The S&P 500 is attempting a recovery, but Bitcoin and select altcoins are struggling to break above their respective resistance levels.

標準普爾 500 指數正在嘗試復甦，但比特幣和部分山寨幣正在努力突破各自的阻力位。

Bitcoin is down about 11% in August, just shy of the 13.88% fall seen in the corresponding month in 2022, according to CoinGlass data. The picture does not look very bright for September, either. History shows that every year since 2017, Bitcoin has declined in September. 

根據 CoinGlass 的數據，比特幣 8 月下跌了約 11%，略低於 2022 年同期 13.88% 的跌幅。九月的情況看起來也不太樂觀。歷史表明，自 2017 年以來，比特幣每年 9 月都會下跌。

Bloomberg Intelligence senior macro strategist Mike McGlone is even more bearish on Bitcoin. While speaking to Kitco News, McGlone warned that in case of a “global economic reset,” Bitcoin could nosedive to as low as $10,000.

彭博資訊高級宏觀策略師 Mike McGlone 對比特幣更加悲觀。 McGlone 在接受 Kitco News 採訪時警告稱，如果“全球經濟重啟”，比特幣可能會暴跌至 10,000 美元。

Although analysts have been giving both bullish and bearish targets, it is better to wait for the price to break out of the range before taking large bets. Typically, after a low-volatility period, the volatility picks up, but it is difficult to predict the direction of the breakout with certainty.

儘管分析師一直給出看漲和看跌目標，但最好等待價格突破該區間後再進行大額押注。通常，在低波動期過後，波動性會上升，但很難準確預測突破的方向。

Do Bitcoin and the major altcoins show signs of a potential breakout? What are the important levels to watch out for? Let’s analyze the charts to find out.

比特幣和主要山寨幣是否顯示出潛在突破的跡象？需要注意哪些重要等級？讓我們分析一下圖表來找出答案。

S&P 500 Index price analysis

訂閱與我們一起展示加密貨幣革命，一次一份時事通訊。立即訂閱，將每日新聞和市場更新直接發送到您的收件匣，以及我們數百萬其他訂閱者（沒錯，數以百萬計的人愛我們！） - 您還在等什麼？標準普爾500 指數價格分析

The S&P 500 Index (SPX) turned down from the moving averages on Aug. 24, but the bears could not sustain the lower levels.

標準普爾 500 指數 (SPX) 於 8 月 24 日從移動平均線下跌，但空頭無法維持較低水準。

After the recovery on Aug. 25, the bulls maintained their buying pressure and pushed the index back to the moving averages. If buyers overcome this roadblock, the index could rally to the overhead resistance zone between 4,607 and 4,650. This zone is likely to witness a tough battle between the bulls and the bears.

8月25日復甦後，多頭維持買盤壓力，推動指數回到移動平均線。如果買家克服這一障礙，該指數可能會反彈至 4,607 點至 4,650 點之間的上方阻力區。該區域可能會見證多頭和空頭之間的一場硬仗。

If the price once again turns down from the moving averages, it will suggest that bears are fiercely defending the level. The pair may then slide to the pivotal support at 4,325. If this level breaks down, the index will complete a bearish head-and-shoulders pattern. That could start a correction toward the pattern target of 4,043.

如果價格再次從移動平均線下跌，則表示空頭正在激烈捍衛該水準。然後，該對可以滑動到 4,325 處的樞軸支撐。如果跌破該水平，該指數將完成看跌的頭肩形態。這可能會開始向 4,043 點的形態目標進行修正。

U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) price analysis

美元指數（DXY）價格分析

The bulls propelled the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) above the downtrend line on Aug. 22, signaling that the correction may be over in the near term.

8 月 22 日，多頭推動美元指數 (DXY) 突破下降趨勢線，表明調整可能在短期內結束。

The bears tried to pull the price back below the level on Aug. 23, but the bulls held their ground. This suggests that the bulls successfully flipped the downtrend line into support.

空頭試圖將價格拉回 8 月 23 日的水平以下，但多頭堅守陣地。這表明多頭成功地將下降趨勢線轉變為支撐位。

The bulls will next attempt to push the price to 106. The rising 20-day exponential moving average (EMA) at 103 and the relative strength index (RSI) near the overbought territory indicate an advantage to buyers.

多頭接下來將嘗試將價格推高至 106。上升的 20 天指數移動平均線 (EMA) 位於 103 以及接近超買區域的相對強弱指數 (RSI) 表明買家有優勢。

If bears want to make a comeback, they will have to quickly pull the price back below the downtrend line. If they do that, the index may slide to the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) of 102.

如果空頭想要捲土重來，他們就必須迅速將價格拉回下降趨勢線以下。如果他們這樣做，該指數可能會滑向 50 日簡單移動平均線 (SMA) 102。

Bitcoin (BTC) price analysis

比特幣（BTC）價格分析

The bulls and the bears are not taking large bets as Bitcoin continues to trade inside the range between $24,800 and $26,833.

