블룸버그 분석가들은 비트코인 ETF 승인 가능성이 더 높다고 말합니다.

In recent times, Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) have witnessed increased popularity. Prominent asset management firms, such as BlackRock and Fidelity, have recently submitted filings for Bitcoin ETFs. Additionally, Grayscale, a major player in the cryptocurrency investment space, has urged the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) to consider approving all the proposed spot Bitcoin ETFs simultaneously.

최근 비트코인 상장지수펀드(ETF)의 인기가 높아지고 있습니다. BlackRock 및 Fidelity와 같은 유명 자산 관리 회사는 최근 비트코인 ETF에 대한 서류를 제출했습니다. 또한, 암호화폐 투자 분야의 주요 업체인 그레이스케일은 증권거래위원회(SEC)에 제안된 모든 현물 비트코인 ETF를 동시에 승인하는 것을 고려할 것을 촉구했습니다.

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However, the possibility of the Bitcoin ETF’s approval remained uncertain. Now, according to the latest estimates by ETF analysts at Bloomberg, the odds of at least one spot BTC ETF getting approved and launched this year in the US have been raised.

Based on recent events and new information @ericbalchunas and I are officially increasing our spot #Bitcoin ETF approval odds to 65%. That's from 50% a couple weeks ago and 1% a few months ago. pic.twitter.com/VBLG8EYfoP
— James Seyffart (@JSeyff) August 2, 2023
최근 사건과 새로운 정보를 바탕으로 @ericbalchunas와 저는 공식적으로 현물 #Bitcoin ETF 승인 확률을 65%로 높였습니다. 몇 주 전에는 50%, 몇 달 전에는 1%였습니다. pic.twitter.com/VBLG8EYfoP— James Seyffart (@JSeyff) 2023년 8월 2일

Analysts say the odds of Bitcoin ETF launching up to 65%

According to analysts James Seyffart and Eric Balchunas, the probability of a spot Bitcoin ETF being launched this year has increased to 65% due to recent developments. Previously, they had assigned a 50% probability to the same situation.

분석가 James Seyffart와 Eric Balchunas에 따르면, 올해 현물 비트코인 ETF가 출시될 확률은 최근 개발로 인해 65%로 증가했습니다. 이전에는 동일한 상황에 50% 확률을 할당했습니다.

Seyffart expressed that the timing of the Grayscale case dates is uncertain and subject to speculation. However, they suggested that the most straightforward approach could involve simultaneous approval for all eight filers. These include Grayscale, following the court’s decision to vacate the SEC’s denial.

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또한 읽어 보세요: Dogecoin 개발자가 DOGE 커뮤니티에 주요 경고를 보냅니다.

The Bloomberg analyst also emphasized that the critical point in the current thesis relies on the possibility of Grayscale prevailing over the SEC in Federal court. In their view, this could trigger a chain of SEC approvals, potentially occurring in the 4th quarter.