Bitcoin (BTC) has largely remained above $80,000 since March 11th, suggesting strong buyer support and a reluctance to accept deeper corrections. However, the inability to break above $86,000 indicates persistent bearish pressure and continued profit-taking on rallies.
自3月11日以来,比特币(BTC)一直保持在80,000美元以上,这表明买家的支持和不愿接受更深入的更正。 但是,无法中断86,000美元以表明持续的看跌压力和对集会的持续利润。
CoinShares' weekly report reveals significant cryptocurrency exchange-traded product (ETP) outflows totaling $1.7 billion last week. This brings the five-week outflow total to $6.4 billion, extending the negative streak to 17 days – the longest such period since CoinShares began recording data in 2015.
Coinshares的每周报告显示,上周总计17亿美元的加密货币交易所交易产品(ETP)流出。这使五周的流出量达到64亿美元,将负连续剧延长至17天,这是自2015年Coinshares开始录制数据以来的最长时期。
It's not entirely bleak for long-term investors. CryptoQuant contributor ShayanBTC notes an accumulation pattern among investors who acquired Bitcoin three to six months ago. Historically, such behavior has been "crucial in forming market bottoms and sparking new uptrends."
对于长期投资者而言,这并不是完全黯淡的。 加密贡献者Shayanbtc指出了三到六个月前收购比特币的投资者的积累模式。从历史上看,这种行为“对于形成市场底层和引发新的上升趋势至关重要”。
Will buyers successfully propel Bitcoin above resistance levels? What's the outlook for altcoins? Let's analyze the charts.
买家会成功推动比特币高于阻力水平吗? Altcoins的前景是什么?让我们分析图表。
S&P 500 Index Price Analysis
标准普尔500指数分析
The S&P 500 Index (SPX) is undergoing a significant correction. The March 13th drop to 5,504 pushed the Relative Strength Index (RSI) into oversold territory, hinting at a potential near-term rebound.
标准普尔500指数(SPX)正在进行明显的校正。 3月13日下降到5,504,将相对强度指数(RSI)推向了超卖领土,暗示了潜在的近期反弹。
Bears may attempt to halt any recovery within the 5,670 to 5,773 resistance zone. Success here would signal continued negative sentiment and further selling on rallies, potentially leading to a drop to 5,400. The 5,400 level is expected to be strongly defended by bulls; a breach could trigger a decline to 5,100. Conversely, a decisive close above the 20-day exponential moving average (around 5,780) would indicate bullish strength, potentially leading to a rise towards the 50-day simple moving average (around 5,938).
熊可能试图停止5,670至5,773电阻区内的任何恢复。这里的成功将表明持续的负面情绪并进一步销售集会,可能导致5,400次下降。 预计公牛会强烈捍卫5,400级;违规行为可能会导致下降到5,100。 相反,超过20天的指数移动平均线(约5,780)的决定性接近将表明看涨力量,这可能导致朝着50天的简单移动平均线升高(约5,938)。
US Dollar Index Price Analysis
美元索引价格分析
The weak rebound from the 103.37 support in the US Dollar Index (DXY) suggests sustained bearish pressure.
美元指数(DXY)中103.37支持的反弹较弱,表明持续的看跌压力。
Sellers are aiming to push the index below 103.37, potentially triggering a decline to 102 and then 101. Conversely, a break above 104 would signal a potential buyer resurgence, potentially pushing the index towards the 20-day EMA (around 105), which may attract selling. Sustained buying pressure could lead to a break above the 20-day EMA and a subsequent rise to the 50-day SMA (around 107).
卖方的目标是将指数提高到103.37以下,可能会导致下降到102,然后将101下降到101中。相反,超过104的突破将表明潜在的买家复兴,可能会将指数推向20天EMA(左右105),这可能会吸引销售。 持续的购买压力可能导致超过20天EMA的突破,随后增加到50天的SMA(约107左右)。
Bitcoin Price Analysis
比特币价格分析
Bitcoin is attempting to establish a higher low, building momentum for a potential break above the 200-day SMA ($84,112).
比特币试图建立更高的低点,建立势头,以高于200天SMA的潜在突破(84,112美元)。
Positive divergence in the RSI suggests weakening bearish momentum. A break above the 20-day EMA ($85,808) could propel the BTC/USDT pair towards the 50-day SMA ($92,621). Conversely, a sharp downturn from the 200-day SMA would indicate a potential bearish reversal, potentially leading to a decline to $80,000 and then $76,606.
RSI中的阳性差异表明看跌势头减弱。 超过20天EMA($ 85,808)的休息时间可以推动BTC/USDT对的50天SMA($ 92,621)。 相反,200天SMA的急剧下滑将表明潜在的看跌逆转,可能导致下降到80,000美元,然后下降76,606美元。
Ether Price Analysis
以太价格分析
Ether (ETH) is trading within a range of $1,963 and $1,821, indicating a lack of strong buying interest at current levels.
Ether(ETH)的交易范围在1,963美元和1,821美元之间,这表明目前水平缺乏强劲的购买息。
A fall below the $1,821 to $1,754 support zone would suggest a resumption of the downtrend, potentially leading to a drop to $1,550. Conversely, a break above the 20-day EMA ($2,107) would invalidate this bearish outlook, potentially pushing the ETH/USDT pair towards the 50-day SMA ($2,514) and potentially further to $2,857 if bulls overcome resistance.
低于$ 1,821到$ 1,754的支持区的下降将表明恢复下降趋势,可能导致下降至1,550美元。 相反,超过20天EMA(2,107美元)的休息时间将使这种看跌的前景无效,这可能会将ETH/USDT对推向50天的SMA(2,514美元),如果公牛克服抵抗力,则可能会进一步降至2,857美元。
XRP Price Analysis
XRP价格分析
XRP (XRP) reversed from the 50-day SMA ($2.51) on March 15th, highlighting bearish activity at higher levels.
