Bitcoin (BTC) has surged above $37,000, reaching its highest price in 18 months, driven by growing optimism that regulators may soon approve the first spot Bitcoin Exchange-Traded Fund (ETF). Following this rally, historical data signal the possibility of the asset initiating a major bull run.

由于人们越来越乐观地认为监管机构可能很快就会批准第一个现货比特币交易所交易基金（ETF），比特币（BTC）已飙升至 37,000 美元以上，达到 18 个月以来的最高价格。在这次反弹之后，历史数据表明该资产有可能启动大规模牛市。

In this context, pseudonymous crypto analyst el_crypto_prof suggested in an X (formerly Twitter) post on November 10 that Bitcoin is on the verge of ‘the biggest bull run ever’ based on historical indicators.

在此背景下，匿名加密货币分析师 el_crypto_prof 在 11 月 10 日的 X（前 Twitter）帖子中表示，根据历史指标，比特币正处于“有史以来最大的牛市”的边缘。

According to the analyst, Bitcoin has exhibited a rare buy signal on the M-Chart, an event that has only occurred once before and was a staggering eight years ago.

这位分析师表示，比特币在 M 图表上表现出了罕见的买入信号，这种事件之前只发生过一次，而且在八年前是令人震惊的。

In addition, Bitcoin has surged above the SMA 20 line, marking a significant milestone. The analyst pointed out that, based on chart movement, the convergence of these indicators could signify the beginning of the most substantial bull run in Bitcoin’s history, noting the potential entry of institutions into the market.

此外，比特币已飙升至20移动平均线上方，标志着一个重要的里程碑。该分析师指出，根据图表走势，这些指标的收敛可能意味着比特币历史上最大规模牛市的开始，并指出机构可能进入市场。

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加密货币

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在 SEC 挥之不去的不确定性中，XRP 可能会在此时突破

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“This indicator shows a buy signal on the M-Chart of $BTC, which has only happened once before and that was 8 YEARS ago.<…> One reason why I believe we’re facing the biggest bull run ever. Institutions are here,” he said. 

“该指标在 BTC 的 M 图表上显示了买入信号，这种情况之前只发生过一次，那是 8 年前的事了。我相信我们正面临有史以来最大的牛市的原因之一。机构就在这里，”他说。

Bitcoin searching for record high amid ETF speculation

ETF炒作中比特币创历史新高

The historical context of this rare event, coupled with the breakthrough above the SMA 20, aligns with a period when Bitcoin is searching for the next all-time high amidst regulatory uncertainty. The recent surge in Bitcoin’s price is noteworthy, with its momentum attributed to the potential approval of 12 separate Bitcoin ETF spots over the next week.

这一罕见事件的历史背景，加上突破 20 移动平均线，与比特币在监管不确定性中寻找下一个历史高点的时期相一致。最近比特币价格的飙升值得注意，其势头归因于下周可能批准 12 个独立的比特币 ETF 现货。

Bloomberg ETF analysts James Seyffart and Eric Balchunas noted that the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has until November 17 to review and potentially approve several high-profile offerings from prominent U.S. fund managers.

彭博 ETF 分析师 James Seyffart 和 Eric Balchunas 指出，美国证券交易委员会 (SEC) 必须在 11 月 17 日之前审查并可能批准美国著名基金经理的几项备受瞩目的发行。

Of all the applicants, investors are particularly enthusiastic about the possibility of BlackRock (NYSE: BLK), the world’s leading investment firm, gaining approval. Despite this anticipation, a segment of the crypto market suggests that the approval of an ETF does not guarantee a subsequent Bitcoin rally.

在所有申请人中，投资者尤其热衷于全球领先的投资公司贝莱德（纽约证券交易所代码：BLK）获得批准的可能性。尽管有这样的预期，但加密货币市场的一部分表明，ETF 的批准并不能保证比特币随后的反弹。

Indeed, while Bitcoin rallies, a similar trend is observed among investors. According to a Finbold report, most Bitcoin holders are currently making a profit. In this line, the level around $34,000 is considered a pivotal support to look out for. 

事实上，在比特币上涨的同时，投资者也观察到了类似的趋势。根据 Finbold 的报告，大多数比特币持有者目前都在盈利。在此线上，34,000 美元左右的水平被认为是值得关注的关键支撑位。

Bitcoin price analysis

比特币价格分析

Bitcoin was valued at $37,026 by press time, reflecting less than 1% gains in the past 24 hours. Over the last seven days, BTC has seen a 6% increase.

截至发稿时，比特币估值为 37,026 美元，过去 24 小时内涨幅不到 1%。在过去 7 天里，BTC 上涨了 6%。

Elsewhere, technical indicators retrieved from TradingView indicate a bullish outlook for Bitcoin. The one-day gauges summary suggests a ‘buy’ at 14, with moving averages signaling a ‘strong buy’ at 13. On the other hand, oscillators indicate a ‘sell’ at 3.

在其他地方，从 TradingView 检索到的技术指标表明比特币的看涨前景。一日指标摘要表明在 14 处“买入”，移动平均线在 13 处表明“强力买入”。另一方面，振荡指标在 3 处表明“卖出”。

Meanwhile, Bitcoin appears to be holding above the $35,000 mark, and attention has shifted to surpassing the $40,000 resistance level.

与此同时，比特币似乎保持在 35,000 美元大关之上，人们的注意力已转向突破 40,000 美元阻力位。

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免责声明：本网站上的内容不应被视为投资建议。投资是投机性的。投资时，您的资本面临风险。