由於比特幣繼續在 24,800 美元至 26,833 美元之間的範圍內交易，多頭和空頭並沒有進行大額押注。

The downsloping moving averages and the RSI in the oversold zone indicate that bears are in command. However, sellers may find it difficult to resume the downward move because the bulls are likely to defend the $24,800 level with vigor.

向下傾斜的移動平均線和超賣區域的 RSI 表明空頭佔據主導地位。然而，賣家可能會發現很難恢復下跌走勢，因為多頭可能會大力捍衛 24,800 美元的水平。

If the price rebounds off the support, it will suggest that the BTC/USDT pair may continue its consolidation for some more time. On the upside, a rally above $26,833 will be the first sign of strength. That could push the price to the 50-day SMA ($28,806) and later to $30,000.

如果價格從支撐位反彈，則表示 BTC/USDT 貨幣對可能會繼續盤整一段時間。從好的方面來看，反彈至 26,833 美元上方將是強勢的第一個跡象。這可能會將價格推至 50 日移動平均線（28,806 美元），然後升至 30,000 美元。

Contrarily, a break and close below the $24,800 support could start the next leg of the downtrend to $20,000.

相反，如果跌破並收盤低於 24,800 美元的支撐位，可能會開始下一階段的下跌趨勢，跌至 20,000 美元。

Ether (ETH) price analysis

以太幣（ETH）價格分析

Ether has been trading near the crucial support at $1,626, indicating that the bears have kept up the selling pressure.

以太幣一直在 1,626 美元的關鍵支撐位附近交易，表明空頭持續施加拋售壓力。

The failure of the bulls to start a strong rebound increases the risk of a break below $1,626. If that happens, the ETH/USDT pair could plummet to $1,550. This level may attract solid buying by the bulls.

多頭未能啟動強勁反彈會增加跌破 1,626 美元的風險。如果發生這種情況，ETH/USDT 貨幣對可能會暴跌至 1,550 美元。該水平可能會吸引多頭的大量買盤。

If the price turns up from this level but turns down from $1,626, it will signal that bears have flipped the level into resistance. That may start a downtrend toward $1,368. The bulls will have to kick the price above the 20-day EMA ($1,716) to signal a comeback.

如果價格從該水準上漲，但從 1,626 美元下跌，則表示空頭已將該水準轉變為阻力位。這可能會開始下跌至 1,368 美元。多頭必須將價格推至 20 日均線（1,716 美元）上方才能發出迴歸訊號。

BNB price analysis

BNB價格分析

BNB’s pullback is facing selling at the breakdown level of $220, indicating that the bears are trying to flip the level into resistance.

BNB 的回調面臨 220 美元擊穿水平的拋售，這表明空頭正試圖將該水平轉變為阻力位。

A minor positive in favor of the bulls is that they have not given up much ground from $220. This suggests that buyers are keeping up the pressure. The bulls will have to overcome the barrier at the 20-day EMA ($223) to start a relief rally to the resistance line. This level may again witness strong selling by the bears.

有利於多頭的一個小利好是，他們沒有放棄 220 美元的太多陣地。這表明買家正在繼續施加壓力。多頭必須克服 20 日均線（223 美元）的障礙，才能開始向阻力線反彈。該水平可能會再次見證空頭的強勁拋售。

The first support on the downside is $213. If this level breaks down, the BNB/USDT pair could plunge to psychological support at $200. A break below this level may extend the decline to the next major support at $183.

下行的第一個支撐位是 213 美元。如果該水準跌破，BNB/USDT 貨幣對可能會跌至 200 美元的心理支撐位。跌破該水準可能會延續跌勢至下一個主要支撐位 183 美元。

XRP price analysis

瑞波幣價格分析

The failure of the bulls to push XRP to overhead resistance at $0.56 suggests a lack of demand at higher levels.

多頭未能將 XRP 推至 0.56 美元的上方阻力位，這表明較高水平缺乏需求。

The weak bounce off $0.50 may attract aggressive selling by the bears. If the $0.50 support gives way, the XRP/USDT pair could drop to the crucial support at $0.41. This level could witness strong buying by the bulls. If the price rebounds off this support, it will suggest that the pair may oscillate between $0.41 and $0.56 for a few more days.

從 0.50 美元的微弱反彈可能會吸引空頭的激進拋售。如果 0.50 美元的支撐位被打破，XRP/USDT 貨幣對可能會跌至 0.41 美元的關鍵支撐位。該水平可能見證多頭的強勁買盤。如果價格從該支撐位反彈，則表示該貨幣對可能會在接下來的幾天內在 0.41 美元至 0.56 美元之間波動。

Conversely, if the price turns up and breaks above $0.56, it will suggest the start of a sustained recovery. The pair may then climb to the 50-day SMA ($0.64).

