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Price analysis 3/11: SPX, DXY, BTC, ETH, BNB, SOL, XRP, ADA, DOGE, SHIB

價格分析 3/11:SPX、DXY、BTC、ETH、BNB、SOL、XRP、ADA、DOGE、SHIB

發布: 2024/03/12 06:17 閱讀: 711

原文作者:Cointelegraph

原文來源:https://coinmarketcap.com/community/articles/65ef3f7550f9474a05e9afb7

Bitcoin (BTC) bulls are in no mood to let go of their advantage. They pierced the $70,000 mark on March 11, signaling continued demand from the traders. Bitwise chief investment officer Matt Hougan said in a memo to investors that professional investors were waiting to buy Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs).

比特幣(BTC)多頭無意放棄他們的優勢。 3 月 11 日,它們突破了 70,000 美元大關,顯示交易員的需求持續成長。 Bitwise 首席投資長 Matt Hougan 在給投資者的備忘錄中表示,專業投資者正在等待購買比特幣交易所交易基金(ETF)。

However, that has not held back the demand for Bitcoin ETFs. According to data from Dune, the spot Bitcoin ETFs have accumulated 4.06% of the current Bitcoin supply. If buying continues at the same rate, Bitcoin holdings of the ETFs are projected to reach 8.65% of the Bitcoin supply on a yearly basis.

然而,這並沒有抑制對比特幣 ETF 的需求。根據Dune的數據,現貨比特幣ETF已累積佔目前比特幣供應量的4.06%。如果繼續以相同的速度購買,ETF 的比特幣持有量預計將達到每年比特幣供應量的 8.65%。

MicroStrategy founder and chairman Michael Saylor said in a X post that the firm had purchased 12,000 Bitcoin at an average price of $68,477, using the proceeds from the recently completed $800 million convertible note offering. After the latest purchase, MicroStrategy’s Bitcoin holdings stand at 205,000 Bitcoin acquired at an average price of $33,706 per Bitcoin.

MicroStrategy 創辦人兼董事長 Michael Saylor 在 X 貼文中表示,該公司已使用最近完成的 8 億美元可轉換票據發行的收益,以平均價格 68,477 美元購買了 12,000 枚比特幣。最近一次購買後,MicroStrategy 的比特幣持有量達到 205,000 個比特幣,平均價格為每個比特幣 33,706 美元。

Traders will have to closely watch the Bitcoin ETF inflows because a sustained slowdown will hurt sentiment and may cause a correction. What are the important support levels to watch out for in Bitcoin and altcoins? Let’s analyze the charts to find out.

交易者將不得不密切關注比特幣 ETF 的流入,因為持續放緩將損害市場情緒並可能導致回調。比特幣和山寨幣需要注意哪些重要支撐位?讓我們分析一下圖表來找出答案。

S&P 500 Index price analysis

標普 500 指數價格分析

The S&P 500 Index has been rising inside an ascending channel pattern for several days. The price turned down from the resistance line of the channel on March 8, indicating that the bears are defending the level.

標準普爾 500 指數連續幾天在上升通道模式內上漲。價格從 3 月 8 日的通道阻力線轉向下跌,表明空頭正在捍衛該水平。

Although the upsloping moving averages indicate an advantage to buyers, the negative divergence on the relative strength index (RSI) cautions of a potential correction or consolidation in the near term. If bears sink the price below the channel, the selling could intensify, and the index may fall to the 50-day simple moving average (4,930).

儘管向上傾斜的移動平均線表明買家有優勢,但相對強弱指數(RSI)的負背離警告近期可能出現調整或盤整。如果空頭將價格壓低至該通道下方,賣盤可能會加劇,指數可能會跌至 50 日簡單移動平均線(4,930)。

Conversely, if the price turns up from the current level or the channel’s support line, it will indicate that the sentiment remains positive and traders are buying on every minor dip. The bulls will have to kick the price above the channel to start a sharp rally toward 5,350.

相反,如果價格從當前水平或通道支撐線上漲,則表明市場情緒依然樂觀,交易者在每次小幅下跌時買入。多頭必須將價格推至通道上方才能開始大幅反彈至 5,350 點。

U.S. Dollar Index price analysis

美元指數價格分析

The U.S.dollar Index (DXY) slipped below the 20-day EMA (103) on March 1, and the bears successfully defended the level during subsequent attempts by the bulls to push the price above it. The failure to rise above the 20-day EMA accelerated selling on March 6.

3 月 1 日,美元指數 (DXY) 跌破 20 日均線 (103),空頭在多頭隨後試圖將價格推高至該水平之上時成功守住了該水平。未能突破 20 日均線加速了 3 月 6 日的拋售。

Sellers pulled the price back below the 50-day SMA (103) and the neckline of the inverse head-and-shoulders pattern on March 7. The moving averages are on the verge of a bearish crossover, and the RSI is near the oversold zone, indicating that bears have the edge. The index could skid to 102 and eventually to 101.

