Data shows altcoins have been losing correlation with Bitcoin recently, and among them, XRP and BNB have seen particularly pronounced decoupling.
數據顯示,山寨幣近期與比特幣的關聯性正在喪失,其中XRP和BNB的脫鉤尤為明顯。
XRP & BNB Have Seen Largest Drops In 60-Day Correlation To Bitcoin
XRP 和 BNB 與比特幣的 60 天相關性出現最大跌幅
As pointed out by an analyst in a post on X, BTC has recently seen a drop in correlation with the altcoins. The “correlation” here refers to an indicator that keeps track of how tied the prices of any two assets are right now.
正如一位分析師在 X 上的一篇文章中指出的那樣,BTC 最近與山寨幣的相關性有所下降。這裡的「相關性」是指追蹤任何兩種資產的價格目前的聯繫程度的指標。
When the value of this metric is positive, it means that the given assets respond to moves in each other’s price by moving in the same direction. The closer the indicator’s value is to 100%, the stronger this correlation is.
當該指標的值為正時,表示給定資產透過向相同方向移動來回應彼此價格的變動。該指標的數值越接近 100%,這種相關性就越強。
On the other hand, negative values imply that there is a negative correlation between the assets, as their prices are moving opposite to each other. In this case, the extreme is -100%, so the more negative the value, the more tight the relationship is.
另一方面,負值意味著資產之間存在負相關性,因為它們的價格走勢相反。在本例中,極端值為-100%,因此該值越負,關係越緊密。
The 0% mark represents the point where no correlation exists between the prices, implying that movements in one have no bearing on how the other might perform.
0% 標記代表價格之間不存在相關性的點,這意味著一個價格的變動與另一個價格的表現無關。
Now, here is a chart that shows what the 60-day correlation between Bitcoin’s daily log returns and various altcoins looks like right now, as well as how it compared a year back:
現在,下面的圖表顯示了比特幣每日對數回報與各種山寨幣之間 60 天的相關性,以及與一年前的比較:
As displayed in the above graph, the 60-day correlation between Bitcoin and XRP appears to have significantly decreased in this period, as it has plunged from nearly 80% to almost 40%. This means that XRP’s price has been moving much more independently of BTC during the past 60 days.
如上圖所示,比特幣和 XRP 之間的 60 天相關性在此期間似乎顯著下降,從近 80% 暴跌至近 40%。這意味著在過去 60 天內,XRP 的價格走勢更加獨立於 BTC。
BNB (BNB), Avalanche (AVAX), and Solana (SOL) have also seen some decoupling from the original cryptocurrency. Still, these alts have seen the indicator decline by much less than XRP has observed.
BNB (BNB)、Avalanche (AVAX) 和 Solana (SOL) 也與原始加密貨幣進行了一些脫鉤。儘管如此,這些替代品的指標下降幅度遠小於 XRP 觀察到的水平。
Cardano (ADA) and Dogecoin (DOGE) are the altcoins that have observed the least amount of change. However, in the case of the memecoin the correlation was lesser than the other assets to begin with, so even with the small decoupling, its correlation level is still matching that of BNB.
卡爾達諾(ADA)和狗狗幣(DOGE)是觀察到變化量最小的山寨幣。然而,就 memecoin 而言,相關性一開始就小於其他資產,因此即使有較小的脫鉤,其相關性水準仍與 BNB 相符。
Generally, correlation is something to watch for whenever an investor is trying to diversify their portfolio, as two assets with significant correlation wouldn’t provide much safety.
一般來說,每當投資人試圖實現投資組合多元化時,就需要注意相關性,因為具有顯著相關性的兩種資產並不能提供太多安全性。
Thus, as XRP is currently the cryptocurrency least correlated with Bitcoin on this list, it might be a better diversification option than coins like Ethereum (ETH) or Polygon (MATIC), which have the 60-day value of the indicator at relatively high levels still.
因此,由於XRP 目前是該清單中與比特幣相關性最小的加密貨幣,因此它可能是比以太坊(ETH) 或Polygon (MATIC) 等代幣更好的多元化選擇,後者的60 天指標值處於相對較高的水平仍然。
XRP Price
瑞波幣價格
Just a few days back, XRP had revisited the territory above the $0.63 mark, but it wasn’t long before it slipped again and went under the $0.60 level. Since this low, though, the cryptocurrency has seen some recovery, as it has now neared $0.61 once again.
就在幾天前,XRP 重新站上 0.63 美元大關上方,但不久之後又再次下滑並跌破 0.60 美元水平。不過,自從這個低點以來,加密貨幣已經出現了一些復甦,目前再次接近 0.61 美元。