4 百萬富翁在比特幣減半前將加密貨幣轉為長期持有

Bitcoin price made a surprise move this week blasting to $64,000 from an important support area above $50,000 on Monday. This massive uptick has changed both the short-term and long-term landscape of not only Bitcoin but also other crypto to HODL, including Shiba Inu (SHIB), Dogecoin (DOGE), and XRP.

比特幣價格本週意外上漲，從週一 5 萬美元上方的重要支撐區域飆升至 6.4 萬美元。這種大幅上漲不僅改變了比特幣的短期和長期格局，也改變了其他加密貨幣的長期持有格局，包括柴犬 (SHIB)、狗狗幣 (DOGE) 和 XRP。

The ETF happens to be the biggest market mover since the approval in January. With over $7.49 billion in cumulative total net inflow, demand for BTC is surging and sending Bitcoin price ballistic.

該 ETF 恰好是自 1 月獲得批准以來最大的市場推動者。累計淨流入總額超過 74.9 億美元，對 BTC 的需求激增，導致比特幣價格飆升。

Although the rally was witnessed across the market, some altcoins like SHIB emerged as top gainers, increasing by more than 50% in a week.

儘管整個市場都出現了反彈，但一些山寨幣（如 SHIB）成為漲幅最大的貨幣，一周內漲幅超過 50%。

Investors will carefully gauge Bitcoin’s behavior in the next few days to ascertain the validity of the uptrend to $70,000 or a correction to collect liquidity for another major breakout.

投資者將在未來幾天仔細衡量比特幣的行為，以確定上漲至 70,000 美元的趨勢的有效性，或為另一個重大突破收集流動性的修正。

1. Bitcoin (BTC)

1. 比特幣（BTC）

The supply and demand landscape for Bitcoin continues to change, driven by increasing ETF inflows. On top of this, investors are preferring to hold onto their BTC in anticipation of a larger breakout post-halving in February.

在 ETF 流入增加的推動下，比特幣的供需格局持續變化。除此之外，投資者更願意持有比特幣，因為他們預計 2 月減半後會出現更大的突破。

Bitcoin’s halving, which cuts miner rewards by half every four years. The last halving took place in 2020, placing the next event in 2024 around April.

比特幣減半，礦工獎勵每四年減少一半。上一次減半發生在 2020 年，下一次減半發生在 2024 年 4 月左右。

In addition to giving Bitcoin its deflationary status, halving significantly reduces the amount of new coins joining the ecosystem. Remember miner rewards will come down to 3.125 BTC from the current 6.25 BTC.

除了賦予比特幣通縮狀態外，減半還顯著減少了加入生態系統的新硬幣數量。請記住，礦工獎勵將從目前的 6.25 BTC 降至 3.125 BTC。

It is this gradual decrease in supply coupled with demand increasing or staying the same that tends to drive Bitcoin price parabolically higher. The ETF is also expected to have a major impact on BTC as demand soars.

正是供應的逐漸減少加上需求的增加或保持不變，往往會推動比特幣價格呈拋物線式上漲。隨著需求飆升，預計 ETF 也將對 BTC 產生重大影響。

比特幣價格預測圖表|交易視圖

The area at $63,000 represents a sell wall that must be weakened to allow for gains above $64,000 (the red line on the chart). A break above this would trigger more FOMO with market participants targeting a sweep of the all-time high followed by a leg up beyond $70,000.

63,000 美元的區域代表了一個賣盤，必須削弱該賣盤才能實現 64,000 美元以上的收益（圖表中的紅線）。突破這一水平將引發更多的 FOMO，市場參與者的目標是橫掃歷史高點，然後上漲至 7 萬美元以上。

2. Shiba Inu (SHIB)

2.柴犬（SHIB）

Like many cryptocurrencies in the market, Shiba Inu Coin faced increasing uncertainty in January, resulting in a correction below the $0.00001 level. The meme coin swept liquidity at $0.0000082 — 2024’s lowest point followed by a steady consolidation above $0.000009 ahead of this week’s massive breakout to $0.00001467.

與市場上的許多加密貨幣一樣，Shiba Inu Coin 在 1 月面臨越來越大的不確定性，導致價格回調至 0.00001 美元以下。 Meme 代幣的流動性為 0.0000082 美元，這是 2024 年的最低點，隨後在 0.000009 美元上方穩定盤整，然後本周大幅突破 0.00001467 美元。

A minor dip in the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) threatens to slow down the uptrend. By encouraging traders to close their positions.

移動平均線收斂分歧（MACD）的小幅下跌可能會減緩上升趨勢。透過鼓勵交易者平倉。

柴犬幣價格走勢圖 |交易視圖

However, this condition may not hold or last considering the Money Flow Index (RSI) is neutral and rolling upwards, indicating that liquidity is increasing for another leg up. Several four-hour closes below the yellow support line could see BTC drop to retest the $60,000 level before resuming the uptrend backed by more buying pressure.

