The Bitcoin halving is less than 11 days away and Bitcoin (BTC) is approaching the event with strength. This shows that the sentiment remains positive, and traders are buying on dips. CoinShares data shows digital investment products saw $646 million in inflows last week. That takes the year-to-date inflows to $13.8 billion, far higher than the $10.6 billion in 2021.
距离比特币减半还有不到 11 天的时间,比特币 (BTC) 正在强势接近这一事件。这表明市场情绪依然乐观,交易员逢低买入。 CoinShares 数据显示,数字投资产品上周流入 6.46 亿美元。这使得年初至今的资金流入达到 138 亿美元,远高于 2021 年的 106 亿美元。
On-chain analytics firm Santiment said in a X post that inflows into spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) are likely to remain high until the Bitcoin halving. However, the firm added “it will be interesting to see whether a drop-off in ETF volume and on-chain volume will occur directly afterward.”
链上分析公司 Santiment 在 X 帖子中表示,在比特币减半之前,流入现货比特币交易所交易基金(ETF)的资金可能会保持在较高水平。然而,该公司补充说,“看看 ETF 交易量和链上交易量是否会在之后立即出现下降,将会很有趣。”
It is difficult to determine how the markets will behave just after halving, but analysts remain bullish on the long term. SkyBridge Capital CEO Anthony Scaramucci said in an interview with CNBC that Bitcoin could soar to $170,000 during the cycle. Eventually, he expects Bitcoin to trade at “half the valuation of gold” but warns of volatility en route.
很难确定减半后市场将如何表现,但分析师仍看好长期前景。 SkyBridge Capital 首席执行官 Anthony Scaramucci 在接受 CNBC 采访时表示,比特币在周期内可能飙升至 17 万美元。最终,他预计比特币的交易价格将是“黄金估值的一半”,但警告比特币的波动性。
What are the important resistance levels to watch out for in Bitcoin and altcoins? Let’s analyze the charts to find out.
比特币和山寨币需要注意哪些重要阻力位?让我们分析一下图表来找出答案。
S&P 500 Index price analysis
标准普尔 500 指数价格分析
The S&P 500 Index made an outside-day candlestick pattern on April 4 and an inside-day candlestick pattern on April 5, indicating uncertainty about the next directional move.
标准普尔 500 指数在 4 月 4 日形成了日外烛台形态,并在 4 月 5 日形成了日内烛台形态,表明下一步走势存在不确定性。
The 20-day exponential moving average (5,184) has flattened out, and the relative strength index (RSI) is in the positive zone, indicating a balance between supply and demand.
20日指数移动平均线(5,184)已趋于平缓,相对强弱指数(RSI)处于正值区域,显示供需平衡。
If the price turns lower and breaks below 5,146, it will signal the start of a corrective phase. The 50-day simple moving average (5,089) may try to arrest the decline, but it is likely to be broken.
如果价格下跌并跌破 5,146,则将标志着调整阶段的开始。 50日简单移动平均线(5,089)可能会试图阻止跌势,但很可能会被突破。
Conversely, if the price continues higher and breaks above the all-time high of 5,265, the index will resume its uptrend. The next stop is likely to be 5,450.
相反,如果价格继续走高并突破历史高点5,265,则该指数将恢复上升趋势。下一站很可能是5,450。
U.S. Dollar Index price analysis
美元指数价格分析
The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) turned down sharply from the 105 overhead resistance level on April 2, signaling that the bears are active at higher levels.
美元指数 (DXY) 从 4 月 2 日的 105 上方阻力位大幅下跌,表明空头在更高水平上活跃。
However, a minor advantage in favor of the bulls is that they did not allow the index to slide below the moving averages. This suggests that lower levels are being purchased. Selling at higher levels and buying on dips signals a possible range-bound action in the near term. The index may swing between the 50-day SMA (104) and 105 for some time.
然而,有利于多头的一个小优势是,他们不允许指数跌破移动平均线。这表明正在购买较低水平的产品。高位卖出和逢低买入预示着近期可能出现区间波动。该指数可能会在50日移动平均线(104)和105之间波动一段时间。
A break and close above 105 clears the path for a potential rally to 106 and then 107. On the contrary, a drop below the 50-day SMA could sink the index to 103 and subsequently to 102.
突破并收盘于 105 上方,将为潜在反弹至 106 和 107 扫清道路。相反,跌破 50 日移动平均线可能会使该指数跌至 103,随后跌至 102。
Bitcoin price analysis
比特币价格分析
Bitcoin broke above the symmetrical triangle pattern on April 8, indicating that the bulls have overpowered the bears.
