加密货币价格分析 9-19 BTC、ETH、SOL、DOGE、DOT、UNI、INJ

加密货币市场延续了近期的上涨势头，主要加密货币都出现上涨，包括比特币 (BTC)、以太坊 (ETH)、Solana (SOL)、Ripple (XRP)、Dogecoin (DOGE) 和 Toncoin (TON)。

The total cryptocurrency market capitalization has also increased by over 3%, reaching $2.14 trillion. This positive market sentiment follows the Federal Reserve's announcement of a 50 basis point reduction in interest rates.

加密货币总市值也增长了3%以上，达到2.14万亿美元。这种积极的市场情绪是在美联储宣布降息 50 个基点之后出现的。

Several analysts and market observers, including Robert Kiyosaki, the author of "Rich Dad Poor Dad," believe that the price of BTC and other major cryptocurrencies could see a significant increase in the wake of the rate cuts. Kiyosaki predicts that investors will shift towards assets like Bitcoin, gold, and silver as interest rates drop, leading to higher prices for these assets.

包括《富爸爸穷爸爸》一书的作者罗伯特清崎在内的多位分析师和市场观察人士认为，降息后比特币和其他主要加密货币的价格可能会大幅上涨。清崎预测，随着利率下降，投资者将转向比特币、黄金和白银等资产，从而导致这些资产的价格上涨。

Federal Reserve Cuts Interest Rates by 50 Basis Points

美联储降息 50 个基点

Bitcoin has risen above $62,000 following the Federal Reserve's announcement of a 50 bps rate cut. This marks the first rate cut in nearly four years after the Fed's recent aggressive hiking cycle.

在美联储宣布降息 50 个基点后，比特币已升至 62,000 美元以上。这是美联储近期激进的加息周期后近四年来的首次降息。

In a press release, the Fed stated:

美联储在新闻稿中表示：

"The Committee has gained greater confidence that inflation is moving sustainably toward 2 percent and judges that the risks to achieving its employment and inflation goals are roughly in balance. The economic outlook is uncertain, and the Committee is attentive to the risks to both sides of its dual mandate."

“委员会对通胀持续向2%迈进的信心增强，并判断实现就业和通胀目标的风险大致平衡。经济前景不确定，委员会关注经济和社会双方面临的风险。”它的双重使命。”

The Fed projects that median benchmark rates will drop to 4.4% by year-end. Fed Chair Jerome Powell expressed confidence in the US economy and stated that the rate cut would help maintain its stability. After the rate cut, BTC recorded an increase of 1.2%, climbing above $61,000 before retreating. US equities also erased their gains, with the Nasdaq 100 and S&P 500 ending the session down by 0.3%.

美联储预计到年底基准利率中值将降至 4.4%。美联储主席鲍威尔表达了对美国经济的信心，并表示降息将有助于保持经济稳定。降息后，BTC 上涨 1.2%，升至 61,000 美元上方，然后回落。美国股市也回吐涨幅，纳斯达克 100 指数和标准普尔 500 指数收盘下跌 0.3%。

Conflicting Views on Rate Cut

关于降息的相互矛盾的观点

Meanwhile, there are differing opinions on the impact of the rate cut. Marc P. Bernegger, co-founder of AltAlpha Digital, believes that the rate cut will significantly drive up the price of major cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum. According to Bernegger, lower interest rates would enhance liquidity and enable greater investment in riskier assets. Additionally, it would reduce the cost of borrowing, encouraging more funds to flow into digital assets. Historically, lower interest rates have often led to asset price increases and increased investor sentiment. Bernegger anticipates that the rate cut will boost demand and push up prices, contributing to a bullish market outlook.

