https://t.co/yuzXALw53z pic.twitter.com/ndw1PYeVEF

— Santiment (@santimentfeed) November 14, 2023
- Santiment (@santimentfeed) 2023 年 11 月 14 日

There is always a positive correlation between Ethereum price and the transaction fees. As the price of Ether rallies, investors tend to move more of the token on-chain, which contributes to the volatility and the subsequent uptrend.

以太坊價格與交易費用之間始終呈現正相關關係。隨著以太幣價格上漲，投資者往往會在鏈上轉移更多代幣，這會導致波動性和隨後的上漲趨勢。

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