加密貨幣價格分析 9-19 BTC、ETH、SOL、DOGE、DOT、UNI、INJ

加密貨幣市場延續了近期的上漲勢頭，主要加密貨幣都出現上漲，包括比特幣 (BTC)、以太幣 (ETH)、Solana (SOL)、Ripple (XRP)、Dogecoin (DOGE) 和 Toncoin (TON)。

The total cryptocurrency market capitalization has also increased by over 3%, reaching $2.14 trillion. This positive market sentiment follows the Federal Reserve's announcement of a 50 basis point reduction in interest rates.

加密貨幣總市值也成長了3%以上，達到2.14兆美元。這種積極的市場情緒是在聯準會宣布降息 50 個基點之後出現的。

Several analysts and market observers, including Robert Kiyosaki, the author of "Rich Dad Poor Dad," believe that the price of BTC and other major cryptocurrencies could see a significant increase in the wake of the rate cuts. Kiyosaki predicts that investors will shift towards assets like Bitcoin, gold, and silver as interest rates drop, leading to higher prices for these assets.

包括《富爸爸窮爸爸》一書的作者羅伯特清崎在內的多位分析師和市場觀察家認為，降息後比特幣和其他主要加密貨幣的價格可能會大幅上漲。清崎預測，隨著利率下降，投資者將轉向比特幣、黃金和白銀等資產，從而導致這些資產的價格上漲。

Federal Reserve Cuts Interest Rates by 50 Basis Points

聯準會降息 50 個基點

Bitcoin has risen above $62,000 following the Federal Reserve's announcement of a 50 bps rate cut. This marks the first rate cut in nearly four years after the Fed's recent aggressive hiking cycle.

在聯準會宣布降息 50 個基點後，比特幣已升至 62,000 美元以上。這是聯準會近期激進的升息週期後近四年來的首次降息。

In a press release, the Fed stated:

聯準會在新聞稿中表示：

"The Committee has gained greater confidence that inflation is moving sustainably toward 2 percent and judges that the risks to achieving its employment and inflation goals are roughly in balance. The economic outlook is uncertain, and the Committee is attentive to the risks to both sides of its dual mandate."

「委員會對通膨持續向2%邁進的信心增強，並判斷實現就業和通膨目標的風險大致平衡。經濟前景不確定，委員會關注經濟和社會雙方面臨的風險。」它的雙重使命。

The Fed projects that median benchmark rates will drop to 4.4% by year-end. Fed Chair Jerome Powell expressed confidence in the US economy and stated that the rate cut would help maintain its stability. After the rate cut, BTC recorded an increase of 1.2%, climbing above $61,000 before retreating. US equities also erased their gains, with the Nasdaq 100 and S&P 500 ending the session down by 0.3%.

聯準會預計到年底基準利率中位數將降至 4.4%。聯準會主席鮑威爾表達了對美國經濟的信心，並表示降息將有助於維持經濟穩定。降息後，BTC 上漲 1.2%，升至 61,000 美元上方，然後回落。美國股市也回吐漲幅，那斯達克指數 100 指數和標準普爾 500 指數收盤下跌 0.3%。

Conflicting Views on Rate Cut

關於降息的相互矛盾的觀點

Meanwhile, there are differing opinions on the impact of the rate cut. Marc P. Bernegger, co-founder of AltAlpha Digital, believes that the rate cut will significantly drive up the price of major cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum. According to Bernegger, lower interest rates would enhance liquidity and enable greater investment in riskier assets. Additionally, it would reduce the cost of borrowing, encouraging more funds to flow into digital assets. Historically, lower interest rates have often led to asset price increases and increased investor sentiment. Bernegger anticipates that the rate cut will boost demand and push up prices, contributing to a bullish market outlook.