与此同时，对于降息的影响也存在不同看法。 AltAlpha Digital 联合创始人 Marc P. Bernegger 认为，降息将大幅推高比特币和以太坊等主要加密货币的价格。伯内格表示，较低的利率将增强流动性，并有助于加大对风险资产的投资。此外，它将降低借贷成本，鼓励更多资金流入数字资产。从历史上看，较低的利率往往会导致资产价格上涨并增加投资者情绪。伯内格预计，降息将提振需求并推高价格，从而有助于看涨市场前景。

However, the co-founder of BitMex presents a contrasting view, arguing that a rate cut is misguided as it could fuel inflation and strengthen the Japanese Yen. Hayes contends that while rate cuts typically increase liquidity, the current economic climate is not conducive to this approach.

然而，BitMex 的联合创始人提出了相反的观点，认为降息是误导性的，因为它可能会加剧通货膨胀并加强日元。海耶斯认为，虽然降息通常会增加流动性，但当前的经济环境不利于这种做法。

"Lowering rates is a bad idea right now because inflation remains an issue in the US."

“目前降低利率是一个坏主意，因为通胀仍然是美国的一个问题。”

He also maintains that the rate cut could impact the global financial system, particularly the Japanese Yen, and that a narrowing of the interest rate gap between the US and Japan might lead to a substantial rise in the Yen's value, prompting investors to withdraw from "Yen carry trades."

他还认为，降息可能会影响全球金融体系，特别是日元，美日利差收窄可能导致日元大幅升值，促使投资者撤离“日元套利交易。”

"The second reason is that the interest rate differential between the US and Japan narrows with rate cuts. That could lead to sharp appreciation in the Yen and trigger unwinding of the Yen carry trades."

“第二个原因是美国和日本之间的利差随着降息而缩小。这可能导致日元大幅升值并引发日元套利交易的平仓。”

Scrutiny of SEC's Cryptocurrency Regulations

SEC 加密货币法规的审查

Members of Congress and representatives from the crypto community convened to discuss the Securities and Exchange Commission's (SEC) regulatory approach to the cryptocurrency industry. SEC Chair Gary Gensler's actions came under intense scrutiny as lawmakers debated the overreach of the commission's approach. Congressman Ritchie Torres questioned Gensler about the potential tokenization of Pokemon cards, eliciting a response that, according to Torres, demonstrated Gensler's discomfort with any form of decentralization. Congressman Wiley Nickel also condemned Gensler's approach, arguing that stringent regulations are harmful to consumers, innovation, competitiveness, and the Democratic administration.

国会议员和加密货币社区的代表齐聚一堂，讨论美国证券交易委员会 (SEC) 对加密货币行业的监管方法。由于立法者对该委员会的做法是否过度争论，美国证券交易委员会主席加里·詹斯勒的行为受到严格审查。国会议员里奇·托雷斯 (Ritchie Torres) 就《口袋妖怪》卡牌的潜在代币化问题向詹斯勒提出了质疑，根据托雷斯的说法，引起的回应表明詹斯勒对任何形式的权力下放感到不安。国会议员威利·尼克尔也谴责了詹斯勒的做法，认为严格的监管不利于消费者、创新、竞争力和民主党政府。

Bitcoin (BTC) Price Analysis

比特币（BTC）价格分析

Bitcoin (BTC) climbed above $62,000 after the Federal Reserve's announcement of a 50 bps rate cut, showing continued support. The price chart indicates that BTC has maintained a bullish stance despite facing selling pressure on Wednesday. If the current sentiment persists, BTC could potentially exceed the 200-day SMA and stabilize around $65,000. However, the price ended the previous week on a bearish note, falling below the 50-day SMA on Sunday and settling at $59,165. Sellers maintained pressure on Monday, causing BTC to decline further by 1.69% and drop to $58,164, slightly above the 20-day SMA.

