2 月 1 日加密货币价格预测：BTC、APE、TIA

Crypto Price Prediction: In January, the crypto market led by Bitcoin was on a rollercoaster. The anticipation for spot BTC ETFs in Q4 ignited a commendable rally even in altcoins.

加密货币价格预测：一月份，以比特币为首的加密货币市场跌宕起伏。第四季度对现货 BTC ETF 的预期甚至引发了山寨币的值得称赞的反弹。

However, at the peak of the green light news from the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), a minor uptick in the price of Bitcoin to $49,000 culminated in sell-the-news activities and coupled with the subsequent market doldrums saw the largest digital asset plummet below $39,000.

然而，在美国证券交易委员会 (SEC) 批准消息的高峰期，比特币价格小幅上涨至 49,000 美元，最终导致抛售消息活动，加上随后的市场低迷，比特币成为最大的数字资产暴跌至39,000美元以下。

Although the last week of January was marked by widespread recoveries, Bitcoin is stuck under range resistance at $43,000. Similarly, Ethereum is back to trading in the range between $2,200 and $2,400 following a major spike to $28,000.

尽管 1 月最后一周出现了广泛的复苏，但比特币仍受困于 43,000 美元的区间阻力位。同样，以太坊在大幅飙升至 28,000 美元之后又回到了 2,200 美元至 2,400 美元之间的交易区间。

For many traders, the pullback after the spot ETF approval was a significant setback. However, experts like the founder of MN Trading, Michaël van de Poppe reckons the correction is healthy and that the best way to navigate is to buy dips.

对于许多交易者来说，现货 ETF 批准后的回调是一个重大挫折。然而，MN Trading 创始人 Michaël van de Poppe 等专家认为，调整是健康的，最好的应对方式是逢低买入。

Jerome Powell spoke about lowering interest rates, but is going to implement this at a later point than the markets were expecting.
杰罗姆·鲍威尔谈到了降息，但实施时间将晚于市场预期。

Let's face reality: rates and yields have peaked. The trend is downwards, which means that the dips are to be bought for the time being. pic.twitter.com/oMy6ryUwiQ
让我们面对现实：利率和收益率已经见顶。趋势是向下的，这意味着暂时逢低买入。 pic.twitter.com/oMy6ryUwiQ

— Michaël van de Poppe (@CryptoMichNL) February 1, 2024
— Michaël van de Poppe (@CryptoMichNL) 2024 年 2 月 1 日

1. Assessing Bitcoin (BTC) Price Technical Structure, Are Dips Profitable?

1. 评估比特币（BTC）价格技术结构，下跌是否有利可图？

It is not an easy task to time market bottoms, especially in the crypto industry. Investors are safe to buy in key ranges following a correction from a recent peak.

把握市场底部的时机并不是一件容易的事，尤其是在加密货币行业。在近期峰值回调后，投资者可以安全地在关键区间买入。

For instance, Bitcoin’s slump under $39,000 presented important buy zones. A dollar-cost averaging strategy if applied professionally would ensure that no dips are missed, especially with the halving in a little over two months.

例如，比特币跌破 39,000 美元就出现了重要的买入区域。如果专业地应用美元成本平均策略，将确保不会错过任何下跌，尤其是在两个多月后减半的情况下。

Analysts at Rekt Capital pointed out via a post on X that while BTC rebounded above $43,000, it was not able to break the range resistance around $43,800.

Rekt Capital分析师通过X发帖指出，虽然BTC反弹至43,000美元上方，但未能突破43,800美元附近的区间阻力。

Reflecting this bearish outlook is the Relative Strength Index (RSI), which holds below its downtrend resistance. For Bitcoin to come out of the downtrend, the RSI needs to move higher.

相对强弱指数（RSI）反映了这种看跌前景，该指数保持在下降趋势阻力位下方。为了让比特币走出下跌趋势，RSI 需要走高。

#BTC
#BTC

Bitcoin was able to revisit its red Range High resistance (~$43800) but has since rejected to form a Lower High (black)
比特币能够重新触及其红色范围高位阻力位（约 43800 美元），但此后拒绝形成较低的高位（黑色）

In the meantime, the RSI is still at its downtrend resistance
与此同时，RSI 仍处于下行阻力位

The RSI needs to break this downtrend if price is to move higher$BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin https://t.co/da6foTzPwg pic.twitter.com/S8e3lpxZyj
如果价格要走高，RSI 需要打破这一下降趋势$BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin https://t.co/da6foTzPwg pic.twitter.com/S8e3lpxZyj

— Rekt Capital (@rektcapital) February 1, 2024
— Rekt Capital (@rektcapital) 2024 年 2 月 1 日

Support provided by the falling channel’s lower boundary may help keep Bitcoin buoyant above $42,000 but due to resistance at the 50 EMA and the 200 EMA, it would be a tall order to resume the uptrend.

