1 月 15 日最新市场概览：SPX、DXY、BTC、ETH、BNB、SOL、XRP、ADA、AVAX、DOGE

The Bitcoin price attempts to stabilise following a significant decline, suggesting that the excessiveness may have dissipated from the market.

比特币价格在大幅下跌后试图企稳，这表明过度交易可能已经从市场上消失。

After years of rejections, the commencement of trading for Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) last week did not yield the expected price surge, resulting in total sales of approximately $4.7 billion, as CryptoSlate research and data analyst James Van Straten reported.

据 CryptoSlate 研究和数据分析师 James Van Straten 报道，经过多年的拒绝，比特币交易所交易基金 (ETF) 上周开始交易并没有产生预期的价格飙升，导致总销售额约为 47 亿美元。

The Crypto Fear & Greed Index, previously indicating “extreme greed” with a score of 76, has now shifted to a more neutral level at 52. This transition is viewed positively, indicating a potential reduction in market speculation.

加密货币恐惧与贪婪指数此前为 76 分，表示“极度贪婪”，现在已转向更为中性的 52 分。这种转变被积极看待，表明市场投机活动可能会减少。

With the “sell the news” event now behind us, traders are likely to shift their attention to macroeconomic data, mainly focusing on the actions of the United States Federal Reserve. The Fed is anticipated to initiate rate cuts as early as March, as CME Group’s FedWatch Tool data suggests. If this occurs, it could bode well for risk-assets.

随着“抛售消息”事件的过去，交易者可能会将注意力转向宏观经济数据，主要关注美联储的行动。正如芝商所 (CME Group) 的 FedWatch 工具数据所示，预计美联储最早将于 3 月份开始降息。如果发生这种情况，这对风险资产来说可能是个好兆头。

Is the correction in Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies complete? Could major digital currencies resume their upward trend in the short term? We will assess the charts to find out.

比特币和其他加密货币的修正完成了吗？各大数字货币短期内能否恢复上涨势头？我们将评估图表来找出答案。

S&P 500 Index (SPX) price analysis

标准普尔 500 指数 (SPX) 价格分析

The S&P 500 Index turned up from the 20-day exponential moving average (4,727) on Jan. 8, indicating that the uptrend remains intact and traders view the dips as a buying opportunity.

1 月 8 日，标准普尔 500 指数从 20 天指数移动平均线（4,727 点）回升，表明上升趋势仍然完好，交易员将逢低视为买入机会。

The upsloping moving averages indicate buyers have the upper hand, but the negative divergence on the relative strength index (RSI) warrants caution. If the value maintains above 4,800, the index will likely ascend to the psychologically important level of 5,000.

向上倾斜的移动平均线表明买家占据上风，但相对强弱指数（RSI）的负背离值得谨慎对待。如果该值维持在4,800点以上，该指数可能会升至5,000点的重要心理水平。

On the downside, the 20-day EMA is the first support to watch. If this level allows, it will suggest that the buying pressure is reducing. The index may then fall to the 50-day simple moving average (4,601).

下行方面，20 日均线是值得关注的第一个支撑位。如果该水平允许，则表明购买压力正在减轻。随后该指数可能会跌至50日简单移动平均线（4,601）。

U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) price analysis

美元指数（DXY）价格分析

For several days, the U.S. Dollar Index has been consolidating in a downtrend near the 20-day EMA (102).

连续几天，美元指数一直在 20 日均线（102）附近的下跌趋势中盘整。

The flat 20-day EMA and the RSI near the midpoint do not give a clear advantage either to the bulls or the bears. If the price sustains below the 20-day EMA, the bears will try to pull the index to the critical support at 101.

持平的 20 日均线和 RSI 接近中点，无论多头还是空头都没有明显的优势。如果价格维持在 20 日均线下方，空头将试图将指数拉至 101 的关键支撑位。

On the upside, the bulls will likely face selling at the 50-day SMA (103). A break and close above the 50-day SMA will suggest the start of a more robust recovery to 104.50. This level may again witness strong selling by the bears.

从好的方面来看，多头可能会面临 50 日移动平均线 (103) 的抛售。突破并收盘于 50 日移动平均线上方将表明将开始更强劲的复苏至 104.50。该水平可能会再次见证空头的强劲抛售。

Bitcoin (BTC) price analysis

比特币（BTC）价格分析

Bitcoin broke and closed below the support line on Jan. 14, signalling that the bears are trying to make a comeback.

1 月 14 日，比特币突破并收于支撑线下方，表明空头正试图卷土重来。

The 20-day EMA ($43,693) has started to turn down, and the RSI is near 46, suggesting that the bears hold a slight edge.