XRP(XRP)于3月15日从50天的SMA($ 2.51)逆转,突出了更高级别的看跌活动。
The 20-day EMA ($2.34) is relatively flat, and the RSI is near the midpoint, indicating a balance between supply and demand. The XRP/USDT pair may consolidate between the 50-day SMA and $2. A break above the 50-day SMA could lead to a rally to $3. A break below $2 would complete a head-and-shoulders pattern, potentially leading to a decline to $1.28.
20天EMA($ 2.34)相对平坦,RSI接近中点,表明供应和需求之间的平衡。 XRP/USDT对可以合并50天的SMA至$ 2。超过50天的SMA的休息可能会导致集会至3美元。 低于$ 2的休息时间将完成头部和肩膀的模式,可能导致下降至1.28美元。
BNB Price Analysis
BNB价格分析
BNB (BNB) rebounded from the 20-day EMA ($598) and surpassed the 50-day SMA ($620), suggesting a potential end to the correction.
BNB(BNB)从20天的EMA(598美元)反弹,超过了50天的SMA(620美元),这表明该更正的潜在结束。
The 20-day EMA is turning upwards, and the RSI is in positive territory, favoring bulls. Sustained trading above the 50-day SMA could lead to a rally to $686 and potentially $745. A break below the 20-day EMA would signal a shift in momentum to bears, potentially leading to a decline to the strong support at $500.
为期20天的EMA正在向上转动,RSI在积极的领土上,偏爱公牛。 超过50天SMA的持续交易可能会导致集会至686美元,并可能达到745美元。 低于20天的EMA的突破将表明动量转向熊,这可能导致下降到500美元的强劲支持下降。
Solana Price Analysis
Solana价格分析
Solana (SOL) reversed from the 20-day EMA ($139) on March 16th, indicating strong bearish defense of that level.
Solana(Sol)于3月16日从20天的EMA(139美元)扭转,表明对此水平有强烈的看跌防御。
The SOL/USDT pair could decline to $120 and then $110, where buying support is anticipated. A rebound from this support zone could lead to another attempt to break above the 20-day EMA, potentially reaching $180. A continued decline below the support zone would invalidate this bullish scenario, potentially triggering a drop to $100 and then $80.
SOL/USDT对可能会降至120美元,然后降至110美元,预计购买支持。 从这个支持区的反弹可能会导致另一次超越20天EMA的尝试,可能达到180美元。 在支持区以下的持续下降将使这种看涨的情况无效,这可能会导致下降到100美元,然后导致80美元。
Dogecoin Price Analysis
Dogecoin价格分析
Dogecoin (DOGE) is gradually approaching the 20-day EMA ($0.19), a key near-term resistance level.
Dogecoin(Doge)逐渐接近20天EMA(0.19美元),这是一个近期阻力水平的关键。
A sharp reversal from the 20-day EMA would suggest bearish selling on rallies, increasing the risk of a break below the $0.14 support and a potential decline to $0.10. Conversely, a break above the 20-day EMA would indicate reduced selling pressure, potentially leading to a rise to the 50-day SMA ($0.23) and then to $0.29. A close above $0.29 would signal strong buyer control.
与20天的EMA相比,急剧逆转将表明对集会上的看跌销售,从而将休息的风险降至0.14美元以下,并可能下降到0.10美元。 相反,超过20天EMA的休息时间将表明销售压力降低,可能导致50天SMA(0.23美元),然后升至0.29美元。 超过$ 0.29的收盘价将表示强大的买家控制。
Cardano Price Analysis
Cardano价格分析
Cardano (ADA) has traded below the 20-day EMA ($0.76) since March 8th, but the bears have failed to break the uptrend line, suggesting weakening selling pressure at lower levels.
自3月8日以来,Cardano(ADA)的交易低于20天EMA(0.76美元),但熊队未能打破上升趋势线,这表明较低水平的销售压力减弱。
Buyers need to push the price above the moving averages for a sustained recovery, potentially reaching $1.02, where further bearish resistance is expected. A reversal from the moving averages would suggest continued bearish control, potentially leading to a drop below the uptrend line and a decline to $0.50.
买家需要将价格推到持续恢复的移动平均值上方,可能会达到1.02美元,预计会进一步看跌。 从移动的平均值中逆转将表明持续的看跌控制,可能导致上升趋势线以下,下降到0.50美元。
Pi Price Analysis
PI价格分析
Pi (PI) is gradually declining towards the $1.23 support level, where buying is anticipated.
PI(PI)逐渐下降到预计购买的1.23美元支持水平。
A strong rebound from $1.23 could push the PI/USDT pair back towards $1.80. While sellers are likely to challenge this level, a successful breakout could lead to a rally to $2 and then $2.35. A reversal from $1.80 would suggest range-bound trading between $1.23 and $1.80. A break below $1.23 would strengthen the bearish position, potentially leading to a decline to the 78.6% retracement level of $0.72.
从$ 1.23起的强劲反弹可以将PI/USDT对推回1.80美元。 尽管卖家可能会挑战这一水平,但成功的突破可能会导致卢比达到2美元,然后$ 2.35。 从$ 1.80的逆转将表明,范围内的交易在1.23美元至1.80美元之间。 低于$ 1.23的休息时间将加强看跌地位,可能导致下降到78.6%的回收水平为0.72美元。
Disclaimer: This article does not provide financial advice. All investment and trading decisions involve risk, and readers should conduct their own thorough research.
免责声明:本文不提供财务建议。所有投资和交易决策都涉及风险,读者应进行自己的全面研究。