相反，如果價格上漲並突破0.56美元，則表示持續復甦的開始。隨後該貨幣對可能會攀升至 50 日移動平均線（0.64 美元）。

Cardano (ADA) price analysis

卡爾達諾（ADA）價格分析

Cardano (ADA) has been swinging inside the narrow range between $0.24 and $0.28 for the past few days. This suggests that the bulls are buying near the support and bears are selling at the resistance level.

過去幾天，卡爾達諾 (ADA) 一直在 0.24 美元至 0.28 美元之間的窄幅區間內波動。這顯示多頭在支撐位附近買入，空頭在阻力位附近賣出。

If buyers propel the price above the overhead resistance at $0.28, the ADA/USDT pair could start a rally to the 50-day SMA ($0.29). This level may act as an obstacle, but if overcome, the pair could shoot to $0.34.

如果買家推動價格突破 0.28 美元的上方阻力位，則 ADA/USDT 貨幣對可能會開始反彈至 50 日移動平均線（0.29 美元）。該水平可能會成為一個障礙，但如果被克服，該貨幣對可能會上漲至 0.34 美元。

The bears are likely to have other plans. They will try to defend the overhead resistance and tug the price to the support of the range at $0.24. If this level breaks down, the pair may slump to $0.22 and eventually to $0.20.

熊市可能還有其他計劃。他們將努力捍衛上方阻力位，並將價格拉至 0.24 美元的區間支撐位。如果該水準跌破，該貨幣對可能會跌至 0.22 美元，最終跌至 0.20 美元。

Dogecoin (DOGE) price analysis

狗狗幣 (DOGE) 價格分析

Dogecoin has been trading between the strong support at $0.06 and the 20-day EMA ($0.07) for the past few days.

過去幾天，狗狗幣一直在 0.06 美元的強勁支撐位和 20 日均線（0.07 美元）之間交易。

The 20-day EMA is sloping down and the RSI is in the negative territory, indicating that the bears have the edge. Sellers will try to sink the price below $0.06 and further strengthen their position.

20 日均線向下傾斜，RSI 處於負值區域，表示空頭佔優勢。賣家將嘗試將價格壓低至 0.06 美元以下，並進一步鞏固自己的地位。

Time is running out for the bulls. If they want to start a recovery, they will have to quickly drive the price above the 20-day EMA. If they do that, the DOGE/USDT pair could rally to the 50-day SMA ($0.07) and thereafter jump to $0.08.

多頭的時間已經不多了。如果他們想開始復甦，就必須迅速將價格推至 20 日均線之上。如果他們這樣做，DOGE/USDT 貨幣對可能會反彈至 50 日移動平均線（0.07 美元），然後跳至 0.08 美元。

Solana (SOL) price analysis

Solana (SOL) 價格分析

Solana has been gradually drifting lower, indicating that the bears are pouncing on every minor relief rally.

索拉納一直在逐漸走低，這表明空頭正在趁著每次小幅緩解反彈的機會發動攻擊。

The SOL/USDT pair could drop to the Aug. 22 intraday low of $19.35. If this level caves in, the selling could intensify and the pair may dive to $18 and eventually to the next major support at $15.60.

SOL/USDT 貨幣對可能會跌至 8 月 22 日盤中低點 19.35 美元。如果該水平下跌，拋售可能會加劇，該貨幣對可能會跌至 18 美元，並最終跌至下一個主要支撐位 15.60 美元。

Contrary to this assumption, if the price turns up and breaks above $22.30, it will indicate solid buying at lower levels. The pair may first rise to the 50-day SMA ($23.61) and thereafter to the strong resistance at $26.

與這一假設相反，如果價格上漲並突破 22.30 美元，則表明較低水平上存在強勁買盤。該貨幣對可能首先升至 50 日移動平均線（23.61 美元），然後升至 26 美元的強阻力位。

Polkadot (DOT) price analysis

波卡（DOT）價格分析

The bulls are trying to shove Polkadot above the overhead resistance at the 20-day EMA ($4.64), but they are likely to encounter stiff resistance from the bears.

多頭試圖將 Polkadot 推升至 20 日均線（4.64 美元）的上方阻力位，但他們可能會遇到空頭的強烈阻力。

If the price turns down from the 20-day EMA, it will suggest that the sentiment remains negative and traders are selling on rallies. That could increase the likelihood of a retest of the crucial support at $4.22. If this support crumbles, the DOT/USDT pair may collapse to $4 and later to $3.88.

如果價格從 20 日均線下跌，表示市場情緒依然消極，交易者逢高拋售。這可能會增加重新測試 4.22 美元關鍵支撐位的可能性。如果該支撐位崩潰，DOT/USDT 貨幣對可能會跌至 4 美元，隨後跌至 3.88 美元。

On the other hand, if buyers kick the price above the 20-day EMA, it will suggest the start of a stronger relief rally to the breakdown level of $5. This level could attract selling by the bears.

另一方面，如果買家將價格推至 20 日均線上方，則表示將開始更強勁的反彈，直至跌破 5 美元。這一水平可能會吸引空頭的拋售。

Source

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