4 月 8 日,比特币突破对称三角形形态,表明多头战胜了空头。
The BTC/USDT pair is likely to retest the all-time high of $73,777. This level may act as a significant barrier, but if the bulls overcome it, the pair could start the next leg of the uptrend toward the pattern target of $84,000.
BTC/USDT 货币对可能会重新测试 73,777 美元的历史高点。该水平可能是一个重要的障碍,但如果多头克服它,该货币对可能会开始下一阶段的上升趋势,朝向 84,000 美元的模式目标。
Time is running out for the bears. If they want to make a comeback, they will have to quickly pull the price back below the 20-day EMA ($68,335). If that happens, the pair may plunge to the 50-day SMA ($64,828).
留给熊的时间已经不多了。如果他们想东山再起,就必须迅速将价格拉回 20 日均线(68,335 美元)以下。如果发生这种情况,该货币对可能会暴跌至 50 日移动平均线(64,828 美元)。
Ether price analysis
以太币价格分析
Ether (ETH) has been trading between $3,056 and $3,679 for several days, indicating indecision between the bulls and the bears.
以太坊(ETH)连续几天在 3,056 美元至 3,679 美元之间交易,表明多头和空头之间犹豫不决。
The ETH/USDT pair has reached the overhead resistance of $3,679, an important level to keep an eye on. If buyers overcome this obstacle, the pair could pick up momentum and rally to $4,093. The bears are expected to fiercely defend this level, but if the bulls prevail, the pair could start the next leg of the uptrend toward $4,488.
ETH/USDT 货币对已达到上方阻力位 3,679 美元,这是一个值得关注的重要水平。如果买家克服这一障碍,该货币对可能会加速上涨至 4,093 美元。预计空头将激烈捍卫这一水平,但如果多头获胜,该货币对可能会开始下一阶段的上升趋势,升至 4,488 美元。
Contrary to this assumption, if the price turns down sharply from $3,679 and breaks below the 20-day EMA, it will indicate that the range-bound action may continue for a while longer.
与这一假设相反,如果价格从 3,679 美元大幅下跌并跌破 20 日均线,则表明区间波动可能会持续一段时间。
BNB price analysis
BNB价格分析
BNB (BNB) continues to trade inside the symmetrical triangle pattern, indicating a balance between supply and demand.
BNB(BNB)继续在对称三角形格局内交易,表明供需平衡。
The 20-day EMA ($570) is moving up gradually, and the RSI is in the positive territory, indicating that the bulls are at a minor advantage. The BNB/USDT pair has reached the downtrend line of the triangle. If this resistance is overcome, the pair could retest the March 16 high at $645.
20 日均线(570 美元)逐渐上升,RSI 处于正值区域,表明多头处于较小优势。 BNB/USDT 货币对已到达三角形的下降趋势线。如果克服这一阻力,该货币对可能会重新测试 3 月 16 日的高点 645 美元。
On the contrary, if the price turns down from the downtrend line, it will suggest that the pair may remain inside the triangle for a few more days. The bears will be in a commanding position if the price plunges below the triangle.
相反,如果价格从下降趋势线转向下跌,则表明该货币对可能会在三角形内停留几天。如果价格跌破三角形,空头将处于主导地位。
Solana price analysis
Solana 价格分析
The bulls are struggling to sustain Solana (SOL) above the 20-day EMA ($181), indicating that the bears are defending the level.
多头正在努力将 Solana (SOL) 维持在 20 日均线(181 美元)之上,这表明空头正在捍卫该水平。
If the price turns down from the current level, the SOL/USDT pair could drop to the critical support at $162. The bulls are expected to vigorously protect this level because failing to do that could open the gates for a fall to $126.
如果价格从当前水平下跌,SOL/USDT 货币对可能会跌至 162 美元的关键支撑位。预计多头将大力保护这一水平,因为如果不这样做,可能会打开跌至 126 美元的大门。
Alternatively, if the price rebounds off $162 and rises above the 20-day EMA, it will signal that the pair may extend its stay inside the $162 to $205 range for some more time. The next leg of the uptrend could begin on a break above $205.
或者,如果价格从 162 美元反弹并升至 20 日均线上方,则将表明该货币对可能会在 162 美元至 205 美元区间内停留一段时间。下一阶段的上升趋势可能会在突破 205 美元时开始。
XRP price analysis
瑞波币价格分析
The failure of the bears to capitalize on XRP’s (XRP) fall below the uptrend line may have attracted buyers who pushed the price above the moving averages on April 8.
空头未能利用 XRP (XRP) 跌破上升趋势线的机会,可能吸引了买家,他们在 4 月 8 日将价格推高至移动平均线之上。
The flattish moving averages and the RSI just above the midpoint suggest a range-bound action in the near term. The XRP/USDT pair could swing between $0.56 and $0.69 for a few more days.