賣家將價格拉回3月7日的50日移動平均線(103)和反向頭肩形態的頸線下方。移動平均線處於看跌交叉的邊緣,RSI接近超賣區域,顯示空頭有優勢。該指數可能會跌至 102,最終跌至 101。

Any recovery attempt is likely to face selling at the 20-day EMA. A rise above the 20-day EMA will be the first sign that the selling pressure may be reducing. The index could then rise to 105.

任何復甦嘗試都可能面臨 20 日均線的拋售。升破 20 日均線將是拋售壓力可能減輕的第一個跡象。該指數隨後可能升至 105。

Bitcoin price analysis

比特幣價格分析

Bitcoin struggled to break above $70,000 during the weekend but blasted above the level on March 11, indicating solid demand from the bulls.

比特幣週末艱難突破 70,000 美元,但在 3 月 11 日突破該水平,表明多頭需求強勁。

The rising moving averages and the RSI in the overbought zone show that the buyers are in control. The BTC/USDT pair could reach $76,000 and subsequently $80,000. This zone is likely to offer strong resistance to the bulls.

上升的移動平均線和超買區域的 RSI 表示買家處於控制之中。 BTC/USDT 貨幣對可能達到 76,000 美元,隨後達到 80,000 美元。該區域可能對多頭構成強大阻力。

It is difficult to call a top in an asset when it is backed by strong momentum. The first sign of weakness will be a break and close below the 20-day EMA ($62,443). That will signal profit booking by the bulls and may start a deeper pullback.

當一項資產有強勁動能支撐時,很難判斷其已見頂。疲軟的第一個跡象將是跌破並收於 20 日均線(62,443 美元)下方。這將標誌著多頭獲利了結,並可能開始進一步回檔。

Ether price analysis

以太幣價格分析

The bears tried to pull Ether (ETH) toward the breakout level of $3,600, but the long tail on the March 11 candlestick shows aggressive buying at lower levels.

空頭試圖將以太坊 (ETH) 拉向 3,600 美元的突破水平,但 3 月 11 日燭台上的長尾顯示出較低水平的激進買盤。

Buyers have pushed the price above the psychological level of $4,000. That opens the doors for a rally to $4,372, which may act as a minor hurdle, but if this resistance is crossed, the ETH/USDT pair could jump to $4,868.

買家已將價格推至 4,000 美元以上的心理價位。這為反彈至 4,372 美元打開了大門,這可能是一個小障礙,但如果突破該阻力位,ETH/USDT 貨幣對可能會躍升至 4,868 美元。

The sharp up move of the past few days has pushed the RSI into deep overbought territory, signaling caution. Sellers will have to drag the price below the 20-day EMA ($3,505) to break the bullish momentum. The pair may then start a corrective phase.

過去幾天的大幅上漲已將 RSI 推入深度超買區域,發出謹慎的信號。賣家必須將價格拖至 20 日均線(3,505 美元)以下才能打破看漲勢頭。然後,該貨幣對可能會開始調整階段。

BNB price analysis

BNB價格分析

BNB (BNB) has been in a strong uptrend for several days. The momentum picked up further after buyers pushed the price above $460.

BNB(BNB)連續幾天處於強勁上漲趨勢。在買家將價格推高至 460 美元以上後,這一勢頭進一步增強。

The BNB/USDT pair is likely to reach $560, which may act as a stiff resistance in the short term. If bulls do not give up much ground from $560, the uptrend may continue. The pair may then climb to $617.

BNB/USDT 貨幣對可能達到 560 美元,這可能會在短期內成為剛性阻力。如果多頭不放棄 560 美元的太多支撐,上升趨勢可能會持續。隨後該貨幣對可能會攀升至 617 美元。

The essential support on the downside is $460, and then the 20-day EMA ($433). Sellers will have to tug the price below the 20-day EMA to indicate that the uptrend may have ended in the short term.

下行的重要支撐是 460 美元,然後是 20 日均線(433 美元)。賣家必須將價格拉低至 20 日均線下方,以表示上升趨勢可能在短期內結束。

XRP price analysis

瑞波幣價格分析

Repeated failure of the bears to sustain XRP (XRP) below the 20-day EMA ($0.60) may have attracted buyers on March 11.

空頭多次未能將 XRP (XRP) 維持在 20 日均線(0.60 美元)下方,這可能在 3 月 11 日吸引了買家。

The bulls pushed the price above the immediate resistance of $0.67, indicating solid buying at lower levels. Buyers will try to maintain the momentum and challenge the formidable resistance at $0.74. If this level is scaled, it will indicate the start of a new uptrend. The XRP/USDT pair could rise to $0.85 and subsequently to $0.95.

多頭將價格推升至 0.67 美元的直接阻力位之上,顯示較低的買盤強勁。買家將努力保持勢頭並挑戰 0.74 美元的強大阻力位。如果突破該水平,則表示新的上升趨勢的開始。 XRP/USDT 貨幣對可能會升至 0.85 美元,隨後升至 0.95 美元。

Alternatively, if the price turns down from $0.74, it will suggest that the bears remain active at higher levels. The pair may then slide to the strong support at $0.67.

或者,如果價格從 0.74 美元下跌,則表明空頭在較高水平上仍然活躍。隨後該貨幣對可能會滑向 0.67 美元的強支撐位。

Solana price analysis

Solana 價格分析

The bears are trying to start a correction in Solana (SOL), but the bulls are in no mood to relent. The shallow pullback shows a lack of sellers.