下降通道下限提供的支撑可能有助于比特币保持在 42,000 美元上方，但由于 50 EMA 和 200 EMA 的阻力，恢复上升趋势将是一项艰巨的任务。

比特币价格走势图 |交易视图

In the foreseeable future, Bitcoin price might settle between the colored bands on the chart consolidating. A pre-halving rally will break the trend, pushing for a debut above $50,000.

在可预见的未来，比特币价格可能会稳定在图表上的彩色带之间，进行盘整。减半前的反弹将打破这一趋势，推动首次突破 50,000 美元。

另请阅读：2024 年 2 月 ETH 的价格预测是多少？

ApeCoin (APE) Price On The Move Above $1.5

ApeCoin (APE) 价格升至 1.5 美元以上

Traders are doubling down on their efforts to buy into ApeCoin. In 24 hours, the web3 token increased 8% to $1.51, underlining the growing interest in the token backing a staggering 107% spike in the trading volume to $85 million.

交易者正在加倍努力购买 ApeCoin。 24 小时内，web3 代币上涨 8% 至 1.51 美元，突显了人们对该代币日益增长的兴趣，支持交易量惊人地飙升 107% 至 8500 万美元。

ApeCoin boasts a market cap of $558 million, placing it at #102 among other cryptocurrencies.

ApeCoin 的市值为 5.58 亿美元，在其他加密货币中排名第 102。

A buy signal from the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator crossover implies that the trend reversal is just getting started.

移动平均线趋同分歧（MACD）指标交叉发出的买入信号意味着趋势反转才刚刚开始。

With a break above the red band on the chart, APE could steady the uptrend to above $5.

如果 APE 突破图表上的红色带，则可能将上升趋势稳定在 5 美元以上。

APE 价格走势图 |交易视图

Captain Faibik, a renowned trader agreed with APE’s bullish theory via a post on X. Based on the daily chart he shared, ApeCoin “seems like bottomed out & ready to break the major trendline,” hinting at a massive move above $5.

著名交易员 Captain Faibik 在 X 上发帖同意 APE 的看涨理论。根据他分享的日线图，ApeCoin“似乎已触底并准备突破主要趋势线”，暗示将大幅上涨至 5 美元以上。

$APE #Apecoin Seems like bottomed out & Ready to Break the Major Trendline..📈 pic.twitter.com/1GOtytFC2b
$APE #Apecoin 似乎已经触底并准备打破主要趋势线..📈 pic.twitter.com/1GOtytFC2b

— Captain Faibik (@CryptoFaibik) February 1, 2024
— Faibik 船长 (@CryptoFaibik) 2024 年 2 月 1 日

Celestia (TIA) Eyes $20

塞拉斯蒂娅 (TIA) 眼睛 20 美元

After retesting range low support at $15, TIA is holding at $16.75 during US business hours on Thursday. A narrowed technical outlook also places Celestia in a wide range between $15 and $18.5 (yellow band).

在重新测试 15 美元的区间低点支撑后，TIA 在周四美国营业时间内维持在 16.75 美元。缩小的技术前景也使 Celestia 处于 15 美元至 18.5 美元（黄色区域）之间的宽幅区间。

Ascending to the range high resistance at $18.5 is possible but TIA could encounter delay at $17 — a confluence level formed by the 50 EMA and the 20 EMA.

上升至 18.5 美元区间高阻力位是可能的，但 TIA 可能会在 17 美元（由 50 EMA 和 20 EMA 形成的汇合水平）遇到延迟。

On the downside, the 20 EMA at $15.82 will come in handy to reduce the impact of the selling pressure toward the range of low support.

下行方面，20 EMA 15.82 美元将派上用场，以减少抛售压力对低支撑位范围的影响。

Traders may want to closely watch out for a buy signal from the MACD. As the blue MACD line crosses above the red signal line, a signal to buy TIA will manifest. There’s a high probability Celestia will retest $20 in the next few days as opposed to sliding to $12.

交易者可能需要密切关注 MACD 发出的买入信号。当蓝色 MACD 线穿过红色信号线时，买入 TIA 的信号将会显现。 Celestia 很可能会在接下来的几天内重新测试 20 美元，而不是滑落至 12 美元。

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