平坦的移动平均线和略高于中点的 RSI 表明近期将出现区间波动。 XRP/USDT 货币对可能在接下来的几天内在 0.56 美元至 0.69 美元之间波动。
Buyers will have to kick the price above $0.69 to enhance the prospects of a rally to the formidable resistance at $0.74. Instead, if bears want to take charge, they will have to sink and sustain the price below $0.56. The pair may then plunge to $0.52 and subsequently to $0.48.
买家必须将价格推至 0.69 美元以上,才能增强反弹至 0.74 美元强大阻力位的前景。相反,如果空头想要掌控局面,他们就必须将价格压低并维持在 0.56 美元以下。随后该货币对可能会暴跌至 0.52 美元,随后跌至 0.48 美元。
Related: Here’s what happened in crypto today
相关:这是今天加密货币领域发生的事情
Dogecoin price analysis
狗狗币价格分析
Dogecoin (DOGE) jumped back above the 20-day EMA ($0.18) on April 6 and continued the move higher to rise above $0.19 on April 7.
狗狗币 (DOGE) 于 4 月 6 日跳回 20 日均线(0.18 美元)上方,并于 4 月 7 日继续走高,升至 0.19 美元上方。
The bulls will try to maintain the momentum and push the price toward the overhead resistance at $0.23. A break and close above this level will signal the resumption of the uptrend. The DOGE/USDT pair will then attempt a rally to $0.30.
多头将努力保持势头并将价格推向上方阻力位 0.23 美元。突破并收于该水平之上将标志着上升趋势的恢复。随后 DOGE/USDT 货币对将尝试反弹至 0.30 美元。
On the contrary, if the price slips back below the 20-day EMA, it will suggest that bears remain active at higher levels. That will increase the likelihood of a drop to the 50-day SMA ($0.15).
相反,如果价格回落至 20 日均线下方,则表明空头在较高水平仍保持活跃。这将增加跌至 50 日移动平均线(0.15 美元)的可能性。
Cardano price analysis
卡尔达诺价格分析
The bulls successfully held Cardano (ADA) above $0.57 in the past few days and pushed the price to the 20-day EMA ($0.62) on April 8.
过去几天,多头成功将卡尔达诺 (ADA) 维持在 0.57 美元上方,并于 4 月 8 日将价格推至 20 日均线(0.62 美元)。
If the price turns down from the 20-day EMA, it will signal that the bears are in command. The sellers will try to sink the price below $0.57. If they manage to do that, the ADA/USDT pair will complete a bearish head-and-shoulders pattern. That could start a downward move toward the next major support at $0.46.
如果价格从 20 日均线下跌,则表明空头占据主导地位。卖家将尝试将价格压低至 0.57 美元以下。如果他们成功做到这一点,ADA/USDT 货币对将完成看跌的头肩形态。这可能会开始向下移动至下一个主要支撑位 0.46 美元。
The first sign of strength will be a break and close above the 20-day EMA. That will open the doors for a rise to $0.68. Buyers will have to overcome this barrier to increase the possibility of a rally to $0.81.
强势的第一个迹象将是突破并收于 20 日均线上方。这将为上涨至 0.68 美元打开大门。买家必须克服这一障碍才能将上涨至 0.81 美元的可能性增加。
Toncoin price analysis
通币价格分析
Toncoin (TON) skyrocketed above the $5.50 to $5.69 overhead resistance zone on April 8, indicating the start of the next leg of the uptrend.
Toncoin (TON) 于 4 月 8 日飙升至 5.50 美元至 5.69 美元上方阻力区之上,表明下一阶段上升趋势的开始。
If buyers maintain the price above $5.69, the TON/USDT pair could rally to the next target objective at $7.09. The upsloping moving averages and the RSI in the overbought zone indicate that the bulls are in control.
如果买家将价格维持在 5.69 美元以上,TON/USDT 货币对可能会反弹至下一个目标 7.09 美元。向上倾斜的移动平均线和超买区域的 RSI 表明多头处于控制之中。
The bears will have to tug the price below $5.50 to trap the aggressive bulls. That could result in long liquidation, threatening the 20-day EMA ($4.97). If this level gives way, the pair may slump to $4.72 and then to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of $4.22.
空头必须将价格拉低至 5.50 美元以下,才能困住激进的多头。这可能会导致多头清算,威胁 20 日均线(4.97 美元)。如果该水平失守,该货币对可能会跌至 4.72 美元,然后跌至 61.8% 斐波那契回撤位 4.22 美元。
This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.
本文不包含投资建议或建议。每一项投资和交易行为都涉及风险,读者在做出决定时应自行研究。