空頭正試圖開始 Solana (SOL) 的調整,但多頭卻沒有心情放鬆。小幅回檔表示缺乏賣家。

Buyers will take advantage of the situation and try to strengthen their position further by pushing the price above $153. If they do that, the SOL/USDT pair could resume the uptrend. The pair may then climb to $184.

買家將利用這種情況,試圖透過將價格推高至 153 美元以上來進一步鞏固自己的地位。如果他們這樣做,SOL/USDT 貨幣對可能會恢復上升趨勢。隨後該貨幣對可能會攀升至 184 美元。

If bears want to prevent the upside, they will have to quickly yank the price below the breakout level of $126. That may accelerate selling, opening the doors for a drop to the 50-day SMA ($110).

如果空頭想要阻止上漲,他們將不得不迅速將價格拉至 126 美元的突破位以下。這可能會加速拋售,為跌至 50 日移動平均線(110 美元)打開大門。

Related: Why is Bitcoin price up today?

相關:為什麼今天比特幣價格上漲?

Cardano price analysis

卡爾達諾價格分析

Cardano (ADA) dipped to the breakout level of $0.68 on March 11, but the long tail on the candlestick shows solid buying at lower levels.

卡爾達諾 (ADA) 於 3 月 11 日跌至 0.68 美元的突破水平,但燭台上的長尾顯示較低水平的強勁買盤。

The upsloping 20-day EMA ($0.68) and the RSI in the positive territory suggest that the path of least resistance is to the upside. Buyers will try to propel the price to the March 4 high of $0.80. If this level is surmounted, the ADA/USDT pair could extend the rally to $0.90 and later to $1.25.

上升的 20 日均線(0.68 美元)和 RSI 處於正值區域表示阻力最小的路徑是上行。買家將試圖將價格推高至 3 月 4 日的高點 0.80 美元。如果突破該水平,ADA/USDT 貨幣對可能會將漲勢擴大至 0.90 美元,隨後升至 1.25 美元。

This positive view will be invalidated in the near term if the price turns down and breaks below $0.68. That will indicate a comeback by the bears. The pair then risks a fall to the 50-day SMA ($0.59).

如果價格下跌並跌破 0.68 美元,這種正面觀點將在短期內失效。這將表明空頭將捲土重來。隨後該貨幣對可能會跌至 50 日移動平均線(0.59 美元)。

Dogecoin price analysis

狗狗幣價格分析

The bulls have been fighting with the bears to keep Dogecoin (DOGE) above the breakout level of $0.16.

多頭一直在與空頭戰鬥,以將狗狗幣 (DOGE) 保持在 0.16 美元的突破水平之上。

The rising 20-day EMA ($0.14) and the RSI in the overbought zone suggest that the bulls have an edge. If buyers propel and maintain the price above $0.000018, the DOGE/USDT pair could retest $0.21 and then rally to $0.26.

不斷上漲的 20 日均線(0.14 美元)和超買區域的 RSI 表明多頭具有優勢。如果買家推動並維持價格高於 0.000018 美元,DOGE/USDT 貨幣對可能會重新測試 0.21 美元,然後反彈至 0.26 美元。

Contrarily, if the price breaks below $0.16, it will suggest that the bulls have given up. The pair may slump to the 20-day EMA, which remains the critical level to watch out for. A break below this support may start a deeper correction to $0.12.

相反,如果價格跌破0.16美元,則表示多頭已經放棄。該貨幣對可能會跌至 20 日均線,這仍然是值得關注的關鍵水平。跌破該支撐位可能會開始更深的回調至 0.12 美元。

Shiba Inu price analysis

柴犬價格分析

Shiba Inu (SHIB) has been consolidating inside a large range between $0.000029 and $0.000039 after the sharp rally,

柴犬 (SHIB) 在大幅上漲後一直在 0.000029 美元至 0.000039 美元之間的大範圍內盤整,

The range-bound action is correcting the deeply overbought levels on the RSI, suggesting that the markets are cooling down. The SHIB/USDT pair may trade inside the range for some more time.

區間波動正在修正 RSI 的深度超買水平,顯示市場正在降溫。 SHIB/USDT 貨幣對可能會在該區間內交易一段時間。

If the price breaks below the range, the pair could slide to the 20-day EMA ($0.000024), a crucial level to watch out for. A break below this level will tilt the advantage in favor of the bears.

如果價格跌破該區間,該貨幣對可能會滑向 20 日均線(0.000024 美元),這是一個值得關注的關鍵水平。跌破該水準將使優勢向空頭傾斜。

On the contrary, a break above $0.000039 will signal that the bulls are back in command. The pair could then rise to $0.000046. If this level is crossed, the rally could reach $0.000065.

相反,突破 0.000039 美元將表明多頭重新佔據主導地位。隨後該貨幣對可能會升至 0.000046 美元。如果突破該水平,反彈可能達到 0.000065 美元。

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.

本文不包含投資建議或建議。每一項投資和交易行為都涉及風險,讀者在做決定時應自行研究。

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