在美联储宣布降息 50 个基点后，比特币 (BTC) 攀升至 62,000 美元上方，显示出持续的支撑。价格图表显示，尽管周三面临抛售压力，但比特币仍保持看涨立场。如果目前的情绪持续下去，BTC 可能会突破 200 日移动平均线并稳定在 65,000 美元左右。然而，上周价格以看跌收场，周日跌破 50 日移动平均线，最终收于 59,165 美元。周一卖家继续施压，导致 BTC 进一步下跌 1.69%，跌至 58,164 美元，略高于 20 日移动平均线。

Source: TradingView

来源：TradingView

Sentiment shifted on Tuesday as BTC rebounded from the 20-day SMA, rising above the 50-day SMA to reclaim the $60,000 level and close at $60,321. Wednesday brought significant selling pressure as sellers attempted to push the price below the 50-day SMA. Consequently, BTC fell to a low of $59,217. Nonetheless, buyers managed to regain control as demand increased, aided by the 50-day SMA's role as a dynamic support level. BTC subsequently recovered the $60,000 level after a 2.41% increase, settling at $61,773.

周二，随着 BTC 从 20 日移动平均线反弹，升破 50 日移动平均线，重回 60,000 美元水平，收于 60,321 美元，市场情绪发生转变。周三带来了巨大的抛售压力，因为卖家试图将价格推低至 50 日移动平均线以下。因此，BTC 跌至 59,217 美元的低点。尽管如此，随着需求的增加，在 50 日移动平均线作为动态支撑位的帮助下，买家设法重新获得控制权。 BTC 在上涨 2.41% 后随后收复 60,000 美元水平，最终收于 61,773 美元。

The current session witnessed BTC moving above the crucial $62,000 level as markets reacted positively to the Federal Reserve's rate cut. If BTC can maintain its bullish momentum, it could突破 the 200-day SMA and rise towards $65,000. Conversely, a change in sentiment could lead sellers to drive the price back under $60,000. A bullish MACD indicates that buyers are currently in control.

由于市场对美联储降息做出积极反应，当前交易日比特币突破了 62,000 美元的关键水平。如果BTC能够保持看涨势头，则可能突破200日移动平均线并升至65,000美元。相反，情绪的变化可能导致卖家将价格拉回 60,000 美元以下。看涨的 MACD 表明买家目前处于控制之中。

Ethereum (ETH) Price Analysis

以太坊（ETH）价格分析

Ethereum (ETH) has gained nearly 4% in the past 24 hours as bullish sentiment returns to the market, finally pushing above the crucial $2,400 level and breaking a key resistance barrier. ETH has shown a positive trajectory this week, as seen in the price chart, despite a substantial drop of 4.21% on Sunday to $2,318, ending the previous week on a bearish note. The downward trend continued on Monday as ETH fell below $2,300 after a decline of 0.95%. However, strong support at this level allowed for a quick recovery of 2.06% on Tuesday, reclaiming $2,300 and settling at $2,343. Buyers also attempted to move above the 20-day SMA but were unsuccessful.

随着看涨情绪回归市场，以太坊 (ETH) 在过去 24 小时内上涨了近 4%，最终突破了关键的 2,400 美元水平并突破了关键阻力位。正如价格图表所示，ETH 本周呈现出积极的轨迹，尽管周日大幅下跌 4.21% 至 2,318 美元，上周以看跌收场。周一，ETH 继续下跌，跌幅为 0.95%，跌破 2300 美元。然而，该水平的强劲支撑使其在周二迅速回升 2.06%，重回 2,300 美元并收于 2,343 美元。买家还试图突破 20 日移动平均线，但没有成功。

Source: TradingView

来源：TradingView

Wednesday saw a struggle between buyers and sellers, each vying for control. Sellers aimed to push ETH below $2,300 again, causing a dip to $2,280. However, buyers swiftly countered the sellers as demand increased, eventually reversing the selling pressure to post a 1.36% gain and close at $2,375. With the announcement of a 0.50% rate cut having a positive impact on the market, ETH surged above $2,400 and the 20-day SMA during the session and is currently trading at $2,437.

