The S&P 500 is attempting a recovery, but Bitcoin and select altcoins are struggling to break above their respective resistance levels.

标准普尔 500 指数正在尝试复苏，但比特币和部分山寨币正在努力突破各自的阻力位。

Bitcoin is down about 11% in August, just shy of the 13.88% fall seen in the corresponding month in 2022, according to CoinGlass data. The picture does not look very bright for September, either. History shows that every year since 2017, Bitcoin has declined in September. 

根据 CoinGlass 的数据，比特币 8 月份下跌了约 11%，略低于 2022 年同期 13.88% 的跌幅。九月的情况看起来也不太乐观。历史表明，自 2017 年以来，比特币每年 9 月都会下跌。

Bloomberg Intelligence senior macro strategist Mike McGlone is even more bearish on Bitcoin. While speaking to Kitco News, McGlone warned that in case of a “global economic reset,” Bitcoin could nosedive to as low as $10,000.

彭博资讯高级宏观策略师 Mike McGlone 对比特币更加悲观。 McGlone 在接受 Kitco News 采访时警告称，如果“全球经济重启”，比特币可能会暴跌至 10,000 美元。

Although analysts have been giving both bullish and bearish targets, it is better to wait for the price to break out of the range before taking large bets. Typically, after a low-volatility period, the volatility picks up, but it is difficult to predict the direction of the breakout with certainty.

尽管分析师一直给出看涨和看跌目标，但最好等待价格突破该区间后再进行大额押注。通常，在低波动期过后，波动性会上升，但很难准确预测突破的方向。

Do Bitcoin and the major altcoins show signs of a potential breakout? What are the important levels to watch out for? Let’s analyze the charts to find out.

比特币和主要山寨币是否显示出潜在突破的迹象？需要注意哪些重要级别？让我们分析一下图表来找出答案。

S&P 500 Index price analysis

订阅与我们一起展示加密货币革命，一次一份时事通讯。立即订阅，将每日新闻和市场更新直接发送到您的收件箱，以及我们数百万其他订阅者（没错，数以百万计的人爱我们！） — 您还在等什么？标准普尔 500 指数价格分析

The S&P 500 Index (SPX) turned down from the moving averages on Aug. 24, but the bears could not sustain the lower levels.

标准普尔 500 指数 (SPX) 于 8 月 24 日从移动平均线下跌，但空头无法维持较低水平。

After the recovery on Aug. 25, the bulls maintained their buying pressure and pushed the index back to the moving averages. If buyers overcome this roadblock, the index could rally to the overhead resistance zone between 4,607 and 4,650. This zone is likely to witness a tough battle between the bulls and the bears.

8月25日复苏后，多头维持买盘压力，推动指数回到移动平均线。如果买家克服这一障碍，该指数可能会反弹至 4,607 点至 4,650 点之间的上方阻力区。该区域可能会见证多头和空头之间的一场硬仗。

If the price once again turns down from the moving averages, it will suggest that bears are fiercely defending the level. The pair may then slide to the pivotal support at 4,325. If this level breaks down, the index will complete a bearish head-and-shoulders pattern. That could start a correction toward the pattern target of 4,043.

如果价格再次从移动平均线下跌，则表明空头正在激烈捍卫该水平。然后，该对可以滑动到 4,325 处的枢轴支撑。如果跌破该水平，该指数将完成看跌的头肩形态。这可能会开始向 4,043 点的形态目标进行修正。

U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) price analysis

美元指数（DXY）价格分析

The bulls propelled the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) above the downtrend line on Aug. 22, signaling that the correction may be over in the near term.

8 月 22 日，多头推动美元指数 (DXY) 突破下降趋势线，表明调整可能在短期内结束。

The bears tried to pull the price back below the level on Aug. 23, but the bulls held their ground. This suggests that the bulls successfully flipped the downtrend line into support.

空头试图将价格拉回到 8 月 23 日的水平以下，但多头坚守阵地。这表明多头成功地将下降趋势线转变为支撑位。

The bulls will next attempt to push the price to 106. The rising 20-day exponential moving average (EMA) at 103 and the relative strength index (RSI) near the overbought territory indicate an advantage to buyers.

多头接下来将尝试将价格推高至 106。上升的 20 天指数移动平均线 (EMA) 位于 103 以及接近超买区域的相对强弱指数 (RSI) 表明买家有优势。

If bears want to make a comeback, they will have to quickly pull the price back below the downtrend line. If they do that, the index may slide to the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) of 102.

如果空头想要卷土重来，他们就必须迅速将价格拉回到下降趋势线以下。如果他们这样做，该指数可能会滑向 50 日简单移动平均线 (SMA) 102。

Bitcoin (BTC) price analysis

比特币（BTC）价格分析

The bulls and the bears are not taking large bets as Bitcoin continues to trade inside the range between $24,800 and $26,833.

