4 百万富翁在比特币减半前将加密货币转为长期持有

Bitcoin price made a surprise move this week blasting to $64,000 from an important support area above $50,000 on Monday. This massive uptick has changed both the short-term and long-term landscape of not only Bitcoin but also other crypto to HODL, including Shiba Inu (SHIB), Dogecoin (DOGE), and XRP.

比特币价格本周意外上涨，从周一 50,000 美元上方的重要支撑区域飙升至 64,000 美元。这种大幅上涨不仅改变了比特币的短期和长期格局，还改变了其他加密货币的长期持有格局，包括柴犬 (SHIB)、狗狗币 (DOGE) 和 XRP。

The ETF happens to be the biggest market mover since the approval in January. With over $7.49 billion in cumulative total net inflow, demand for BTC is surging and sending Bitcoin price ballistic.

该 ETF 恰好是自 1 月份获得批准以来最大的市场推动者。累计净流入总额超过 74.9 亿美元，对 BTC 的需求激增，导致比特币价格飙升。

Although the rally was witnessed across the market, some altcoins like SHIB emerged as top gainers, increasing by more than 50% in a week.

尽管整个市场都出现了反弹，但一些山寨币（如 SHIB）成为涨幅最大的货币，一周内涨幅超过 50%。

Investors will carefully gauge Bitcoin’s behavior in the next few days to ascertain the validity of the uptrend to $70,000 or a correction to collect liquidity for another major breakout.

投资者将在未来几天仔细衡量比特币的行为，以确定上涨至 70,000 美元的趋势的有效性，或为另一次重大突破收集流动性的修正。

1. Bitcoin (BTC)

1. 比特币（BTC）

The supply and demand landscape for Bitcoin continues to change, driven by increasing ETF inflows. On top of this, investors are preferring to hold onto their BTC in anticipation of a larger breakout post-halving in February.

在 ETF 流入增加的推动下，比特币的供需格局持续变化。除此之外，投资者更愿意持有比特币，因为他们预计 2 月份减半后会出现更大的突破。

Bitcoin’s halving, which cuts miner rewards by half every four years. The last halving took place in 2020, placing the next event in 2024 around April.

比特币减半，矿工奖励每四年减少一半。上一次减半发生在 2020 年，下一次减半发生在 2024 年 4 月左右。

In addition to giving Bitcoin its deflationary status, halving significantly reduces the amount of new coins joining the ecosystem. Remember miner rewards will come down to 3.125 BTC from the current 6.25 BTC.

除了赋予比特币通缩状态外，减半还显着减少了加入生态系统的新硬币数量。请记住，矿工奖励将从当前的 6.25 BTC 降至 3.125 BTC。

It is this gradual decrease in supply coupled with demand increasing or staying the same that tends to drive Bitcoin price parabolically higher. The ETF is also expected to have a major impact on BTC as demand soars.

正是供应的逐渐减少加上需求的增加或保持不变，往往会推动比特币价格呈抛物线式上涨。随着需求飙升，预计 ETF 也将对 BTC 产生重大影响。

比特币价格预测图表|交易视图

The area at $63,000 represents a sell wall that must be weakened to allow for gains above $64,000 (the red line on the chart). A break above this would trigger more FOMO with market participants targeting a sweep of the all-time high followed by a leg up beyond $70,000.

63,000 美元的区域代表了一个卖盘，必须削弱该卖盘才能实现 64,000 美元以上的收益（图表中的红线）。突破这一水平将引发更多的 FOMO，市场参与者的目标是横扫历史高点，然后上涨至 70,000 美元以上。

2. Shiba Inu (SHIB)

2.柴犬（SHIB）

Like many cryptocurrencies in the market, Shiba Inu Coin faced increasing uncertainty in January, resulting in a correction below the $0.00001 level. The meme coin swept liquidity at $0.0000082 — 2024’s lowest point followed by a steady consolidation above $0.000009 ahead of this week’s massive breakout to $0.00001467.

与市场上的许多加密货币一样，Shiba Inu Coin 在 1 月份面临着越来越大的不确定性，导致价格回调至 0.00001 美元以下。 Meme 代币的流动性为 0.0000082 美元，这是 2024 年的最低点，随后在 0.000009 美元上方稳定盘整，然后本周大幅突破 0.00001467 美元。

A minor dip in the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) threatens to slow down the uptrend. By encouraging traders to close their positions.

移动平均线收敛分歧（MACD）的小幅下跌可能会减缓上升趋势。通过鼓励交易者平仓。

柴犬币价格走势图 |交易视图

However, this condition may not hold or last considering the Money Flow Index (RSI) is neutral and rolling upwards, indicating that liquidity is increasing for another leg up. Several four-hour closes below the yellow support line could see BTC drop to retest the $60,000 level before resuming the uptrend backed by more buying pressure.