20 日均线（43,693 美元）已开始下跌，RSI 接近 46，表明空头略有优势。

Any recovery attempt is likely to face selling at the 20-day EMA. If the price turns down from the overhead resistance, the sentiment will shift from buying on dips to selling on rallies. The BTC/USDT pair may fall to $40,000 and later to $37,980.

任何复苏尝试都可能面临 20 日均线的抛售。如果价格从上方阻力位回落，市场情绪将从逢低买入转向逢高卖出。 BTC/USDT 货币对可能会跌至 40,000 美元，随后跌至 37,980 美元。

Contrary to this assumption, if buyers overcome the barrier at $44,700, it will suggest that the corrective phase may be over. The pair will then try to reach the psychologically important level of $50,000.

与这一假设相反，如果买家突破 44,700 美元的关口，则表明修正阶段可能已经结束。然后，该货币对将尝试达到 50,000 美元的重要心理水平。

Ether (ETH) price analysis

以太币（ETH）价格分析

Ether is correcting in an uptrend, with the bulls trying to keep the price above the immediate support at $2,458.

以太币正在上升趋势中进行修正，多头试图将价格保持在 2,458 美元的直接支撑位之上。

The upsloping 20-day EMA ($2,398) and the RSI in the positive zone indicate that the bulls are in command. If the price rises from the current level or rebounds off $2,400, it will signal strong buying on dips. The ETH/USDT pair may then rally to $2,717. If this level is scaled, the next stop could be $3,000.

上升的 20 日均线（2,398 美元）和 RSI 处于正区表明多头处于主导地位。如果价格从当前水平上涨或从 2,400 美元反弹，则将表明逢低买盘强劲。随后 ETH/USDT 货币对可能会上涨至 2,717 美元。如果突破这个水平，下一站可能是 3,000 美元。

This optimistic view will be negated in the near term if the price continues lower and plunges below $2,400. That could sink the pair to the 50-day SMA ($2,282) and eventually to $2,100.

如果价格继续走低并跌破 2,400 美元，这种乐观看法将在短期内被否定。这可能导致该货币对跌至 50 日移动平均线（2,282 美元），并最终跌至 2,100 美元。

BNB price analysis

BNB价格分析

BNB dipped below the 20-day EMA ($301) on Jan. 12, but the bears could not sustain the price below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of $291.

BNB 于 1 月 12 日跌破 20 日均线（301 美元），但空头无法将价格维持在 61.8% 斐波那契回撤位 291 美元以下。

That started a relief rally, which picked up momentum on Jan. 15. If buyers hold the price above $317, the BNB/USDT pair could rise to $338 and then to $350 afterwards. The $350 level will likely attract strong selling by the bears, but if bulls overcome this barrier, the pair may soar to $400.

这引发了一轮缓解性反弹，并于 1 月 15 日加速上涨势头。如果买家将价格维持在 317 美元以上，BNB/USDT 货币对可能会升至 338 美元，然后升至 350 美元。 350 美元的水平可能会吸引空头的强烈抛售，但如果多头克服这一障碍，该货币对可能会飙升至 400 美元。

The critical level to watch on the downside is $291 because a slump below it could tug the price to the neckline.

下行方面值得关注的关键水平是 291 美元，因为跌破该水平可能会将价格拉至颈线。

XRP price analysis

Attempts by the bulls to start a recovery in XRP stalled near the downtrend line on Jan. 11, suggesting that the bears remain in control.

XRP 价格分析 1 月 11 日，多头试图开始恢复 XRP，但在下降趋势线附近陷入停滞，这表明空头仍处于控制之中。

The downsloping 20-day EMA ($0.59) and the RSI below 43 suggest that the path of least resistance is to the downside. The selling could accelerate if the price plummets below the $0.56 support. That will clear the path for a drop to $0.50 and then $0.46.

向下倾斜的 20 日均线（0.59 美元）和 RSI 低于 43 表明阻力最小的路径是下行。如果价格跌破 0.56 美元的支撑位，抛售可能会加速。这将为价格跌至 0.50 美元，然后跌至 0.46 美元扫清道路。

To prevent the decline, buyers must shove the XRP/USDT pair above the downtrend line. That will invalidate the bearish pattern and start a relief rally to $0.67 and eventually to $0.74.

为了防止下跌，买家必须将 XRP/USDT 货币对推至下降趋势线上方。这将使看跌模式失效，并开始反弹至 0.67 美元，最终至 0.74 美元。

Solana (SOL) price analysis

Solana (SOL) 价格分析

Solana returned from the downtrend line on Jan. 14, indicating that the bears vigorously protect the level.