由于比特币继续在 24,800 美元至 26,833 美元之间的范围内交易，多头和空头并没有进行大额押注。

The downsloping moving averages and the RSI in the oversold zone indicate that bears are in command. However, sellers may find it difficult to resume the downward move because the bulls are likely to defend the $24,800 level with vigor.

向下倾斜的移动平均线和超卖区域的 RSI 表明空头占据主导地位。然而，卖家可能会发现很难恢复下跌走势，因为多头可能会大力捍卫 24,800 美元的水平。

If the price rebounds off the support, it will suggest that the BTC/USDT pair may continue its consolidation for some more time. On the upside, a rally above $26,833 will be the first sign of strength. That could push the price to the 50-day SMA ($28,806) and later to $30,000.

如果价格从支撑位反弹，则表明 BTC/USDT 货币对可能会继续盘整一段时间。从好的方面来看，反弹至 26,833 美元上方将是强势的第一个迹象。这可能会将价格推至 50 日移动平均线（28,806 美元），然后升至 30,000 美元。

Contrarily, a break and close below the $24,800 support could start the next leg of the downtrend to $20,000.

相反，如果跌破并收盘低于 24,800 美元的支撑位，可能会开始下一阶段的下跌趋势，跌至 20,000 美元。

Ether (ETH) price analysis

以太币（ETH）价格分析

Ether has been trading near the crucial support at $1,626, indicating that the bears have kept up the selling pressure.

以太币一直在 1,626 美元的关键支撑位附近交易，表明空头持续施加抛售压力。

The failure of the bulls to start a strong rebound increases the risk of a break below $1,626. If that happens, the ETH/USDT pair could plummet to $1,550. This level may attract solid buying by the bulls.

多头未能启动强劲反弹会增加跌破 1,626 美元的风险。如果发生这种情况，ETH/USDT 货币对可能会暴跌至 1,550 美元。该水平可能会吸引多头的大量买盘。

If the price turns up from this level but turns down from $1,626, it will signal that bears have flipped the level into resistance. That may start a downtrend toward $1,368. The bulls will have to kick the price above the 20-day EMA ($1,716) to signal a comeback.

如果价格从该水平上涨，但从 1,626 美元下跌，则表明空头已将该水平转变为阻力位。这可能会开始下跌至 1,368 美元。多头必须将价格推至 20 日均线（1,716 美元）上方才能发出回归信号。

BNB price analysis

BNB价格分析

BNB’s pullback is facing selling at the breakdown level of $220, indicating that the bears are trying to flip the level into resistance.

BNB 的回调面临 220 美元击穿水平的抛售，这表明空头正试图将该水平转变为阻力位。

A minor positive in favor of the bulls is that they have not given up much ground from $220. This suggests that buyers are keeping up the pressure. The bulls will have to overcome the barrier at the 20-day EMA ($223) to start a relief rally to the resistance line. This level may again witness strong selling by the bears.

有利于多头的一个小利好是，他们没有放弃 220 美元的太多阵地。这表明买家正在继续施加压力。多头必须克服 20 日均线（223 美元）的障碍，才能开始向阻力线反弹。该水平可能会再次见证空头的强劲抛售。

The first support on the downside is $213. If this level breaks down, the BNB/USDT pair could plunge to psychological support at $200. A break below this level may extend the decline to the next major support at $183.

下行的第一个支撑位是 213 美元。如果该水平跌破，BNB/USDT 货币对可能会跌至 200 美元的心理支撑位。跌破该水平可能会延续跌势至下一个主要支撑位 183 美元。

XRP price analysis

瑞波币价格分析

The failure of the bulls to push XRP to overhead resistance at $0.56 suggests a lack of demand at higher levels.

多头未能将 XRP 推至 0.56 美元的上方阻力位，这表明较高水平缺乏需求。

The weak bounce off $0.50 may attract aggressive selling by the bears. If the $0.50 support gives way, the XRP/USDT pair could drop to the crucial support at $0.41. This level could witness strong buying by the bulls. If the price rebounds off this support, it will suggest that the pair may oscillate between $0.41 and $0.56 for a few more days.

从 0.50 美元的微弱反弹可能会吸引空头的激进抛售。如果 0.50 美元的支撑位被打破，XRP/USDT 货币对可能会跌至 0.41 美元的关键支撑位。该水平可能见证多头的强劲买盘。如果价格从该支撑位反弹，则表明该货币对可能会在接下来的几天内在 0.41 美元至 0.56 美元之间波动。

Conversely, if the price turns up and breaks above $0.56, it will suggest the start of a sustained recovery. The pair may then climb to the 50-day SMA ($0.64).