然而，考虑到资金流量指数（RSI）呈中性且向上滚动，表明流动性正在增加，将进一步上涨，这种情况可能不会持续或持续。几次四小时收盘价低于黄色支撑线可能会导致 BTC 下跌，重新测试 60,000 美元的水平，然后在更多买盘压力的支持下恢复上升趋势。

3. XRP

3.瑞波币

While a majority of major coins rallied in tandem with Bitcoin, the XRP price showcased waning bullish momentum this week. From the last swing low of $0.534, the coin price jumped 11% to current trade at $0.59.

尽管大多数主要代币与比特币同步上涨，但 XRP 价格本周的看涨势头正在减弱。从上次波动低点 0.534 美元开始，代币价格上涨了 11%，目前交易价格为 0.59 美元。

The sixth-largest cryptocurrency XRP has been riding a slow yet steady recovery since last month under the influence of an ascending trendline. The dynamic support uplifted the asset during minor dips keeping the recovery intact to reach $0.59 as the press time.

自上个月以来，在上升趋势线的影响下，第六大加密货币 XRP 一直在缓慢而稳定的复苏。截至发稿时，动态支撑在小幅下跌期间提振了资产，使复苏完好无损，达到 0.59 美元。

If the buyers fail to sustain above the breached trendline, the XRP price may fall back to the lower trendline to recuperate strength. Until the rising support is intact, the traders can prolong the ongoing recovery trend.

如果买家未能维持在突破的趋势线上方，XRP 价格可能会回落至较低的趋势线以恢复强势。在上升支撑完好无损之前，交易者可以延长持续的复苏趋势。

4. Dogecoin (DOGE)

4.狗狗币（DOGE）

The cryptocurrency market witnessed an aggressive bullish trend in late February as massive inflows from the spot ETF uplifted the underlying asset BTC. In tandem with the Bitcoin price rally, the altcoins prolonged their recovery trend, including Dogecoin which rose from $0.082 to $0.1, registering 48.5% growth. This swing provides a massive breakout from the long-coming triangle pattern indicating a major shift in market dynamics.

2 月底，随着现货 ETF 的大量资金流入推升了基础资产 BTC，加密货币市场出现了激进的看涨趋势。随着比特币价格上涨，山寨币延续了复苏趋势，其中狗狗币从 0.082 美元上涨至 0.1 美元，增长了 48.5%。此次波动对即将到来的三角形形态进行了大规模突破，表明市场动态发生了重大转变。

An analysis of the daily time frame chart shows the Dogecoin price has been traveling a sideways trend for the past 22 months. This lateral movement confined within two converging trendlines indicates the formation of a symmetrical triangle pattern.

对每日时间框架图表的分析显示，狗狗币价格在过去 22 个月中一直呈横盘趋势。这种横向运动限制在两条汇聚趋势线内，表明对称三角形模式的形成。

In theory, this chart pattern developed to indicate the notable period of consolidation whose result determined the dominant force in the market. Amid the recent upsurge in the crypto market, the DOGE price gave a decisive breakout from the upper boundary signal, the buyers are regaining control over this asset.

从理论上讲，这种图表模式的发展表明了显着的盘整时期，其结果决定了市场的主导力量。在近期加密货币市场的上涨中，DOGE 价格给出了决定性突破上限的信号，买家正在重新获得对该资产的控制权。

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John is a seasoned crypto expert, renowned for his in-depth analysis and accurate price predictions in the digital asset market. As the Price Prediction Editor for Market Content at CoinGape Media, he is dedicated to delivering valuable insights on price trends and market forecasts. With his extensive experience in the crypto sphere, John has honed his skills in understanding on-chain data analytics, Non-Fungible Tokens (NFTs), Decentralized Finance (DeFi), Centralized Finance (CeFi), and the dynamic metaverse landscape. Through his steadfast reporting, John keeps his audience informed and equipped to navigate the ever-changing crypto market.

约翰是一位经验丰富的加密货币专家，以其对数字资产市场的深入分析和准确的价格预测而闻名。作为 CoinGape Media 市场内容的价格预测编辑，他致力于提供有关价格趋势和市场预测的宝贵见解。凭借在加密领域的丰富经验，John 磨练了理解链上数据分析、不可替代代币 (NFT)、去中心化金融 (DeFi)、中心化金融 (CeFi) 和动态元宇宙景观的技能。通过他坚定的报道，约翰让他的观众了解情况并有能力驾驭不断变化的加密货币市场。

The presented content may include the personal opinion of the author and is subject to market condition. Do your market research before investing in cryptocurrencies. The author or the publication does not hold any responsibility for your personal financial loss.

所呈现的内容可能包含作者的个人意见，并受市场情况的影响。在投资加密货币之前先进行市场研究。作者或出版物对您的个人经济损失不承担任何责任。