Solana 于 1 月 14 日从下降趋势线回归，表明空头大力保护该水平。

The 20-day EMA ($96) has flattened out, and the RSI is near the midpoint, signalling a balance between supply and demand. If the price skids below the uptrend line, the SOL/USDT pair may tumble to $67.

20 日均线（96 美元）已趋于平缓，RSI 接近中点，表明供需平衡。如果价格跌破上升趋势线，SOL/USDT 货币对可能会跌至 67 美元。

Alternatively, if the price rises above the downtrend line, it will suggest that the correction may be over. The pair could then travel to $117 and later to $126. Buyers will have to clear this hurdle to signal the resumption of the uptrend.

或者，如果价格升至下降趋势线之上，则表明调整可能已经结束。随后该货币对可能升至 117 美元，随后升至 126 美元。买家必须清除这一障碍才能发出上升趋势恢复的信号。

Cardano (ADA) price analysis

Cardano has been falling inside a descending channel pattern for several days, but a minor positive is that the bulls have maintained the price above the breakout level of $0.46.

卡尔达诺 (ADA) 价格分析卡尔达诺几天来一直处于下降通道模式内，但一个小小的积极因素是多头将价格维持在 0.46 美元的突破水平之上。

If buyers kick the price above the 20-day EMA ($0.55), the ADA/USDT pair could climb to the channel’s downtrend line. A break and close above the channel will indicate that the downtrend could be over. The pair may then surge to the overhead resistance at $0.68.

如果买家将价格推至 20 日均线（0.55 美元）上方，ADA/USDT 货币对可能会攀升至该通道的下降趋势线。突破并收于通道上方将表明下降趋势可能结束。随后该货币对可能会飙升至上方阻力位 0.68 美元。

Contrarily, if the price turns down from the 20-day EMA, it will suggest that the bears continue to sell on rallies. That will increase the likelihood of the pair dropping to the channel’s support line, where the buyers are likely to step in.

反之，如果价格从20日均线下跌，则表明空头继续逢高卖出。这将增加该货币对跌至通道支撑线的可能性，买家可能会介入。

Avalanche (AVAX) price analysis

雪崩 (AVAX) 价格分析

Avalanche has been trading below the breakdown of $38 since Jan. 12, but the bears have failed to sink the price to the strong support at $31.

自 1 月 12 日以来，Avalanche 的交易价格一直低于 38 美元，但空头未能将价格降至 31 美元的强劲支撑位。

The 20-day EMA ($37.32) is gradually sloping down, and the RSI is just below the midpoint, indicating a slight advantage to the sellers. If the 50-day SMA ($35.68) support gives way, the AVAX/USDT pair may retest the $31 support. A strong bounce off this level may keep the pair rangebound between $31 and $43.50 for some time.

20 日均线（37.32 美元）逐渐向下，RSI 略低于中点，表明空头略有优势。如果 50 日移动平均线（35.68 美元）支撑位失守，AVAX/USDT 货币对可能会重新测试 31 美元支撑位。从该水平强劲反弹可能会在一段时间内使该货币对在 31 美元至 43.50 美元之间波动。

The next trending move will likely begin after buyers drive the price above $43.50 or bears pull the pair below the crucial support at $31.

下一个趋势走势可能会在买家将价格推高至 43.50 美元上方或空头将货币对拉至关键支撑位 31 美元以下后开始。

Dogecoin (DOGE) price analysis

Dogecoin has been sustaining below the 20-day EMA ($0.08) for the past few days, but the bears have failed to sink the price to $0.07.

狗狗币 (DOGE) 价格分析过去几天狗狗币一直维持在 20 日均线（0.08 美元）下方，但空头未能将价格降至 0.07 美元。

The downsloping 20-day EMA and the RSI in the negative territory indicate an advantage to sellers. If the price turns down from the current level or the 20-day EMA, the bears will again try to sink the DOGE/USDT pair to $0.07.

下降的 20 日均线和 RSI 处于负值区域表明卖家有优势。如果价格从当前水平或 20 日均线下跌，空头将再次尝试将 DOGE/USDT 货币对跌至 0.07 美元。

Contrary to this assumption, if the price breaks above the 20-day EMA, it will suggest that the bears are losing their grip. Buyers will then try to propel the pair to the stiff overhead resistance zone between $0.10 and $0.11.

与这一假设相反，如果价格突破 20 日均线，则表明空头正在失去控制。然后，买家将尝试将该货币对推至 0.10 美元至 0.11 美元之间的刚性上方阻力区。