Crypto Price Analysis 9-19 BTC, ETH, SOL, DOGE, DOT, UNI, INJ

The Cryptocurrency Markets Show Upward Trend After Federal Reserve Rate Cut

The cryptocurrency markets have continued their recent upward momentum, with major cryptocurrencies experiencing gains, including Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), Solana (SOL), Ripple (XRP), Dogecoin (DOGE), and Toncoin (TON).

The total cryptocurrency market capitalization has also increased by over 3%, reaching $2.14 trillion. This positive market sentiment follows the Federal Reserve's announcement of a 50 basis point reduction in interest rates.

Several analysts and market observers, including Robert Kiyosaki, the author of "Rich Dad Poor Dad," believe that the price of BTC and other major cryptocurrencies could see a significant increase in the wake of the rate cuts. Kiyosaki predicts that investors will shift towards assets like Bitcoin, gold, and silver as interest rates drop, leading to higher prices for these assets.

Federal Reserve Cuts Interest Rates by 50 Basis Points

Bitcoin has risen above $62,000 following the Federal Reserve's announcement of a 50 bps rate cut. This marks the first rate cut in nearly four years after the Fed's recent aggressive hiking cycle.

In a press release, the Fed stated:

"The Committee has gained greater confidence that inflation is moving sustainably toward 2 percent and judges that the risks to achieving its employment and inflation goals are roughly in balance. The economic outlook is uncertain, and the Committee is attentive to the risks to both sides of its dual mandate."

The Fed projects that median benchmark rates will drop to 4.4% by year-end. Fed Chair Jerome Powell expressed confidence in the US economy and stated that the rate cut would help maintain its stability. After the rate cut, BTC recorded an increase of 1.2%, climbing above $61,000 before retreating. US equities also erased their gains, with the Nasdaq 100 and S&P 500 ending the session down by 0.3%.

Conflicting Views on Rate Cut

Meanwhile, there are differing opinions on the impact of the rate cut. Marc P. Bernegger, co-founder of AltAlpha Digital, believes that the rate cut will significantly drive up the price of major cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum. According to Bernegger, lower interest rates would enhance liquidity and enable greater investment in riskier assets. Additionally, it would reduce the cost of borrowing, encouraging more funds to flow into digital assets. Historically, lower interest rates have often led to asset price increases and increased investor sentiment. Bernegger anticipates that the rate cut will boost demand and push up prices, contributing to a bullish market outlook.

However, the co-founder of BitMex presents a contrasting view, arguing that a rate cut is misguided as it could fuel inflation and strengthen the Japanese Yen. Hayes contends that while rate cuts typically increase liquidity, the current economic climate is not conducive to this approach.

"Lowering rates is a bad idea right now because inflation remains an issue in the US."

He also maintains that the rate cut could impact the global financial system, particularly the Japanese Yen, and that a narrowing of the interest rate gap between the US and Japan might lead to a substantial rise in the Yen's value, prompting investors to withdraw from "Yen carry trades."

"The second reason is that the interest rate differential between the US and Japan narrows with rate cuts. That could lead to sharp appreciation in the Yen and trigger unwinding of the Yen carry trades."

Scrutiny of SEC's Cryptocurrency Regulations

Members of Congress and representatives from the crypto community convened to discuss the Securities and Exchange Commission's (SEC) regulatory approach to the cryptocurrency industry. SEC Chair Gary Gensler's actions came under intense scrutiny as lawmakers debated the overreach of the commission's approach. Congressman Ritchie Torres questioned Gensler about the potential tokenization of Pokemon cards, eliciting a response that, according to Torres, demonstrated Gensler's discomfort with any form of decentralization. Congressman Wiley Nickel also condemned Gensler's approach, arguing that stringent regulations are harmful to consumers, innovation, competitiveness, and the Democratic administration.