同時，對於降息的影響也有不同看法。 AltAlpha Digital 聯合創始人 Marc P. Bernegger 認為，降息將大幅推高比特幣和以太坊等主要加密貨幣的價格。伯內格表示，較低的利率將增強流動性，並有助於增加對風險資產的投資。此外，它將降低借貸成本，鼓勵更多資金流入數位資產。從歷史上看，較低的利率往往會導致資產價格上漲並增加投資者情緒。伯內格預計，降息將提振需求並推高價格，有助於看漲市場前景。

However, the co-founder of BitMex presents a contrasting view, arguing that a rate cut is misguided as it could fuel inflation and strengthen the Japanese Yen. Hayes contends that while rate cuts typically increase liquidity, the current economic climate is not conducive to this approach.

然而，BitMex 的聯合創始人提出了相反的觀點，認為降息是誤導性的，因為它可能會加劇通貨膨脹並加強日元。海耶斯認為，雖然降息通常會增加流動性，但目前的經濟環境不利於這種做法。

"Lowering rates is a bad idea right now because inflation remains an issue in the US."

“目前降低利率是一個壞主意，因為通膨仍然是美國的一個問題。”

He also maintains that the rate cut could impact the global financial system, particularly the Japanese Yen, and that a narrowing of the interest rate gap between the US and Japan might lead to a substantial rise in the Yen's value, prompting investors to withdraw from "Yen carry trades."

他還認為，降息可能會影響全球金融體系，特別是日元，美日利差收窄可能導致日元大幅升值，促使投資者撤離“日元套利交易。”

"The second reason is that the interest rate differential between the US and Japan narrows with rate cuts. That could lead to sharp appreciation in the Yen and trigger unwinding of the Yen carry trades."

“第二個原因是美國和日本之間的利差隨著降息而縮小。這可能導致日元大幅升值並引發日元套利交易的平倉。”

Scrutiny of SEC's Cryptocurrency Regulations

SEC 加密貨幣法規的審查

Members of Congress and representatives from the crypto community convened to discuss the Securities and Exchange Commission's (SEC) regulatory approach to the cryptocurrency industry. SEC Chair Gary Gensler's actions came under intense scrutiny as lawmakers debated the overreach of the commission's approach. Congressman Ritchie Torres questioned Gensler about the potential tokenization of Pokemon cards, eliciting a response that, according to Torres, demonstrated Gensler's discomfort with any form of decentralization. Congressman Wiley Nickel also condemned Gensler's approach, arguing that stringent regulations are harmful to consumers, innovation, competitiveness, and the Democratic administration.

國會議員和加密貨幣社區的代表齊聚一堂，討論美國證券交易委員會 (SEC) 對加密貨幣行業的監管方法。由於立法者對該委員會的做法是否過度爭論，美國證券交易委員會主席加里·詹斯勒的行為受到嚴格審查。國會議員里奇·托雷斯(Ritchie Torres) 就《口袋妖怪》卡牌的潛在代幣化問題向詹斯勒提出了質疑，根據托雷斯的說法，引起的回應表明詹斯勒對任何形式的權力下放感到不安。國會議員威利·尼克爾也譴責了詹斯勒的做法，認為嚴格的監管不利於消費者、創新、競爭力和民主黨政府。

Bitcoin (BTC) Price Analysis

比特幣（BTC）價格分析

Bitcoin (BTC) climbed above $62,000 after the Federal Reserve's announcement of a 50 bps rate cut, showing continued support. The price chart indicates that BTC has maintained a bullish stance despite facing selling pressure on Wednesday. If the current sentiment persists, BTC could potentially exceed the 200-day SMA and stabilize around $65,000. However, the price ended the previous week on a bearish note, falling below the 50-day SMA on Sunday and settling at $59,165. Sellers maintained pressure on Monday, causing BTC to decline further by 1.69% and drop to $58,164, slightly above the 20-day SMA.

