12 月 1 日最新市場概況：BTC、ETH、BNB、XRP、SOL、ADA、DOGE、TON、LINK、AVAX

The price of Bitcoin reached a fresh high in 2023 on December 1st, and various alternative cryptocurrencies are following a similar upward trend. Could this signify the commencement of a potential Santa Claus rally in the cryptocurrency market?

12 月 1 日，比特幣價格創下 2023 年新高，各種替代加密貨幣也遵循類似的上漲趨勢。這是否意味著加密貨幣市場潛在的聖誕老人反彈的開始？

Bitcoin experienced a notable 9% surge in November, encountering significant resistance at the $38,000 mark. Repeated efforts by buyers to sustain prices above this level have been met with relentless resistance from bearish forces. Historically, the month of December has produced mixed results. Data from Coinglass over the last five years indicates that Bitcoin saw a notable increase only in 2020, with an impressive rise of 46.92%. This year, the bulls will aim to replicate at least a portion of that remarkable performance.

比特幣在 11 月經歷了 9% 的顯著飆升，在 38,000 美元關卡時遇到了重大阻力。買家一再努力將價格維持在這一水平之上，但遭到了看跌力量的不懈抵制。從歷史上看，12 月的結果好壞參半。 Coinglass過去五年的數據顯示，比特幣僅在2020年出現了顯著成長，漲幅高達46.92%，令人印象深刻。今年，多頭的目標是複製至少部分出色的表現。

As we approach the new year, several analysts hold an optimistic view of Bitcoin’s future. In a research note dated November 28th, Standard Chartered suggested that the potential approval of spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds ahead of schedule could propel Bitcoin’s price to $100,000 by the conclusion of 2024.

隨著新年的臨近，一些分析師對比特幣的未來感到樂觀。在 11 月 28 日的一份研究報告中，渣打銀行表示，現貨比特幣交易所交易基金可能提前獲得批准，這可能會在 2024 年底前將比特幣的價格推高至 10 萬美元。

Galaxy Digital CEO Mike Novogratz also sounded upbeat about Bitcoin while speaking to Bloomberg on November 29th. He said that the marketing team of asset managers whose ETFs are approved will try to convince people to invest in Bitcoin, which could boost adoption. Additionally, the Federal Reserve cutting rates may act as a further trigger that could send Bitcoin’s price near an all-time high by this time next year.

Galaxy Digital 執行長 Mike Novogratz 在 11 月 29 日接受彭博社採訪時也對比特幣表示樂觀。他表示，ETF 獲得批准的資產管理公司的行銷團隊將試圖說服人們投資比特幣，這可能會促進比特幣的採用。此外，聯準會降息可能會成為進一步的觸發因素，到明年這個時候，比特幣的價格可能會接近歷史高點。

Could Bitcoin sustain above $38,000 and clear the path for a rally to $40,000, or will bears again play spoilsport?

比特幣能否維持在 38,000 美元上方，並為反彈至 40,000 美元掃清道路，還是空頭會再次掃興？

Bitcoin (BTC) price analysis

比特幣（BTC）價格分析

The repeated retest of a resistance level tends to weaken it. After several failed attempts, the bulls kicked the price higher on December 1st. This indicates the resumption of the uptrend.

反覆重新測試阻力位往往會削弱它。經過幾次失敗的嘗試後，多頭在 12 月 1 日將價格推高。這表示上升趨勢已恢復。

The rally above $37,980 completes an ascending triangle pattern. The BTC/USDT pair could rise to $40,000, again likely to act as a formidable resistance. If this level is scaled, the pair may reach the pattern target of $41,160. The rising moving averages and the relative strength index (RSI) above 65 indicate that bulls are in control.

反彈至 37,980 美元上方完成了上升三角形形態。 BTC/USDT 貨幣對可能會升至 40,000 美元，這可能再次成為強大的阻力位。如果突破該水平，該貨幣對可能會達到 41,160 美元的形態目標。上升的移動平均線和高於 65 的相對強弱指數 (RSI) 表明多頭處於控制之中。

This optimistic view will be invalidated soon if the price turns down and dips below the uptrend line. That could invalidate the bullish setup, pulling the price down to the solid support at $34,800. A break below this level will signal that the Bears are back in the game.

如果價格下跌並跌破上升趨勢線，這種樂觀的看法很快就會失效。這可能會使看漲格局失效，將價格拉低至 34,800 美元的堅實支撐位。跌破該水平將標誌著熊隊重新回到比賽中。

Ether (ETH) price analysis

以太幣（ETH）價格分析

Ether rebounded off the 20-day EMA ($2,019) on November 30th, indicating that buyers defend the level with vigour.

以太幣於 11 月 30 日從 20 日均線（2,019 美元）反彈，表明買家積極捍衛該水平。

The bulls will try to push the price to the overhead resistance at $2,200. This remains the critical level to monitor in the near term. The ETH/USDT pair will complete an ascending triangle pattern if buyers bulldoze through. This bullish setup has a target objective of $3,400.