Bitcoin (BTC) Price Analysis

Bitcoin (BTC) climbed above $62,000 after the Federal Reserve's announcement of a 50 bps rate cut, showing continued support. The price chart indicates that BTC has maintained a bullish stance despite facing selling pressure on Wednesday. If the current sentiment persists, BTC could potentially exceed the 200-day SMA and stabilize around $65,000. However, the price ended the previous week on a bearish note, falling below the 50-day SMA on Sunday and settling at $59,165. Sellers maintained pressure on Monday, causing BTC to decline further by 1.69% and drop to $58,164, slightly above the 20-day SMA.

Source: TradingView

Sentiment shifted on Tuesday as BTC rebounded from the 20-day SMA, rising above the 50-day SMA to reclaim the $60,000 level and close at $60,321. Wednesday brought significant selling pressure as sellers attempted to push the price below the 50-day SMA. Consequently, BTC fell to a low of $59,217. Nonetheless, buyers managed to regain control as demand increased, aided by the 50-day SMA's role as a dynamic support level. BTC subsequently recovered the $60,000 level after a 2.41% increase, settling at $61,773.

The current session witnessed BTC moving above the crucial $62,000 level as markets reacted positively to the Federal Reserve's rate cut. If BTC can maintain its bullish momentum, it could突破 the 200-day SMA and rise towards $65,000. Conversely, a change in sentiment could lead sellers to drive the price back under $60,000. A bullish MACD indicates that buyers are currently in control.

Ethereum (ETH) Price Analysis

Ethereum (ETH) has gained nearly 4% in the past 24 hours as bullish sentiment returns to the market, finally pushing above the crucial $2,400 level and breaking a key resistance barrier. ETH has shown a positive trajectory this week, as seen in the price chart, despite a substantial drop of 4.21% on Sunday to $2,318, ending the previous week on a bearish note. The downward trend continued on Monday as ETH fell below $2,300 after a decline of 0.95%. However, strong support at this level allowed for a quick recovery of 2.06% on Tuesday, reclaiming $2,300 and settling at $2,343. Buyers also attempted to move above the 20-day SMA but were unsuccessful.

Source: TradingView

Wednesday saw a struggle between buyers and sellers, each vying for control. Sellers aimed to push ETH below $2,300 again, causing a dip to $2,280. However, buyers swiftly countered the sellers as demand increased, eventually reversing the selling pressure to post a 1.36% gain and close at $2,375. With the announcement of a 0.50% rate cut having a positive impact on the market, ETH surged above $2,400 and the 20-day SMA during the session and is currently trading at $2,437.

A rally towards $2,500 could materialize if buyers can uphold the current momentum. Such a move would also indicate a retreat by the bears, potentially marking a change in sentiment towards ETH. Conversely, sellers will attempt to push ETH back under $2,400 and $2,300. If this occurs, ETH might drop as low as $2,100.

Solana (SOL) Price Analysis

Solana (SOL) is aiming to test the $140 resistance once more as buying activity picks up following the Fed's announcement of a 50 bps rate cut. SOL has struggled to push above $140 due to strong resistance, with its most recent attempt to break through occurring last weekend. However, buyers failed in their endeavor, with SOL dropping by 1.41% on Saturday and a further 4.20% on Sunday, slipping below the 20-day SMA to settle at $131. The current week commenced with SOL experiencing significant volatility as sellers attempted to force it below $130 while buyers sought to keep it above this support level.

Source: TradingView

As a result, SOL remained stagnant on Monday. Volatility persisted on Tuesday as buyers attempted to move above the 20-day SMA. However, dwindling demand allowed sellers to push SOL back down after it reached a day high of $135, ultimately settling at $131 after a slight increase. Wednesday saw significant selling pressure as SOL dropped to a day low of $127 before recovering and closing at $134 after a 2.07% gain. The current session has buyers firmly in control, with SOL up 3.41% as it eyes a rise above $140 and the 50-day SMA.

If SOL manages to push above $140 and consolidate, it could rally towards $150 or beyond in the short term. However, the price could retreat back to $130 should sentiment shift and sellers regain dominance. Breaching this support level could trigger a drop to $120 or lower.

Dogecoin (DOGE) Price Analysis

Dogecoin (DOGE)