在聯準會宣布降息 50 個基點後，比特幣 (BTC) 攀升至 62,000 美元上方，顯示出持續的支撐。價格圖表顯示，儘管週三面臨拋售壓力，但比特幣仍保持看漲立場。如果目前的情緒持續下去，BTC 可能會突破 200 日移動平均線並穩定在 65,000 美元左右。然而，上週價格以看跌收場，週日跌破 50 日移動平均線，最終收在 59,165 美元。週一賣家繼續施壓，導致 BTC 進一步下跌 1.69%，跌至 58,164 美元，略高於 20 日移動平均線。

Source: TradingView

來源：TradingView

Sentiment shifted on Tuesday as BTC rebounded from the 20-day SMA, rising above the 50-day SMA to reclaim the $60,000 level and close at $60,321. Wednesday brought significant selling pressure as sellers attempted to push the price below the 50-day SMA. Consequently, BTC fell to a low of $59,217. Nonetheless, buyers managed to regain control as demand increased, aided by the 50-day SMA's role as a dynamic support level. BTC subsequently recovered the $60,000 level after a 2.41% increase, settling at $61,773.

週二，隨著 BTC 從 20 日移動平均線反彈，升破 50 日移動平均線，重回 60,000 美元水平，收於 60,321 美元，市場情緒發生轉變。週三帶來了巨大的拋售壓力，因為賣家試圖將價格推低至 50 日移動平均線以下。因此，BTC 跌至 59,217 美元的低點。儘管如此，隨著需求的增加，在 50 日移動平均線作為動態支撐位的幫助下，買家設法重新獲得控制權。 BTC 在上漲 2.41% 後隨後收復 60,000 美元水平，最終收在 61,773 美元。

The current session witnessed BTC moving above the crucial $62,000 level as markets reacted positively to the Federal Reserve's rate cut. If BTC can maintain its bullish momentum, it could突破 the 200-day SMA and rise towards $65,000. Conversely, a change in sentiment could lead sellers to drive the price back under $60,000. A bullish MACD indicates that buyers are currently in control.

由於市場對聯準會降息做出積極反應，當前交易日比特幣突破了 62,000 美元的關鍵水平。如果BTC能夠保持看漲勢頭，則可能會突破200日移動平均線併升至65,000美元。相反，情緒的變化可能導致賣家將價格拉回 60,000 美元以下。看漲的 MACD 表明買家目前處於控制之中。

Ethereum (ETH) Price Analysis

以太坊（ETH）價格分析

Ethereum (ETH) has gained nearly 4% in the past 24 hours as bullish sentiment returns to the market, finally pushing above the crucial $2,400 level and breaking a key resistance barrier. ETH has shown a positive trajectory this week, as seen in the price chart, despite a substantial drop of 4.21% on Sunday to $2,318, ending the previous week on a bearish note. The downward trend continued on Monday as ETH fell below $2,300 after a decline of 0.95%. However, strong support at this level allowed for a quick recovery of 2.06% on Tuesday, reclaiming $2,300 and settling at $2,343. Buyers also attempted to move above the 20-day SMA but were unsuccessful.

隨著看漲情緒回歸市場，以太坊 (ETH) 在過去 24 小時內上漲了近 4%，最終突破了關鍵的 2,400 美元水平並突破了關鍵阻力位。正如價格圖表所示，ETH 本週呈現出積極的軌跡，儘管週日大幅下跌 4.21% 至 2,318 美元，上週以看跌收場。週一，ETH 繼續下跌，跌幅為 0.95%，跌破 2300 美元。然而，該水平的強勁支撐使其在周二迅速回升 2.06%，重回 2,300 美元並收於 2,343 美元。買家還試圖突破 20 日移動平均線，但沒有成功。

Source: TradingView

來源：TradingView

Wednesday saw a struggle between buyers and sellers, each vying for control. Sellers aimed to push ETH below $2,300 again, causing a dip to $2,280. However, buyers swiftly countered the sellers as demand increased, eventually reversing the selling pressure to post a 1.36% gain and close at $2,375. With the announcement of a 0.50% rate cut having a positive impact on the market, ETH surged above $2,400 and the 20-day SMA during the session and is currently trading at $2,437.