多頭將試圖將價格推至上方阻力位 2,200 美元。這仍然是近期需要監控的關鍵水準。如果買家蜂擁而至，ETH/USDT 貨幣對將完成上升三角形形態。這種看漲設定的目標是 3,400 美元。

The 20-day EMA is the crucial support on the downside. A break below this level will be the first sign that the bulls are losing their grip. The pair may then decline to the 50-day SMA ($1,874).

20日均線是下行的關鍵支撐。跌破該水平將是多頭失去控制力的第一個跡象。隨後該貨幣對可能會跌至 50 日移動平均線（1,874 美元）。

BNB price analysis

BNB價格分析

BNB has been trading inside the tight range between $223 and $239 for the past few days. This shows uncertainty among the bulls and the bears.

過去幾天，BNB 一直在 223 美元至 239 美元之間的窄幅區間內交易。這表明多頭和空頭之間存在不確定性。

The downsloping 20-day EMA ($234) and the RSI in the negative area suggest that the bears are in command. Any recovery attempt is likely to face selling at the 20-day EMA. If the price turns down from this level, the possibility of a drop below $223 increases. That may start a decline to $203.

向下傾斜的 20 日均線（234 美元）和 RSI 處於負值區域表明空頭佔據主導地位。任何復甦嘗試都可能面臨 20 日均線的拋售。如果價格從該水準回落，跌破 223 美元的可能性就會增加。這可能會開始下跌至 203 美元。

Instead, if buyers shove the price above the 20-day EMA, the BNB/USDT pair may rise to $239. A break and close above this level could start a rally toward $265.

相反，如果買家將價格推高至 20 日均線上方，BNB/USDT 貨幣對可能會上漲至 239 美元。突破並收盤於該水平之上可能會開始反彈至 265 美元。

XRP price analysis

XRP has been clinging to the 20-day EMA ($0.61) for the past few days. This suggests that every minor dip is being purchased. It enhances the prospects of a break above the 20-day EMA.

XRP 價格分析過去幾天，XRP 一直緊守 20 日均線（0.61 美元）。這表明每次小幅下跌都會有人買入。它增強了突破 20 日均線的前景。

If that happens, it will suggest that the advantage has tilted toward the bulls. The XRP/USDT pair may rise to $0.64 and later to $0.67. This level may act as a minor roadblock, but the pair may touch $0.74 if overcome.

如果發生這種情況，則表示優勢已向多頭傾斜。 XRP/USDT 貨幣對可能會升至 0.64 美元，隨後升至 0.67 美元。該水平可能會成為一個小障礙，但如果克服的話，該貨幣對可能會觸及 0.74 美元。

Contrarily, if buyers fail to propel the price above the 20-day EMA, it will suggest that sellers have flipped the level into resistance. The pair may then descend to the solid support at $0.56.

相反，如果買家未能將價格推高至 20 日均線上方，則表示賣家已將該水準轉為阻力位。隨後該貨幣對可能會跌至 0.56 美元的堅實支撐位。

Solana (SOL) price analysis

Solana (SOL) 價格分析

The bears sold the rally to $62 on Nov. 29 and 30, but they could not sustain Solana below $59. This suggests buying at lower levels.

空頭在 11 月 29 日至 30 日將漲勢賣出至 62 美元，但他們無法將 Solana 維持在 59 美元以下。這表明在較低水平買入。

The upsloping 20-day EMA ($55.66) and the RSI in the positive territory indicate that the bulls have the upper hand. That improves the prospects of a rally above $62.10. If that happens, the SOL/USDT pair may reach $68. The bulls will have to defend this level with all their might because a break above it will clear the path for a rally to $100.

上升的 20 日均線（55.66 美元）和 RSI 處於正值區域表示多頭佔上風。這改善了反彈至 62.10 美元上方的前景。如果發生這種情況，SOL/USDT 貨幣對可能會達到 68 美元。多頭必須竭盡全力捍衛這一水平，因為突破該水平將為反彈至 100 美元掃清道路。

The immediate support to watch on the downside is the 20-day EMA. If this level cracks, the pair may tumble to $51. The bears must yank the price below this level to start a deeper correction.

下檔方面值得關注的直接支撐是 20 日均線。如果該水平破裂，該貨幣對可能會跌至 51 美元。空頭必須將價格拉至該水平以下才能開始更深層的調整。

Cardano (ADA) price analysis

Cardano has been taking support at the 20-day EMA ($0.37), but the Bulls are struggling to start a strong rebound off it. This suggests a lack of demand at higher levels.

卡爾達諾 (ADA) 價格分析卡爾達諾一直在 20 日均線（0.37 美元）處獲得支撐，但公牛隊正在努力開始強勁反彈。這表明缺乏更高水準的需求。

The price has been squeezed between the 20-day EMA and the overhead resistance at $0.40. The gradually upsloping 20-day EMA and the RSI above 58 indicate that bulls have an edge. If buyers pierce the overhead resistance at $0.40, the bullish momentum may pick up, and the ADA/USDT pair may jump to $0.42 and subsequently to $0.46.