然而，考慮到資金流量指數（RSI）呈中性且向上滾動，表明流動性正在增加，將進一步上漲，這種情況可能不會持續或持續。幾次四小時收盤價低於黃色支撐線可能會導致 BTC 下跌，重新測試 60,000 美元的水平，然後在更多買盤壓力的支持下恢復上升趨勢。

3. XRP

3.瑞波幣

While a majority of major coins rallied in tandem with Bitcoin, the XRP price showcased waning bullish momentum this week. From the last swing low of $0.534, the coin price jumped 11% to current trade at $0.59.

儘管大多數主要代幣與比特幣同步上漲，但 XRP 價格本週的看漲勢頭正在減弱。從上次波動低點 0.534 美元開始，代幣價格上漲了 11%，目前交易價格為 0.59 美元。

The sixth-largest cryptocurrency XRP has been riding a slow yet steady recovery since last month under the influence of an ascending trendline. The dynamic support uplifted the asset during minor dips keeping the recovery intact to reach $0.59 as the press time.

自上個月以來，在上升趨勢線的影響下，第六大加密貨幣 XRP 一直在緩慢而穩定的復甦。截至發稿時，動態支撐在小幅下跌期間提振了資產，使復甦完好無損，達到 0.59 美元。

If the buyers fail to sustain above the breached trendline, the XRP price may fall back to the lower trendline to recuperate strength. Until the rising support is intact, the traders can prolong the ongoing recovery trend.

如果買家未能維持在突破的趨勢線上方，XRP 價格可能會回落至較低的趨勢線以恢復強勢。在上升支撐完好無損之前，交易者可以延長持續的復甦趨勢。

4. Dogecoin (DOGE)

4.狗狗幣（DOGE）

The cryptocurrency market witnessed an aggressive bullish trend in late February as massive inflows from the spot ETF uplifted the underlying asset BTC. In tandem with the Bitcoin price rally, the altcoins prolonged their recovery trend, including Dogecoin which rose from $0.082 to $0.1, registering 48.5% growth. This swing provides a massive breakout from the long-coming triangle pattern indicating a major shift in market dynamics.

2 月底，隨著現貨 ETF 的大量資金流入推升了基礎資產 BTC，加密貨幣市場出現了激進的看漲趨勢。隨著比特幣價格上漲，山寨幣延續了復甦趨勢，其中狗狗幣從 0.082 美元上漲至 0.1 美元，成長了 48.5%。此次波動對即將到來的三角形形態進行了大規模突破，顯示市場動態發生了重大轉變。

An analysis of the daily time frame chart shows the Dogecoin price has been traveling a sideways trend for the past 22 months. This lateral movement confined within two converging trendlines indicates the formation of a symmetrical triangle pattern.

對每日時間框架圖表的分析顯示，狗狗幣價格在過去 22 個月中一直呈現橫盤趨勢。這種橫向運動限制在兩條匯聚趨勢線內，顯示對稱三角形模式的形成。

In theory, this chart pattern developed to indicate the notable period of consolidation whose result determined the dominant force in the market. Amid the recent upsurge in the crypto market, the DOGE price gave a decisive breakout from the upper boundary signal, the buyers are regaining control over this asset.

從理論上講，這種圖表模式的發展顯示了顯著的盤整時期，其結果決定了市場的主導力量。在近期加密貨幣市場的上漲中，DOGE 價格給出了決定性突破上限的訊號，買家正在重新獲得對該資產的控制權。

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John is a seasoned crypto expert, renowned for his in-depth analysis and accurate price predictions in the digital asset market. As the Price Prediction Editor for Market Content at CoinGape Media, he is dedicated to delivering valuable insights on price trends and market forecasts. With his extensive experience in the crypto sphere, John has honed his skills in understanding on-chain data analytics, Non-Fungible Tokens (NFTs), Decentralized Finance (DeFi), Centralized Finance (CeFi), and the dynamic metaverse landscape. Through his steadfast reporting, John keeps his audience informed and equipped to navigate the ever-changing crypto market.

約翰是一位經驗豐富的加密貨幣專家，以其對數位資產市場的深入分析和準確的價格預測而聞名。身為 CoinGape Media 市場內容的價格預測編輯，他致力於提供有關價格趨勢和市場預測的寶貴見解。憑藉著在加密領域的豐富經驗，John 磨練了理解鏈上數據分析、不可替代代幣 (NFT)、去中心化金融 (DeFi)、中心化金融 (CeFi) 和動態元宇宙景觀的技能。透過他堅定的報道，約翰讓他的觀眾了解情況並有能力駕馭不斷變化的加密貨幣市場。

The presented content may include the personal opinion of the author and is subject to market condition. Do your market research before investing in cryptocurrencies. The author or the publication does not hold any responsibility for your personal financial loss.

所呈現的內容可能包含作者的個人意見，並受市場狀況的影響。在投資加密貨幣之前先進行市場研究。作者或出版物對您的個人財務損失不承擔任何責任。