週三，買家和賣家之間展開了鬥爭，雙方都在爭奪控制權。賣家的目標是再次將 ETH 壓低至 2,300 美元以下，導致其跌至 2,280 美元。然而，隨著需求增加，買家迅速反擊賣家，最終扭轉了拋售壓力，上漲 1.36%，收在 2,375 美元。隨著降息0.50%的宣布對市場產生正面影響，ETH盤中飆升至2,400美元和20日均線上方，目前交易價格為2,437美元。

A rally towards $2,500 could materialize if buyers can uphold the current momentum. Such a move would also indicate a retreat by the bears, potentially marking a change in sentiment towards ETH. Conversely, sellers will attempt to push ETH back under $2,400 and $2,300. If this occurs, ETH might drop as low as $2,100.

如果買家能夠維持目前的勢頭，價格可能會上漲至 2,500 美元。這一舉動也表明空頭的撤退，可能標誌著人們對 ETH 的情緒發生變化。相反，賣家將試圖將 ETH 壓回 2,400 美元和 2,300 美元以下。如果發生這種情況，ETH 可能會跌至 2,100 美元。

Solana (SOL) Price Analysis

Solana (SOL) 價格分析

Solana (SOL) is aiming to test the $140 resistance once more as buying activity picks up following the Fed's announcement of a 50 bps rate cut. SOL has struggled to push above $140 due to strong resistance, with its most recent attempt to break through occurring last weekend. However, buyers failed in their endeavor, with SOL dropping by 1.41% on Saturday and a further 4.20% on Sunday, slipping below the 20-day SMA to settle at $131. The current week commenced with SOL experiencing significant volatility as sellers attempted to force it below $130 while buyers sought to keep it above this support level.

Solana (SOL) 的目標是再次測試 140 美元阻力位，因為聯準會宣布降息 50 個基點後購買活動增加。由於強勁阻力，SOL 一直難以突破 140 美元，最近一次嘗試突破是在上週末。然而，買家的努力失敗了，SOL 週六下跌 1.41%，週日進一步下跌 4.20%，跌破 20 日移動平均線，收在 131 美元。本週開始，SOL 經歷了大幅波動，賣家試圖將其壓低至 130 美元以下，而買家則試圖將其保持在這一支撐位之上。

Source: TradingView

來源：TradingView

As a result, SOL remained stagnant on Monday. Volatility persisted on Tuesday as buyers attempted to move above the 20-day SMA. However, dwindling demand allowed sellers to push SOL back down after it reached a day high of $135, ultimately settling at $131 after a slight increase. Wednesday saw significant selling pressure as SOL dropped to a day low of $127 before recovering and closing at $134 after a 2.07% gain. The current session has buyers firmly in control, with SOL up 3.41% as it eyes a rise above $140 and the 50-day SMA.

因此，週一 SOL 仍然停滯不前。週二，由於買家試圖突破 20 日移動平均線，波動持續存在。然而，需求減少使得 SOL 在觸及 135 美元的全日高點後，賣家將其壓低，最終在小幅上漲後收於 131 美元。週三，SOL 遭遇巨大拋售壓力，跌至全日低點 127 美元，隨後反彈並收於 134 美元，漲幅為 2.07%。當前交易日買家牢牢掌控著局勢，SOL 上漲 3.41%，因為它預計將升破 140 美元和 50 日移動平均線。

If SOL manages to push above $140 and consolidate, it could rally towards $150 or beyond in the short term. However, the price could retreat back to $130 should sentiment shift and sellers regain dominance. Breaching this support level could trigger a drop to $120 or lower.

如果 SOL 成功突破 140 美元並盤整，短期內可能會反彈至 150 美元或更高。然而，如果情緒轉變並且賣家重新佔據主導地位，價格可能會回落至 130 美元。突破該支撐位可能會導致價格跌至 120 美元或更低。

Dogecoin (DOGE) Price Analysis

狗狗幣 (DOGE) 價格分析

Dogecoin (DOGE)

狗狗幣 (DOGE)