價格在 20 日均線和上方阻力位 0.40 美元之間受到擠壓。逐漸上升的 20 日均線和 RSI 高於 58 表示多頭具有優勢。如果買家突破 0.40 美元的上方阻力位，看漲勢頭可能會增強，ADA/USDT 貨幣對可能會躍升至 0.42 美元，隨後升至 0.46 美元。

Contrarily, if the price skids below the 20-day EMA, it will suggest profit-booking by short-term traders. The pair may then slump to $0.34, where the bulls will try to arrest the decline.

相反，如果價格跌破20日均線，則建議短線交易者獲利了結。隨後該貨幣對可能會跌至 0.34 美元，多頭將試圖阻止跌勢。

Dogecoin (DOGE) price analysis

狗狗幣 (DOGE) 價格分析

Dogecoin has maintained above $0.08 for the past four days, indicating that the bulls are not hurrying to book profits.

過去四天，狗狗幣一直維持在 0.08 美元上方，表明多頭並不急於獲利了結。

The rising 20-day EMA ($0.08) and the RSI above 62 indicate that bulls remain in command. Buyers will try to push the price to the psychological resistance of $0.10. There is a minor obstacle at $0.09, but it is likely to be crossed. Sellers are expected to mount a vigorous defence in the $0.10 to $0.11 zone.

不斷上漲的 20 日均線（0.08 美元）和 RSI 高於 62 表明多頭仍然佔據主導地位。買家會嘗試將價格推至 0.10 美元的心理阻力位。 0.09 美元有一個小障礙，但很可能會被突破。預計賣家將在 0.10 美元至 0.11 美元區域進行積極防禦。

The 20-day EMA is the crucial support to watch out for on the downside. If this level gives way, the DOGE/USDT pair may drop to the 50-day SMA ($0.07).

20 日均線是下檔方面值得關注的關鍵支撐。如果該水準失守，DOGE/USDT 貨幣對可能會跌至 50 日移動平均線（0.07 美元）。

Toncoin (TON) price analysis

Toncoin has been sustaining above the 20-day EMA ($2.38) for the past few days, but the up-move lacks momentum.

Toncoin (TON) 價格分析過去幾天，Toncoin 一直維持在 20 日均線（2.38 美元）之上，但上漲動力不足。

The 20-day EMA slopes gradually, and the RSI is near 55, indicating that the bulls have a slight edge. Buyers will try to propel the price above $2.59 and complete the ascending triangle pattern. This bullish setup has a target objective of $3.58.

20日均線逐漸傾斜，RSI接近55，顯示多頭略有優勢。買家將嘗試將價格推高至 2.59 美元以上，並完成上升三角形形態。這種看漲設定的目標是 3.58 美元。

On the contrary, a slide below the uptrend line will invalidate the bullish triangle pattern. The failure of a bullish setup is a bearish sign, which could drag the TON/USDT pair toward the next significant support at $1.89.

相反，跌破上升趨勢線將使看漲三角形模式失效。看漲設置失敗是一個看跌信號，這可能會將 TON/USDT 貨幣對拖向下一個重要支撐位 1.89 美元。

Chainlink (LINK) price analysis

Chainlink’s price is squeezed between the 20-day EMA ($14.19) and the overhead resistance of $15.40 for the past few days.

Chainlink (LINK) 價格分析過去幾天，Chainlink 的價格在 20 日均線（14.19 美元）和上方阻力位 15.40 美元之間受到擠壓。

The upsloping 20-day EMA and the RSI in the positive zone indicate that the path of least resistance is to the upside. If buyers overcome the barrier at $15.40, the LINK/USDT pair could climb to $16.60 and dash toward $18.30.

向上傾斜的 20 日均線和 RSI 位於正區表示阻力最小的路徑是上行。如果買家突破 15.40 美元的關口，LINK/USDT 貨幣對可能會攀升至 16.60 美元，並衝向 18.30 美元。

The first sign of weakness will be a break and close below the 20-day EMA. That could start a decline toward the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of $12.83. This level is likely to attract aggressive buying by the bulls.

疲軟的第一個跡象將是跌破並收於 20 日均線下方。這可能會開始下跌至 61.8% 斐波那契回檔位 12.83 美元。這一水平可能會吸引多頭的積極買盤。

Avalanche (AVAX) price analysis

Buyers pushed Avalanche above the $22 resistance on December 1st, indicating higher-level solid demand.

Avalanche (AVAX) 價格分析 12 月 1 日，買家將 Avalanche 推升至 22 美元阻力位上方，顯示需求強勁。

If the price closes above $22, it will increase the likelihood of a rally to $24.69. Sellers are expected to mount a vigorous defence at this level because a break above it could open the doors for a potential rally to $28.50.

如果價格收盤高於 22 美元，則上漲至 24.69 美元的可能性將增加。預計賣家將在該水平上進行積極防禦，因為突破該水平可能會打開潛在反彈至 28.50 美元的大門。

Bears must quickly pull the AVAX/USDT pair back below the 20-day EMA ($19.80) if they want to halt the uptrend. That may trigger stops of several short-term traders, resulting in a drop to $18.90.

如果空頭想阻止上漲趨勢，他們必須迅速將 AVAX/USDT 貨幣對拉回 20 日均線（19.80 美元）下方。這可能會觸發一些短期交易者的止損，導致價格跌至 18.90 美元。