周三，买家和卖家之间展开了斗争，双方都在争夺控制权。卖家的目标是再次将 ETH 压低至 2,300 美元以下，导致其跌至 2,280 美元。然而，随着需求增加，买家迅速反击卖家，最终扭转了抛售压力，上涨 1.36%，收于 2,375 美元。随着降息0.50%的宣布对市场产生积极影响，ETH盘中飙升至2,400美元和20日均线上方，目前交易价格为2,437美元。

A rally towards $2,500 could materialize if buyers can uphold the current momentum. Such a move would also indicate a retreat by the bears, potentially marking a change in sentiment towards ETH. Conversely, sellers will attempt to push ETH back under $2,400 and $2,300. If this occurs, ETH might drop as low as $2,100.

如果买家能够维持目前的势头，价格可能会上涨至 2,500 美元。这一举动也表明空头的撤退，可能标志着人们对 ETH 的情绪发生变化。相反，卖家将试图将 ETH 压回 2,400 美元和 2,300 美元以下。如果发生这种情况，ETH 可能会跌至 2,100 美元。

Solana (SOL) Price Analysis

Solana (SOL) 价格分析

Solana (SOL) is aiming to test the $140 resistance once more as buying activity picks up following the Fed's announcement of a 50 bps rate cut. SOL has struggled to push above $140 due to strong resistance, with its most recent attempt to break through occurring last weekend. However, buyers failed in their endeavor, with SOL dropping by 1.41% on Saturday and a further 4.20% on Sunday, slipping below the 20-day SMA to settle at $131. The current week commenced with SOL experiencing significant volatility as sellers attempted to force it below $130 while buyers sought to keep it above this support level.

Solana (SOL) 的目标是再次测试 140 美元阻力位，因为美联储宣布降息 50 个基点后购买活动有所增加。由于强劲阻力，SOL 一直难以突破 140 美元，最近一次尝试突破是在上周末。然而，买家的努力失败了，SOL 周六下跌 1.41%，周日进一步下跌 4.20%，跌破 20 日移动平均线，收于 131 美元。本周伊始，SOL 经历了大幅波动，卖家试图将其压低至 130 美元以下，而买家则试图将其保持在这一支撑位之上。

Source: TradingView

来源：TradingView

As a result, SOL remained stagnant on Monday. Volatility persisted on Tuesday as buyers attempted to move above the 20-day SMA. However, dwindling demand allowed sellers to push SOL back down after it reached a day high of $135, ultimately settling at $131 after a slight increase. Wednesday saw significant selling pressure as SOL dropped to a day low of $127 before recovering and closing at $134 after a 2.07% gain. The current session has buyers firmly in control, with SOL up 3.41% as it eyes a rise above $140 and the 50-day SMA.

因此，周一 SOL 仍然停滞不前。周二，由于买家试图突破 20 日移动平均线，波动持续存在。然而，需求减少使得 SOL 在触及 135 美元的全日高点后，卖家将其压低，最终在小幅上涨后收于 131 美元。周三，SOL 遭遇巨大抛售压力，跌至全日低点 127 美元，随后反弹并收于 134 美元，涨幅为 2.07%。当前交易日买家牢牢掌控着局势，SOL 上涨 3.41%，因为它预计将升破 140 美元和 50 日移动平均线。

If SOL manages to push above $140 and consolidate, it could rally towards $150 or beyond in the short term. However, the price could retreat back to $130 should sentiment shift and sellers regain dominance. Breaching this support level could trigger a drop to $120 or lower.

如果 SOL 成功突破 140 美元并盘整，短期内可能会反弹至 150 美元或更高。然而，如果情绪转变并且卖家重新占据主导地位，价格可能会回落至 130 美元。突破该支撑位可能会导致价格跌至 120 美元或更低。

Dogecoin (DOGE) Price Analysis

狗狗币 (DOGE) 价格分析

Dogecoin (DOGE)

狗狗币 (DOGE)