相反，如果价格上涨并突破0.56美元，则表明持续复苏的开始。随后该货币对可能会攀升至 50 日移动平均线（0.64 美元）。

Cardano (ADA) price analysis

卡尔达诺（ADA）价格分析

Cardano (ADA) has been swinging inside the narrow range between $0.24 and $0.28 for the past few days. This suggests that the bulls are buying near the support and bears are selling at the resistance level.

过去几天，卡尔达诺 (ADA) 一直在 0.24 美元至 0.28 美元之间的窄幅区间内波动。这表明多头在支撑位附近买入，空头在阻力位附近卖出。

If buyers propel the price above the overhead resistance at $0.28, the ADA/USDT pair could start a rally to the 50-day SMA ($0.29). This level may act as an obstacle, but if overcome, the pair could shoot to $0.34.

如果买家推动价格突破 0.28 美元的上方阻力位，则 ADA/USDT 货币对可能会开始反弹至 50 日移动平均线（0.29 美元）。该水平可能会成为一个障碍，但如果被克服，该货币对可能会上涨至 0.34 美元。

The bears are likely to have other plans. They will try to defend the overhead resistance and tug the price to the support of the range at $0.24. If this level breaks down, the pair may slump to $0.22 and eventually to $0.20.

熊市可能还有其他计划。他们将努力捍卫上方阻力位，并将价格拉至 0.24 美元的区间支撑位。如果该水平跌破，该货币对可能会跌至 0.22 美元，最终跌至 0.20 美元。

Dogecoin (DOGE) price analysis

狗狗币 (DOGE) 价格分析

Dogecoin has been trading between the strong support at $0.06 and the 20-day EMA ($0.07) for the past few days.

过去几天，狗狗币一直在 0.06 美元的强劲支撑位和 20 日均线（0.07 美元）之间交易。

The 20-day EMA is sloping down and the RSI is in the negative territory, indicating that the bears have the edge. Sellers will try to sink the price below $0.06 and further strengthen their position.

20 日均线向下倾斜，RSI 处于负值区域，表明空头占据优势。卖家将尝试将价格压低至 0.06 美元以下，并进一步巩固自己的地位。

Time is running out for the bulls. If they want to start a recovery, they will have to quickly drive the price above the 20-day EMA. If they do that, the DOGE/USDT pair could rally to the 50-day SMA ($0.07) and thereafter jump to $0.08.

多头的时间已经不多了。如果他们想开始复苏，就必须迅速将价格推至 20 日均线上方。如果他们这样做，DOGE/USDT 货币对可能会反弹至 50 日移动平均线（0.07 美元），然后跳至 0.08 美元。

Solana (SOL) price analysis

Solana (SOL) 价格分析

Solana has been gradually drifting lower, indicating that the bears are pouncing on every minor relief rally.

索拉纳一直在逐渐走低，这表明空头正在趁着每次小幅缓解反弹的机会发起攻击。

The SOL/USDT pair could drop to the Aug. 22 intraday low of $19.35. If this level caves in, the selling could intensify and the pair may dive to $18 and eventually to the next major support at $15.60.

SOL/USDT 货币对可能会跌至 8 月 22 日盘中低点 19.35 美元。如果该水平下跌，抛售可能会加剧，该货币对可能会跌至 18 美元，并最终跌至下一个主要支撑位 15.60 美元。

Contrary to this assumption, if the price turns up and breaks above $22.30, it will indicate solid buying at lower levels. The pair may first rise to the 50-day SMA ($23.61) and thereafter to the strong resistance at $26.

与这一假设相反，如果价格上涨并突破 22.30 美元，则表明较低水平上存在强劲买盘。该货币对可能首先升至 50 日移动平均线（23.61 美元），然后升至 26 美元的强阻力位。

Polkadot (DOT) price analysis

波卡（DOT）价格分析

The bulls are trying to shove Polkadot above the overhead resistance at the 20-day EMA ($4.64), but they are likely to encounter stiff resistance from the bears.

多头试图将 Polkadot 推至 20 日均线（4.64 美元）的上方阻力位，但他们可能会遇到空头的强烈阻力。

If the price turns down from the 20-day EMA, it will suggest that the sentiment remains negative and traders are selling on rallies. That could increase the likelihood of a retest of the crucial support at $4.22. If this support crumbles, the DOT/USDT pair may collapse to $4 and later to $3.88.

如果价格从 20 日均线下跌，则表明市场情绪依然消极，交易者逢高抛售。这可能会增加重新测试 4.22 美元关键支撑位的可能性。如果该支撑位崩溃，DOT/USDT 货币对可能会跌至 4 美元，随后跌至 3.88 美元。

On the other hand, if buyers kick the price above the 20-day EMA, it will suggest the start of a stronger relief rally to the breakdown level of $5. This level could attract selling by the bears.

另一方面，如果买家将价格推至 20 日均线上方，则表明将开始更强劲的反弹，直至跌破 5 美元。这一水平可能会吸引空头的抛售。

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